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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    It's likely the hail core interfering with the radar beam. Note how the broad rotation is behind the best VIL.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    These repeated dying MCS's running into MD make me far more pessimistic that we get anything of substance below Mason-Dixon today. We're just working the atmosphere over too much.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    The atmosphere is so worked over and there's a metric ton of debris clouds. Classic fail modes in these parts.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    PA and NY stole this week from us.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    You must be new here.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    GRAF is a garbage model. I've never seen it get anything even remotely correct.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Called it. ENH in NY and a tornado watch.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Verizon doing Verizon things. All stations are online and logging data locally. Once the larger issue is resolved, everything will back date quickly.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    High of 94° today in Reisterstown. First 90°+ reading since August 11th at my location.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    That's terrible news. St. Louis University has turned out some incredible meteorologists and climatologists.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Wednesday and Thursday could be legit ENH or MOD for someone in the Northeast or Mid Atlantic.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Yup 12z GFS go gung ho through mid September.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    I could see this being a warmer and drier than average September in these parts. That southern ridge just keeps on flexing itself.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Never underestimate an EML in NW flow events. Source: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/25/4/2010waf2222363_1.xml
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Summer is waiting to return in time for Christmas
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Some of us are cursed to find employment in Maryland
  17. Eskimo Joe
    As many other respected ENSO folks on here have said, we need to wait until we get deeper into autumn to see if and how this El Nino would couple with the atmosphere. Some early signs suggest this has already starter, brand it would be great to see this thing lead to a wet autumn. A couple decent regionwide shakers would end this persistent drought.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    The end of August is always a rough time for my brain. On one hand, I love the warm days and promises of football to come. On the other hand, my snow addiction starts to rear its ugly head and I find myself reading past snow event thread. Send help.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Ooof, that was a horrid winter for snow lovers.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. Both the Euro and GFS, heck even the GEFS, try to pop a 594dm ridge from Tennessee to North Carolina next week. The upside of this is that it opens the door to some NW flow potential in these parts.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR is actually decent for aerial coverage of storms, though not anything overly robust. At least it would help chip away at the dry conditions.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Could be a decent day north of I-70 into PA. More scattered than isolated wind damage.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    ^I love my Tempest. Easy set up and hasn't let me down in almost a decade.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    For the uninitiated ENSO folks like myself, that's not a favorable pattern for east coast snow, correct? That puts a trough near the Inside Passage which floods us with Pacific Puke?
  25. Eskimo Joe
    I would imagine that is not good for east cost snow lovers?
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