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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC don Sutherland posted in here in that past that 4 out of the 5 tops five La Nina snowfalls at BWI were in January, and were all under 10" of snow. The lone exception was the Blizzard of 1996.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    That would be a disaster
  3. Eskimo Joe
    I know it's the NAM, but it's scored last minute events like this in previous times. There were several events in the 2013 - 2015 time frame where it picked up on some mid level warmth of subsidence that even the Euro didn't detect. To see the NAM and some other meso guidance trend lower/more disjointed is a bit of a red flag.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    that's aggressive
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Never dance on the grave of a snow lover. It invites back luck for you. Really impressive temp drop over the next 24 hours. It's amazing to realize that today might be the warmest day for the rest of the month.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Hey could be worse. We could be North Carolina. They're getting a major rug pull on this one.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    I'm coping hard too.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    That was an epic storm. 24" of snow in Damascus, 5" in Takoma Park. We had nearly dry roads in southern Montgomery County, while upcounty it was snowing hard.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Euro shows the transfer nearly on top of our region. You don't want that because it causes a precip minimum. You want the transfer to your south.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    You must be new here. It's La Nina in DC.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Classic La Nina roulette. You play against the warm nose, primary low, late transfer to the coastal, or drier overall.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    We get screwed by the transfer from the primary to the coastal. It causes a lull/minimum in precip. We've seen this happen many times in the past.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Some are well insulated, others are just glorified quonset huts.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    E/E rule
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Watches from Arizona to New York. Awesome sauce.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Clear increase in CAD on the 06z Euro. Would *significantly* limit ZR risk in Maryland, and favor sleet.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    It also drove the primary further south into Alabama. Good things for snow lovers.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    A historic snowfall for many.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Comparing 18z -> 00z -> 06z I see two trends emerging, both of which may be in our favor: 1.) High pressure over New England appears to be trending west and stronger. This will absolutely help to lock in cold air. 2.) The ensembles are trying to throw more emphasis on the coastal low, which would cut off warm air intrusion and reduce the mix or sleet risk north of US 50. Let's see if these trends hold or improve today.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    06z GFS is a historic snowfall for many. Wow.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Single digits for most of Delmarva is nuts.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    From the source:
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Anybody got 10:1 snow map for the 18z Euro?
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. The bleeding needs to stop and quick.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Cold sleet for I-95 and points south and east. Very PDII.
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