Daniel Boone

About 4 and a half inches here in Jonesville. 6" + in Southern Lee Co. along Tn. Border.

Ive noticed this happening strongly lately. Dont know the exact reasoning but, may be just the "newbies" basically doing estimates , or manipulating to their thinking on how they feel the area probably did in actuality in "their" minds. Quite possibly basing some of that on how models "see" the area. They also do this on their website with their, " this day in history". They mention way less snowfall amounts with events than actual reported amounts. Sad !

Be nice to get one of the cutoff Low storms, ala, April 1987.

Seasonal Total in Jonesville Va : 28.4 ".

This was Norton, Va March 3, 1942. Dont know why pic loaded sideways.

I, like Carvers don't disagree so much of our area averaging AN. My reasoning being due to the Nina forcing in the Pac mainly. However, changing wavelengths, possible continued HLB along with possible MJO effects considerably decreases the odds and magnitude of the AN prospects. The problem I have is NCEP's outlook in basically overamping, if you will, LaNina pattern reflection for March. They have 90 to 95 % of the U.S. forecasted AN.

Just bring that ball about 150 to 200 miles north.

I see some outlets have already jumped the gun and pulled the trigger on their March outlook. Above to much above Temps for everywhere except Pac NW...Lol.

This late in the game, need that ridge in the west.

February has pretty much become Floodurary the last few years. This one may be no exception albeit a bit late if, it floods b4 Month's end. Also, i believe winter weather is pretty much over if we don't get a western ridge. Blocking without that ridge this late in winter is most likely not enough to get it done at our latitude. However, it does spell WET. So, hopefully Carvers is right and we can get all to coincide. If so, there would exist the possibility of an old fashioned March Big Dog.

Speaking of Totals guy's, I've been fortunate I guess in that many of the marginal events worked in my favor. Officially, 28.4 inches at my location east of Jonesville, Va. 1732 ft. Ele. Something noteworthy ; This Total would be average in the 1950 to 1980 climate Record period.

Look at that dog face in that image ! Or is that some chick from the 70's with her mouth open. Lol

Had about 3 inches of Snow here around 4 a.m..then sleet and rain kicked in and really packed and melted alot. False reports were reported here due to that. They reported what was on after they got up this morning. Just 1 to 1.5" left as of noon. .75" liquid has recorded on my Weather Station.

The HRRR has KTRI as the sweet spot while WISE hardly any at all. Don't know how its getting that. KTRI hit 50 today, Wise 36.

Should shunt it from coming as far North.

Most of the weather forecast media outlets are all going with the strong WAA warm nose Thursday with possibly a light mix early quickly changing to heavy rain. It's as if they never saw any of the snowy runs. Granted,with the way this system done, it does make it hard to believe those solutions but, not totally discount especially when there's players on the field that could cause those solutions.

I agree Carvers. March is getting late in the game. Without a ridge out West it'll be tough relying on just blocking,is basically what i was aluding to. Hopefully, we can get those in conjunction.

Better hope for a Miller A for Eastern areas.

Euro's had a warm bias for as long as i can remember. Don't know why it never was fixed.

Canadian Suite in particular, may be onto something. I feel at some point the "up the great Valley" se ridge affect will begin to collapse mainly N to South . By that time most of the caa should be entire column, possibly sleet b4 snow changeover as mid level may still have some +0c early on. Of course, in light of consensus, may be just grasping at straws but, have seen this type play out before.

Texas has had one heck of a Winter !

Currently 34.5 here with lt. Rain.

We'd been in business forum wide had blocking stayed strong. Hopefully, we can either get that to rebuild or get ridging more n2 the west b4 too late as that bermuda high is pretty formidable. MJO going decent amp ph. 8 would of done the trick. I am still in hopes we at least get enough nudge eastward to get Eastern areas in the game. That trough orientation as well as bermuda high is pretty locked, unfortunately for a good while it appears.

A little more push via, Hp, kicker systems etc,. Could at least to Clinch Mtn. But, if does cross Cumberlands would probably bank against Smokies. Stick there . For those in at least the western Great Valley, hope for that if u want frozen or snow with early week system.

Yep. It has definitely put a hurting on us here. Crappy things what killed a great pattern getting ready to set in here. It along with the IOD was a thorn in our side all Winter last year.