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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Per the 12z sounding at IAD, the Conv. Temp is 93°. Hoping to get us into the low 90s to maximize whatever we can today.
  2. If you really want to see something depressing, check out the consistently large data gap of 00z/12z RAOBs across the intermountain west, desert southwest, and upper plains. Watching the US upper air network get decimated willy nilly is just a sight to behold.
  3. 06z GFS is 2"-3" from I-70 north Friday into Saturday.
  4. 11z HRRR mixes our low level dewpoints out to the upper 50s by initiation time (~2:00 pm), while the NAMNAM Nest keeps the dews in the 60s.
  5. We have our annual fire department carnival from Wednesday to Saturday in New Windsor, Carroll County. Would absolutely LOVE to have the rain hold off until Saturday after 9pm. It's one of our biggest fundraisers.
  6. That's an understatement. Some places got almost half an inch of rain but the vegetation continues to suck it all up. Almost nothing is making it into ground water.
  7. Just give us thunder and like half an inch of rain. We could really benefit from it.
  8. This plus a climo decrease in tropical chances due to El Nino really are a wet blanket for this summer. Do we just go hot and dry all season?
  9. RSMT2 COOP Site, I somehow managed M2.02" for April.
  10. I'll be down in OC MD from May 26th - 30th for a conference. I realllly hope the weather cooperates this year. Seems like every year it's 43 degrees, fog, and a stiff wind off the ocean.
  11. It was a TDS. Damage was reported almost immediately, but when you're warning or trying to detect tornadoes in rural areas with a high beam height, you're going to miss things. The same thing happened the other year in Garett County when the TDS pushed above 11,000 ft, the radar out of Pittsburgh finally saw it. Unfortunately, it was too late by then.
  12. Thank you again for the information.
  13. Appreciate the response and map! What month, if any, would average much above average precipitation so that we can put a real dent in this drought.
  14. Warmer global temps = more instability = more wind
  15. Several 30+ gusts today.
  16. If it's a raging, basin wide El Nino in September, then it's time to just put the coffin in the ground IMO. We might get lucky with a 2016 like fluke, but I wouldn't bet money on it happening twice in a decade.
  17. If it's a strong, basin wide El Nino then I mentally prepare for 1998 or 2022-23.
  18. Hope everyone got their snow fix last year. That's a black dog look for 2026-2027.
  19. I would welcome a statewide 1" -1.5" and call it a day. We need several events where the soil profile has the opportunity to slowly rehydrate, not some big event where we get several months of rain in a couple of hours.
  20. Went up to Farmer Stan's in Upperco. Got more Lobelia Cardinalis, Bee Balm, Daisies, and Columbines. We have them in a cold frame right now for the cool weather tonight. I'm especially hopeful that I can keep the deer away this year and get my Russian Mammoth sunflowers to take. Last year, deer got inside our fence and ruined our entire garden in one night.
  21. Builders scrape vast quantities of topsoil and then sell it for profit. It's a total scam.
  22. What did you plant? I'm always looking for good plant ideas. RE: dry soil, I agree. @wxmeddler and I were talking about that earlir this week. Bittinger got almost and inch of rain, but the four inch soil moisture probe barely moved. Must be a combination of hard pan soils and surface vegetation being very thirsty.
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