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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Mesonet temps for the 2" soil depths are encouraging. Mid 30s across the board.
  2. Use the Canadian as the "bust" scenario and you won't be dissapointed.
  3. 00z GFS appears to be a low level warning event for I-95 and points NW.
  4. Back in the early 00s, with no Internet. You'd listen to the NOAA Weather Radio right as you get home from school. You've noticed that morning the forecast increased the chance of snow and the temperatures were lowered. A few wisps of cirrus were hanging low over the western horizon. Suddenly, a short pause in the radio. Then you heard it, "the following is a statement from the National Weather Service......Winter Storm Watch in effect." It's coming.
  5. If the Euro is to be believed, then it's a borderline low end warning event from DC to Mason-Dixon.
  6. Don't look at the raw output, take a look at the soundings. We have signs of a fully saturated DGZ for several hours and it's at night. You can really jackpot in that case.
  7. NOAA has a new link for the NBM snowfall. It's really slick: https://sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi/?chart=x4d&lat=40&lon=-105&theme=dark&timeZone=local&hourFormat=12&x4dviewState={"latitude"%3A40.5%2C"longitude"%3A-100%2C"bearing"%3A0%2C"pitch"%3A20%2C"zoom"%3A4}&dset=HREF-CONUS&clusHghlgt=true&x4dGrid={"HREF"%3A{"url"%3A[40.5%2C-100%2C388%2C270]}}&x4dMapStyle=2D&x4dMaps={"basemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Mapbox"}%2C"simpleBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Dark"}%2C"mapboxBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Satellite"}}
  8. Definitely something legit then if the two best globals are picking up on it.
  9. I'll take the 12z Euro in a heart beat. Solid advisory level event at night with no temperature issues, and leading into a weekend to boot!
  10. It's a Simpsons reference to Steamed Hams. Side note, I've had chicken riggies...concur on the yum.
  11. Makes sense. I'm from Utica and I've never heard anyone say that.
  12. Looks like another advisory level event inbound.
  13. Let's see if we can add 0.25" QPF regionwide and drop temps by 2 to 4 degrees.
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