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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Latest HRRR is rather emphatic for a decent snow squall tomorrow regionwide.
  2. While everyone went doom and gloom yesterday the 00z EPS pumps a big Alaskan ridge by Jan 10-15 and tries to get the STJ active with some split flow.
  3. Historically, that's how we get a lot of our light to mod events.
  4. ^literally every model has trended towards: 1.) A storm 2.) More compact vort 3.) Closer to us
  5. The west coast rough ruins everything. Pumps heights in the eastern US.
  6. Headed to Berkley Springs, WV from Friday to Sunday. Hoping to see some snow on the ground.
  7. Looks like Hancock, Frostburg, and Bittinger mesonet sites all reporting a bit of snow on the ground.
  8. If only there was a little low running along the front. . . .
  9. Back that high up 300 miles west and its a Top 10 KU.
  10. Euro Weeklies load up a ton of cold air towards the second half of the month. As @WxUSAF has said several times, Canada has a great snowpack this winter compared to previous years. All very good things to see.
  11. There's no law that states we can't do that.
  12. Folks to our south are excited, which is a great sign.
  13. HGR and MRB gusting over 50 mph. Keedysville mesonet gusted to 48 mph. Bittinger mesonet gusted to 51 mph. Clarksville mesonet gusted to 46 mph.
  14. 12z Euro/EPS and the GEPS try to pop a +PNA just before the Jan 6th - 10th window. To see it on multiple ensembles is encouraging.
  15. Agreed. The 12z suite has been encouraging. I'm happy to see the Canadian and it's ensembles joining in as well.
  16. 12z Euro op has a low offshore Jan 7-9 timeframe. Close to something here folks.
  17. RE: 12z Canadian Move the antedecent high pressure just 200-400 miles west and that storm at HR 240 is a KU event.
  18. Good to see some agreement. I know it's an old adage, but I trust op and ensemble guidance at 00z/12z much more beyond HR 120 because they have the addition of the upper air data. It also mitigates the sensation of rug pulls every 6hrs. Once you get inside D5/HR120, the 06/18z guidance has more value. Just my personal opinion.
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