Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The best storms appear to be well north of Harrisburg at the moment. Those are the only storms producing wind damage and CG.- 2,604 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Rather impressive to see the warm sector clear out so much. While surface CAPE is small and likely a narrow profile, there's okay lapse rates and respectable shear, which is probably why the DCAPE is decent. I'd still favor north of Mason-Dixon for any more scattered to widespread severe winds, etc.- 2,604 replies
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No 90s today would be a victory.
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The only thing I can see that would prevent that would be if this cloud cover building in more.
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Starting the day out at nearly 80 degrees in Frederick County.
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Canada torching bodes well for winter.
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Lightning detector going off for the storm in Mt. Airy.
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Time sensitive, but you can really see some decent convergence setting up in the western suburbs. Maybe angling for some heavier rain later on? https://mesonet.umd.edu/media/graphics/wspd_10m_plot.png?v=1791736880
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The plants must he really drawing up the rain. Several mesonet sites have yet to see their soil moisture numbers move at all despite over two inches of rain.
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Keedysville site almost 2.5" lines up well with other reports.
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Some mesonet sites already pushing 2" west of US 15. Maybe some terrain enhancement?
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Yea the radar is pretty meh.
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Was hoping for a better presentation. I'm glad it's raining but it looks like the steady stuff may be zipping up into PA.
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I'm in peak winter mode. Worried about waking up tomorrow with a spotty or mostly empty radar then seeing the dreaded crawl on TWC, "winter storm warning canceled".
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Hope the AI guidance is right. Radar and upstream observations certainly aren't encouraging.
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Sign me up for a guaranteed regionwide 1.5" - 2.5" of rain.
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Thanks a nice bit of rain. Nothing too crazy.
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What does total rainfall look like.on the 12z euro?
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We need it. Our reservoirs are dry.
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Helene wrecked the SW part of this subforum.
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Anything beyond HR 100-120 has been useless of late.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Eskimo Joe replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
