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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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We don't get a setup like this often. The separate thread was worthwhile, as even during a fail mode like this we can look back and use the information to diagnose what went right and wrong. Too many people whine in here. Damage assessment crews are out right now, and we're still fielding some reports that are delayed as folks come home from work.
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Local Storm Reports (LSRs) will lag. We've submitted over 20 just from our county to NWS alone.
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From the SPC [https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0277.html] "The tornado watch will be cancelled in the wake of this line of storms. Some threat for damaging convective winds with the front this evening still persists, but will be handled with an additional watch later this evening if necessary."
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Classic Mid Atlantic would be to get an EF-3 tornado or something run through the metros not 3 hours after they cancel the watch.
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SB I-270 at Tuckerman lane closed due to 1 to 2 feet of water across the road.
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Days like this are why telework was invented.
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00/06/12z HRRR was insistent on a strong cell running from IAD to Westminster and that's exactly what happened. It's like it got it right for the wrong reasons?
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Setups like this stink in this part of the country. 9.9/10 times they bust, then you get the 0.1 time where things go gang busters with meager sunshine. You do a post mortem on all of the events and they look all the same, yet you wonder why this one time we nuts.
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Several reports starting to come in across Poolesville, Clarksburg, Damascus, Germantown
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Cell near Nokesville is trying. Might clip southern Montgomery County as it near DC?
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Second little circulation thingy near Dickerson, MD
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This isn't the main show. Likely a little meso low or something ahead of the main line.
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Tornado Warning coming out for Rappahannock Co., Fauquier, and Culpeper counties.
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SVR for Madison now has the TOR: possible tag?
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ASOS out of Andrews went clear skies, and their ceilometer goes up to 25,000 feet. Looks like there definitely is some full breaks in the clouds.
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Sun out in Rockville. Visible satellite showing some legit breaks in the clouds.
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Storm just SW of Staunton looking like it's trying to spin a bit.
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I work with a lot of MDEM folks. I probably know them
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the warm air is definitely surging into the region. Nanjemoy mesonet site already up to 67 degrees.
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Water vapor satellite imagery is actually encouraging.
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