Eskimo Joe

12z GFS has a much better CAD signature compared to its 00z/06z iterations.

We still have a week to find our fail point. Could be any of the following: 1.) High slides offshore and we nibble away at CAD with antecedent southeast winds. 2.) Last minute de-amplification trend. 3.) Primary drives into Pittsburgh and it's just cold rain.

Good luck. We're all praying you two have the mojo this winter.

The 00z GFS/UKMET/Euro and 06z GFS/GEFS would get most of this subforum to climo snowfall for December by December 5th. Very impressive.

I could hear that all the way in Gaithersburg.

The Canadian high on the 06z Euro is a tad east for my liking. That setup can erode the CAD situation with prolonged southeast winds. Would like to see that backed up further west into the St. Lawrence River Valley.

It's La Nina...the odds of the big ones aren't on our side. I'd be happy with several light to moderate events that yield snow-on-snow.

100% agreed. I do not get excited for acute threats until we're inside D3 anymore.

Honestly that's pretty impressive. If that mean output would be anywhere close to verifying then many of us would have exceeded monthly snowfall climo by mid month. Yes please! I would be very, very happy to eat crow and see snow falling.

Give the lowlands their due. They always deserve to score.

Ray's Winter Storm Archive, while focused primarily on New Jersey, is an excellent resource for winter storms during the 1993 - 2013 time frame.

Now that would make me eat my words. Huge ridge out west with some increasing heights in the NAO domain.

Dec 5, 2005, Dec 5, 2009 and Dec 8, 2013 were winners for many. December used to be a light snow month.

Yea this is a big test of winter expectations and everyone is carrying almost a decade of scar tissue with them

Honestly, I want them all but Big Savage presents significant logistical challenges for moving equipment into place, personal safety for maintenance, and cell coverage for stable data transmission.

More stations will be coming to western Maryland. Personally, I hope to get a site atop Keyser's Ridge, Sideling Mountain, South Mountain, and Polish Mountain.

We're in a tenuous spot. You wait all year for winter and then we torch like it's nothing. Meanwhile the atmosphere has concepts of a pattern for snow that's perpetually two weeks away.

Hey western MD folks:

FYI

The primary drives up into Pittsburgh and everyone flips.

It happens more than you think. There is absolutely no QA/QC for weather apps. I would love to see something like American Meteorological Society or National Weather Association offer a "seal of approval" for apps that maintain things like updates, appropriate warning information, etc. Worse yet, certain apps like Operating System based platforms are largely not customizable and default to the organizational settings. All of these work to undermine the credibility of weather apps and unfairly degrade the ethos of the meteorological community.

Strongly disagree. Apps and websites featuring questionable sourced weather information abound. Local, trusted media and meteorologists are needed now more than ever. Take Windows 11 for example. I get push notifications for Rockville, MD for tomorrow on my work laptop that it's going to be a high of 4° degrees tomorrow. How is this even remotely accurate?