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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    I haven't had a normal snowfall season, let alone above normal, since moving to Maryland in August 2016. I don't see that changing this winter. Maybe we get lucky with a Jan 2016 redux that gives us a statistical win, but I'm not going to hold my breath anymore. Agreed. The only faithful flakes I've had in my life are corn based and in my cereal box.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    That is a question for @wxmeddler.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Because I have #FaithInTheFlakes­™.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Without a doubt, the largest debris ball I've ever seen on radar.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Insane stuff dude.
  6. Eskimo Joe
  7. Eskimo Joe
    We can only hope this is a preview of winter in the temp department.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    At this point, I would just be happy with a regionwide 1.5" - 2.5" of rain. We are seriously in need of a recharge of the aquifers and water ways.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Future's bleak
  10. Eskimo Joe
    I'll still take the Euro over the GFS.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    "Sub 990 lows don't go quietly into the night." @Rainshadow
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Sub-990 low running to Lake Erie in July could be interesting next Tuesday.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Utterly terrible weather for late July. Let's save this for autumn. Wish it were in the 90s.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    The 18z sounding from IAD had ~4,500 surface CAPE. As we transition to nightfall, it's a perfect setup for some decent elevated convection.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Loss of daytime heading and junkvection really killing off the tornado risk.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    LWX radar velocities look benign, but ADW and BWI terminals tell the picture well. Legit 60kt gust potential.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    I'm honestly surprised that SPC hasn't upgraded that area to a tornado watch.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    We're going to waste an anamolous trough and solid surface instability due to some leftover clouds. You can't make this stuff up.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    4,700 SBCAPE on the 18z sounding, but the convective temp is 88 degrees. With this thick cirrus shield in place at peak heating, I doubt we get enough sunshine to reach this. Perhaps south of US 50 and the eastern shore, as @wxmeddleralluded to works out, but this is shaping up to be an ugly bust here in the metros.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    A number of tornado warnings in that watch box to our west. Wonder if SPC upgrades that?
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the storms NW of RIC may be choking off the inflow for anything local to DC or Baltimore.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch for everyone until 10 pm tonight.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    That cell coming out of central WV is probably going to be the main show in these parts. Already visible on LWX radar and it's had a tornado warning on it a short time ago. Must be some little vort max swinging around the base of the trough?
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Already a confirmed tornado in northeast PA. Several warnings up towards NY. Dynamics FTW.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    That would be like the El Ninos of yore.
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