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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Anybody got the 10:1 Euro output?
  2. Eskimo Joe
    8" - 12" of snow for everyone seems reasonable.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    He seems to love dunking on snow chances. I can understand his reticence on not seeing some sleet nose into the Lower Susquehanna Valley, but he consistently seems to be the first person to rain on the parage of snow lovers.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    No watches in our neck of the woods until Friday PM. We're 72+ hours out, and watches don't get issued until we're ~48 hours out.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Watches now stretch from New Mexico to West Virginia. It's truly a thing of beauty.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    No pressure, just the hopes and dreams of every Delaware Valley snow weenie resting on your shoulders.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Yes that is a possibility in a setup like this at our latitude.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. From a winter weather perspective, there is nothing better than a sizeable snowstorm on the front side of a good pattern.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    I'm having a hard time believing the CMC/UKMET where the primary low just runs into this dome of high pressure with ease.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Now THAT is a legitimate blizzard.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    @paweather - any chance you can post the "traditional" 10:1 maps for the 12z GFS?
  12. Eskimo Joe
    To my eye a key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for just about everyone. Even the folks in far southern Maryland and the tidewater of VA that mix get a solid event, then appear to flip back to several hours of accumulating snow.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for the entire subforum. Everyone gets snow in some way.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Per the 12z GFS, temps in the low to mid 20s for nearly everyone during the storm. Incredible.
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Here's the link for everyone:
  18. Eskimo Joe
    It's amazing what clear skies, light winds, and even minimal snowpack can do.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Taking a quick peek a the 12k NAM for the 12z run, the high coming out of Canada appears stronger? Looks like 1054mb+. Not sure what, if any downstream implications this would have.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Right now I would not be worried about significant, long duration power outages. There is no signal for high winds and this is going to be a light, fluffy snow. Looks like cold powder.
  21. Eskimo Joe
  22. Eskimo Joe
    00z Euro / EPS and AI-EPS just dump all the cold air over the eastern 2/3rds of North America through the start of February. Looks like a legitimate vodka cold we all dream about as kids.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Lol...CWG saying accumulating snow "not quite a lock".
  24. Eskimo Joe
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Yea the 06z Euro gets hanky with the sleet and zr line. If I were in NC or Southern VA I'd be upset.
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