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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    I'm having a hard time believing the CMC/UKMET where the primary low just runs into this dome of high pressure with ease.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Now THAT is a legitimate blizzard.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    @paweather - any chance you can post the "traditional" 10:1 maps for the 12z GFS?
  4. Eskimo Joe
    To my eye a key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for just about everyone. Even the folks in far southern Maryland and the tidewater of VA that mix get a solid event, then appear to flip back to several hours of accumulating snow.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for the entire subforum. Everyone gets snow in some way.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Per the 12z GFS, temps in the low to mid 20s for nearly everyone during the storm. Incredible.
  7. Eskimo Joe
  8. Eskimo Joe
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Here's the link for everyone:
  10. Eskimo Joe
    It's amazing what clear skies, light winds, and even minimal snowpack can do.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Taking a quick peek a the 12k NAM for the 12z run, the high coming out of Canada appears stronger? Looks like 1054mb+. Not sure what, if any downstream implications this would have.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Right now I would not be worried about significant, long duration power outages. There is no signal for high winds and this is going to be a light, fluffy snow. Looks like cold powder.
  13. Eskimo Joe
  14. Eskimo Joe
    00z Euro / EPS and AI-EPS just dump all the cold air over the eastern 2/3rds of North America through the start of February. Looks like a legitimate vodka cold we all dream about as kids.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Lol...CWG saying accumulating snow "not quite a lock".
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yea the 06z Euro gets hanky with the sleet and zr line. If I were in NC or Southern VA I'd be upset.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Euro insistent on a late Saturday night to early Sunday start time across the area. Precip comes in like a wall in the dead of night.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yes this is what I want. We all win. Got a link to that product? Yup that was 2/14/14. I remember that well. We got 24" in Damascus, but only 5" in Takoma Park. It was the most intense snowfall gradient I ever witnessed. We took plows from southern Montgomery County and sent them north to help the upcounty roads.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Not necessarily
  21. Eskimo Joe
    From a climatology/historical perspective, that's insane.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Standard message: for anyone making a briefing package I strongly recommend including a "Created on: [insert date/time here]" and "Do not use for decision making after [insert date/time here". That way people know how stale the information is.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Paging @Bob Chill
  24. Eskimo Joe
    ^wow that would be an incredible way to bust a snow drought
  25. Eskimo Joe
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