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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    The short term model guidance is pretty toasty for early next week, especially the overnight lows.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Happy solar noon on solstice day!
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Good call. My lawn gets mowed tonight.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    18z RAOB from IAD told the tale, plenty of surface CAPE and low level lapse rates, but absolutely pitiful mid level lapse rates and no shear. Had we better timing, this would've been a legit event for everyone.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    @wxmeddlerand I were wondering the same thing. Definitely pockets of high winds, almost very pulse based storms, but others saw very little.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    A lot of big trees down across NW Philadelphia County.
  7. Eskimo Joe
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Probably going to need another TOR on that notch approaching NW Philly.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    That call in PA is impressive. Close to 50kft tops and 62kt winds just off the surface.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    After this round it's likely over.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Multiple storm related calls across MoCo & PG.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    M53kt DCA
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Parkton mesonet site gusted to 33 mph.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    That outflow boundary racing across Montgomery County is going to lay the tracks for something wicked further east.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Annnnd the storms are starting to gust out along the US 15 corridor in Maryland. Obvious outflow boundary on LWX radar now.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Only thing we have going against us are weak mid level lapse rates. Would lean towards the pulse type storms with a few decent wind reports today.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Happy summer. Heat index mapping is now available through the statewide mesonet.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    It's out. Blue Box coming. Really like the new graphics from SPC.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Best I've seen is 8+. We get that, we're in for high end. As I've said several times, good mid level lapse rates allow for storms to survive the rapid terrain changes in these parts. It's probably our best insurance policy for organized severe weather in these parts.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, 7.0 c/km or better.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    If we have decent mid level lapse rates, then today could be really fun for someone.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like we'll get a special 18z RAOB from IAD.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    @wxmeddler and I were thinking the same thing. Looks like the site got clipped.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Almost midnight and the air temperatures are 80 to 83 degrees on lower and central Delmarva. Summer is definitely here.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    I could see a late morning upgrade to an ENH risk from I-66 north for a 30% wind. Timing is everything in these parts, if that front lags then it's going to come down to luck on who gets a decent storm. Seems like we flip to real summer after this frontal passage.
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