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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Let's continue that shift another 50 miles South. Even taken verbatim, they May be doing the same as they did with a couple systems this season in undergoing amounts in the upper northern great Valley.
  2. Hopefully blocking will be persistent and be prevalent thereby preventing a Nov. repeat.
  3. Insult to injury there Jax. After what was looking like a sustained cold possibly snowy stretch to a not so great pattern advertised. Then that. Severe this time of year is not most in here's cup of Tea. Hopefully, it's wrong like the December outlook was for a warm possibly stormy period around Christmas.
  4. Pretty much classic Nina pattern. Not surprising from them.
  5. Only 1/4" Snow and sleet here. Heavier area of Snow Eastern Lee County eastward.
  6. Wound up with a quarter of inch of snow and sleet. Roads were terrible this morning !
  7. They all except the last system overperformed here. I'm at 17.05" for the season. Probably be about half that if most models had been right , and that within 24 hrs of events.
  8. Right with u on that buddy. I think it could be models are having a tough time balancing what a typical trough west ridge east solution with strong counter blocking. I guess it could come up so far but, would then more than likely transfer eastward. Hopefully for us, if it does it'll do so b4 coming that far North.
  9. Minus the real cold, can't complain up here snowfall wise, "yet", lol. We have saw warm , -NAO linkage , MJO finally gaining Amp. out of COD, on models more than once so far this Winter and it didn't happen. So, even though I'm more Leary this time, especially with the Niña Aleutian ridge in place now. However, I'm still leaning somewhat in favor of a similar thing happening this go around. EPS ftw, 60/40 %. Main thing to watch I believe is the MJO . As Carvers aluded, is prob. what is causing the warm east progression. That and of course the Pac Ridge position , of which proximity of MJO would affect as well, along with Niña forcing.
  10. It has been a good Winter here snowfall wise so far, as I have recorded 16.8 inches.
  11. Good post as usual Carvers. I've been mulling over this all day and thinking about the same thing regarding how models have done that this Winter only to fail. Hopefully, still the case. December Christmas warmth predicted by models early on I believe was a similar projected linkage if which we all know how that turned out.
  12. Looks right by what official reports they got. Too bad there's not more. I saw a pic of the 3.5" Duffield yardstick measurement. A bit unusual for that area as it sits in a low spot at the eastern foot of Powell Mountain . I'd venture to sat that Mtn had 5-6 " up top.
  13. I was thinking of the possibility of the NAO SE Ridge linkage yesterday and thought about bringing that up here but, didn't want to discourage as I'm trying to stay positive with this Winters better outcome. When that big cold blob began dropping into the west on models, the possibility of that linkage I knew existed . Especially with the Rather South displaced and strength of the - NAO. That ups the chances of a linkage, imo. As or IF that trough deepens in the West, of which will seesaw and pop a SE Ridge, at least of sorts. A 50-50 Low should/could help or instigate a gap in that linkage and possible allow for a cold country as a whole, ala ., Jan-Feb. 1979. Of course, we're in a different Climate era now so... Another worry is the La Niña assisting that Western Trough ; embedding it. As Carvers noted, the MJO may help us out this time, for a change. It owes us ! Lol.
  14. Got back home about dusk and took a measurement. 2.75" . There had been a little melting so, prob was a tad more but, have to report measured amount. Spoke with Kmrx and they said there was a report from near Rose Hill if 5". Here's a shot after I got home here. Pic of side lawn.
  15. Looks like ur the winner so far brother. What did u get , 4 to 5" ?
  16. Measured 1.70 " at home with moderate snow falling . Travelled to Middlesboro and took couple pics in Rose hill, where about 3" was on ground . Sun broke thru some breaks in clouds from Ewing to Mboro. Melting taking place there. Got to Mboro and most had melted in town. A heavy squall came thru that was prob. 6" hour rate! Was listening for thunder but, heard none. If had all stuck, would of easily dropped an inch in that 10 minutes. Temp. Here in mboro is above freezing. 35.
  17. Heavy Snow showers began while I was leaving Pennington gap about an hour ago. Got home a just s few flakes here. You can see them scattered within the area.
  18. I believe somebody's gonna get hammered with this. Ive saw 2 to 4 inches fall in an hour with these type squalls, let alone several inches from synoptic, stratuform snow within closer proximity of the system.
  19. Models still having trouble balancing out trough west and what normally should be ridge east deal to them, with the nowadays rare blocking. Spoke with Kmrx met earlier and was in agreement on that affecting models. Just not alot of input from strong blocking as opposed to the usual non blocking Winters.
  20. I can only imagine what a blockbuster Winter we would of had if the Pacific was in a better state. OTOH, minus the blocking and we may just be watching flowers bloom.
  21. Wise Va Webcam :https://www.uvawise.edu/academics/departments/mathematics-computer-science/webcam
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