Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Very good trends thus far.
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Best model run of the winter. Wow!
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FOLKS
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This is likely a paste bomb with temps crashing.
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Closed 500 low in Tennessee trying to go negative tilt is a great thing to see.
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I think some of these brighter returns are snowflakes melting. The deeper reflectivity seems to coincide with the CC drops.
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No one should take JB seriously. He talks out of both sides of his mouth.
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I posted a map of verification scores a few pages ago, but there's a clear consensus of the Euro flexing the southeast ridge too often in the extended this winter.
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Low end warning event on a weekend. Where do I sign?
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Feb 2007?
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With the EPS,GEPS, and GEFS all showing a coastal or out to sea solution, I would think a cutter is probably off the table at this point.
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Yup. Cold powder. [Insert "The Good Ones Are Sniffed Out Early" Here]
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12z Canadian also has the banana high the GFS had. Good to see that feature on multiple models.
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Very well said. You mentioned something last year that really hit home to me. There are times when we have a workable, or even favorable pattern for snow and we miss out due to bad luck, etc. That's upsetting, but fine. Then you have the years where it's Pacific Puke™ all winter and nothing can save us. Those are heart wrenching. It appears that we are set up for success over the next month and it's all down to luck. That's fine, we just want to be in the game.
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Everyone wins with the 1/18 event on the 12z GFS. No rain/snow line. A solid, plowable snowfall on a holiday weekend.
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HR216-222 on the 12z GFS has a solid banana high and decent western ridge at 500mb. Key ingredients for cold air. Very happy to see this.
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Looks like the GFS/Euro try to get the MJO into Phase 7/8 border by 1/20, then hold it in 8 through mid February.
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Wow congrats Carolinas. Their snow drought has been worse than ours of late.
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Yup. Keep your expectations low everyone.
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If it's conducive for snow to our south, then we're in a position to score.
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EPS starting to get busy. Another good sign. EDIT: Yes, I know this is for TN, if it's showing a favorable pattern to our south, then we're in a position to score here.
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Oh I like that graph.
