Daniel Boone
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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Total in Jonesville Va as of 9:30 pm 3.25".
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I've always said that . I recall back in the '90's Dierks on WCYB saying their avg seasonal snowfall was over 100 inches.
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Yeah, they hold the state seasonal record of 123.5 inches set in '95-96
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2.6" here in Jonesville as lt snow continues. A testament about models earlier 850s going above 0c here today was wrong as we received all Snow.
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Good point. And basically, those models are seeing that as mix instead of snow and therefore the snowfall maps will show lower than the probable amounts since those areas are getting all snow.
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An inch here now. Snow got light after last report but has not picked back up to probably 3/4" hour rate.
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3/4" now and probably 2" hour rate.
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Snow began in Pennington gap at 12:50. Fine flakes just started in in Jonesville. Snowing heavy on Stone Mountain , I can see it from here.
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That's some heavy duty stuff there !
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Right now. It looks great where you are.
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Great points ! A little more press from the N would put that Ky area in our area, minus what ds within the Valley would cut back. I recall a east to west system on feb. 15 05 that spread snow across Tn that was supposed to drop much less snow in East Tn due to low rh, ds and temps in mid 40's . Snow began as a short period of rain with a stiff ene wind. It quickly changed to heavy wet snow of which mounted up to 9 inches in 5 hours along the TN/VA border. Quite a synoptic difference with this one but, that goes to show what low dps and heavy rates can do to mitigate downsloping. Models as well as kmrx had went under an in swva counties to 1-3 border counties in Tn. at onset. I recorded 5" in Jonesville.
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That was the Kentucky monster, lol. 2 feet central Ky.
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As it looks now, Central and Eastern KY is golden.
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Don't look now Carvers but, the prominent Kingsport snowholes back.
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Its sure looking like it unfortunately.
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Poor Chatt snowlovers. Just to think they somehow tallied 20" in "93 Blizzard ! More than Knox or Tri.
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yeah, that's more like it.
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Actually, pretty decent i think. It usually does rather poor here irt snowfall. Tends to underforecast amounts and is a bit high on Temps.
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Hopefully 3k Nam falls inline with the others on 0z. It kinda looks like an almost disconnect into separate moisture fields. Could be suggesting what kmrx mentioned as a possible issue; Dry column and saturation.
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Good points as usual John. It's definitely getting very interesting.
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That's it ! A bit early but... Lol. If that comes to fruition, just say part luck and old school forecasting. Lol
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Yeah, good possibility. Also, not so sure this Nina follows typical nina progression in Feb.. At some point, I believe the -NAO will return and actually work for us. Also, some late Nina Winter Storms occurred in '72 and 75. Feb. and March respectively. I'm probably wishcasting a bit here, ha ha, but, also looking at a couple 2nd year Ninas that had that progression and presenting the possibility. Also, looking at the -NAO Episodes and extrapolating with it.
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Excellent analysis and analogy of the area . Definitely put it in perspective. That is why a juiced weaker system with light winds and an overrunning event are in most cases better for snow within the great Valley. -
Yeah. Deform setup East unfortunately. Wound up with 1.7" here. Downsloping off Black did probably hurt some but, it mainly was the deform and I think extreme convective area to our south producing heavy rates there robbed some northward transport of moisture n2 this area.
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It does.
