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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, for sure John. Still some hope for last nights depiction to be possible, with enough NA blocking and that NE PAC warm pool as Carver aluded to. But, with the Nina, in particular it's strength, this new depiction has greater odds of happening i.m.o, unfortunately . Maybe, it'll be more back and forth between the 2. If so, we can work with that.
  2. Daniel Boone
    My thoughts are exactly with Carvers. That NE PAC warm pool along with HLB are fighting any Niña takeover . IF Eps later depiction is right, it appears HLB may gradually force that vortex in the Yukon south. Probably down into south central Canada then who knows from there. Down into US or into eastern Canada.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Gotcha ! Thanks for the clarification. I expect back and forth as well. MJO does rule the roost many,( if not most, times ) tbh.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Same things were brought up back in '95-96 Fred as well as 2010-11 and a couple Factors warred against the full La Niña pattern takeover . Oh yes, it did try especially in 95-96 as short lived bouts of mild would come east only to be shunted by strong blocking in the NAO domain and other areas as Carver aluded to. Of course, Niña was weak that season so, odds are less favorable for that yo happen now and more in favor of more niña influence. However, what about 2010-11 ? Strong Niña but, remained cold overall in the East. Blocking was one reason. What was the others ?
  5. Daniel Boone
    Portions of Lee County received a good bit more than those reports. Problem is, very few report from here. Rose Hill for instance received 2.5 inches . Ben hur, 2" . I took measurements. The .80 was mine at 7 a.m...another .7 fell after that.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Noticed Dierks on WCYB this evening mentioned just a low chance of a turn over at the end for end of week system and showed a model run. He is a good Met and guy but, is warm biased.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Lee County totals varied from under an inch to several. Jonesville, 1 to 1.5" . Rose Hill 2.5, Ben Hur 2". Pennington gap 1.5. More on mountains, of course.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Latest update from kmrx has no accumulation for Knoxvegas. Not surprising though.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Feb. 2015 was epic and was going against the grain, so to speak.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Lt rain in Kingsport still. Just leaving there geading back home. Inlaws said snowing in Jonesville.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Light snow coming down steady 1800 and up on Powell Mountain, Lee/Scott County line.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Wonder what's causing the drop off in parts of Eastern KY on Rap ? Looks rather odd.
  13. Daniel Boone
    That should allow for more system generated Snowfall for the area.
  14. Daniel Boone
    It looks NAM generated.
  15. Daniel Boone
    If today's GFS Operational comes to fruition, our cold/snow after 2morrow and Tuesdays went in the crapper! Flip flop from last several days.
  16. Daniel Boone
    That's a rather "cheesy " looking forecast. They can do better than that.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Y
  18. Daniel Boone
    What a boobyful Map !
  19. Daniel Boone
    They're pretty much always conservative. I'll say this, IF there's strong nw flow off the lakes and enuff steep lapse rates, I guarantee much more than they're showing. NW flow alone would yield more than 2 inches in places like Wise, Va for example..
  20. Daniel Boone
    This is the one we're rooting for Carvers. CMC actually did better here the last couple seasons than the others a few times.
  21. Daniel Boone
    One thing of note, especially with LR modeling is the heavy weighting of ENSO. So, this could be alot of the shifting to the western trough. Of course, may very well happen and of course with the strength of La niña, odds favor that.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Agree John. Also, measurements were taken different back then by some. They would measure after snow ended and settled. Also, during drifting events they would measure the leveled or lowest area instead of different locations for an average.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Here ya go guys. That one ruled the roost here as far as November Snowstorms. A true Blizzard ! Cars were completely covered here in Lee County from huge drifts . Higher eles. of County received 2 ft.+. Drifts much higher. Temps were in teens during day.
  24. Daniel Boone
    4" here from that last year.
  25. Daniel Boone
    You have 74-75 as an analog. Didn't u mean 75-76 ?
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