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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    With persistent blocking, we're gonna have to keep eye on MJO. Models struggling due to it and Niña state affects on pattern I believe.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Still shows possibility of an outbreak. Models flip per usual. If MJO goes cold phases and blocking remains may not be so unrealistic.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Got a Lt. dusting in JC. . Dusting at my home in Jonesville, Lee Co. VA but, just a couple miles north, 2 to 3" across Northern Lee as they got in somewhat on that south end of the large synoptic area that moved through KY. A shot from my home looking North . Stone Mtn. along Ky border snow covered.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Began snowing here at 8:35. Big flakes early that dusted grass a little then went to rather small flakes. Temps down to 33. A bust so far. Kind of was afraid precip might get pulled across mountains close to and within lp . Mentioned that earlier. Parts of KY doing pretty decent . It's the weakened gap between the two, the great valley.
  5. Daniel Boone
    44.0 here. Temp fell from 54.4 to 44.0 in an hour and 25 mins. Brisk northerly wind of 5-20 mph.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Dropping fast here with a brisk Northerly wind , 5 to 20 mph. Went from 54.4 to 44.2 in an hour and 20 mins.
  7. Daniel Boone
    53 here currently at just over 1700 feet. Alot of sun today but, clouds are moving in now. Terrible timing.
  8. Daniel Boone
    The problem I believe the SR Model's are seeing regarding moisture is the LP to our SE pulling the moisture closer and into it. I've saw this b4 more than once. There is a decent slug that goes thru KY But, as that low cranks a larger area increase and intensifies to our SE therefore creating a weakness or gap of sorts between the two with the Terrain being an aid to that process I believe. Alot of difference I know but, some similarities to the Christmas 2010 snowfall. General 3 to 5" amounts from areas to our west then, transfer/ strengthening Southern LP created that weakness and the area between the 2 saw lighter amounts. 2.7" at my home. KTRI an inch.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Suns breaking thru here with about 55% Cloudcover. Current Temp. of 42. Lt. East wind. Hopefully, clouds fill back in soon but, not liking setup with this one. Timing hurts us . As far as HRRR and couple other SR Model's, they've performed rather poor here with a couple of the events this season , having had us getting under an inch right up to the event. Basically the entire County got 3-6". Of course, there's a reason for that I won't go n2 now and only pertains to this general area.
  10. Daniel Boone
    3k looks paltry.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Yep. It has been stingy regarding Snow for the area all Season. Like you, hopefully it won't score one.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Just wondered as its been terrible here this Winter.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Anyone know much about the IBM Graff Model ? Anyway, it is the "in house " model WCYB in Bristol uses. Just curious as I conversed with them recently as was curious because of its forecasted failures as far as Lee, Claiborne and Hancock Counties were concerned.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Good point's per usual Carvers. NOAA has a tendency to use the RMM and GEFS as you know. We all pretty much know their bias's.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Waterways are up here yhis morning . Measured 1.99" Rainfall from this System. That along with residual snowmelt caused alot of standing water in lawns and pastures along with some streams coming over their banks last night.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Grit posted a Noaa MJO update a little while ago in Southeastern. I didn't take time to check it out, other than them saying it's gaining amp in WPAC.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, it'll be right . Euro's really not that far off. I think it still has a bit of warm bias so, who knows. May be reason of its Christmas Eve failure of sorts or could be it has a weakness with anafrontal situations or that was just a fluke by it.
  18. Daniel Boone
    As far as this side of the mountains, particularly the Cumberlands, the Canadian Suite has outperformed the others overall this Winter.
  19. Daniel Boone
    It has been the most accurate in Lee County and from what I gather, along the Cumberland range. The others run a bit warm for here.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yep! Typical model adjustments during blocking.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Let's hope the RGEM keeps the hot hand.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, always a little nervous when the Euro is not "in". I believe ur right on it being the Christmas Eve event it had trouble with. Could be there's a bit of a weakness with it regarding anafrontal precip...
  23. Daniel Boone
    That's our money Model buddy ! Hopefully, it'll continue it's hot streak.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Would have had a Torch much of the winter so far had it not been for the blocking. Hopefully, we can maintain that thru Feb. and bonus March. Can u imagine if we'd had a decent PAC Setup.!? Another thing that would sure help Is if the emerging MJO can get into the "nowadays ever so elusive in winter" cold phases.
  25. Daniel Boone
    South.
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