Seeing the slightly above normal precip anomaly doesn't surprise me given the H5 look in the quote post. You have a boundary pressing south and we're right on the edge. It's possible some light rail tracks could be hinted at by guidance.
While low temperatures were kind of 'meh' this week, we won big time on day time departures. Yesterday's high of 45 degrees at BWI was 14 degrees below normal.
Had them visible in the northern sky in Reisterstown about 8:30. A legit solid pulse that lasted about 10 min. Even my wife was impressed and she's usually pretty meh about this kind of stuff.
Yes that's definitely impressive. I was skeptical that a November SSWE was going to be a head fake, but it's becoming more evident the Euro and it's ensembles might be onto something here. At the very least, I'm glad that we aren't looking at some compact polar vortex that just locks up all winter.
IMO, we'll know for sure by Christmas. If all the hopes, prognostications, and predictions of December coming in cold, and potentially snowy, end as a mirage or just a "kicking the can pattern" then we know we're in for a miserable winter.