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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 12z Euro looks like 4" - 6" Mason-Dixon to I-70, 6" - 10" I-70 to I-66/US 50, 10"+ south of I-66/US 50.
  2. Amazing is what it was. Severance pay for a decade of fail.
  3. Interesting to note that 60% of them were in January.
  4. 12z Euro AI is a CLASSIC Mid Atlantic snowstorm. Primary low drives into Tennessee, then hands of everything to the coastal quickly and cleanly. 8" - 12" cold powder, weekend snow.
  5. A 150 hr mean snowfall of 8" - 12" is impressive.
  6. My bench mark for this is a 6" - 10" event. Would be the biggest snowfall for me since moving back to Maryland in August 2016.
  7. Yea 12z Thursday is my go/no go for this event. I'd much rather deal with suppression than worrying about something cutting. With such a fresh, strong push of cold air coming I don't think we have to worry about this cutting too much this time.
  8. UKMET is a top 5 snowfall from DC to Harrisburg to Philly. Would rival PDII, '96, 2009-2010, and 2016 in many spots.
  9. UKMET is a top 5 snowfall from DC to Harrisburg to Philly. Would rival PDII, '96, 2009-2010, and 2016 in many spots.
  10. Looking further down the road, do we see another wind reversal in Feb?
  11. 12z UKMET is a top 5 snowfall from DC to Philly. Would rival 1996, PDII, and 2016 for many. Just unreal.
  12. 12z Canadian ENS open the freezer post storm.
  13. 12z Canadian is about as amped as I want at this range. Inside of 48 hrs? Sure.
  14. Earlier this month, Tomer Burg (PolarWx) on Twitter posited that DC - NYC could see something on the order of ~20" for the month of January and people laughed at him. He might be right.
  15. Canadian is definitely the most amped, but wow. It would be a Top 10 snowfall for IAD and DCA.
  16. Had light snow breaking out at 1 am on Saturday with precip all the way back to the desert southwest.
  17. MJO progression is near perfect for snow lover
  18. 12z GFS is a reasonable "fail" scenario where the shortwave doesn't eject cleanly -AND- the confluence to the north is stronger. Even with that in mind, it looks like a solid plowable to warning level snowfall for the entire subforum with no temp issue - and it's on a weekend.
  19. It's absolutely beautiful. CAD Signature all the way to interior South Carolina, moisture laden storm, banana high from Quebec down to Texas. This is perfect.
  20. @mappy Parkton mesonet dipped to 8 degrees last night. That 2.5" of snow depth did wonders.
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