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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Yep. With this Pattern we need digging Clippers. The s.stream actually hurts us with those sometimes.
  2. Daniel Boone
    We are still slightly less than half the average Seasonal Snowfall here. 7.9" so far.
  3. Daniel Boone
    So, basically everyone needs to take a Chill pill, right?.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Lol. Not surprising really. I don't get how they picked that up and then completely lost it. How many snows , storms or clippers have we saw advertised recently within the 10 day window that has materialized.?...Very few. I'm basically down to having any hopes in one, of about 3 days on the horizon.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Flurries here. Dusting 2000 ft up.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Feeling those vibes as well. I was thinking and in hopes Blocking would be setting up around now and things would align to where we'd pull off at least one major Snowfall for the Valley but, having doubts now. May be one of those Winters where all area's, NSEW record above average Snowfall while the great Valley is Avg. or below. If old Averages were still used, entire Valley would be well below. Who knows, with todays paltry averages, wouldn't take but one halfway decent Storm to go over the threshold.
  7. Daniel Boone
    That was 1986.
  8. Daniel Boone
    We got 13.5" here that day. 6" of that fell in an hour and 15 minutes that afternoon. The heaviest, straight down snow I've witnessed at that duration. Flakes were large, medium and small. Visibility was around 100 yards !
  9. Daniel Boone
    Looks almost carbon copy of current system. If so, BS . Ohio Valley would be under 4 feet of snow and ice.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Thanks for the uplifting posts Carvers. You made valid points as did Holston. Hopefully, ur right irt the MJO. There was a time I'd been completely delved n2 and saturated with the current data but, not anymore as my health prevents it. Terrible to seldom feel like doing things you enjoy. If it weren't for you guy's on here I'd be lost anymore. Those of you that aren't Mets, u r as good as and even better than many. It's a shame most in the Field r not as you all.
  11. Daniel Boone
    I think ur right irt the MJO. The 500 mb pattern sure is looking like that 3 to 4 transition. If so, odds of the Feb. 72 and 75 similar playout are off the Table. Maybe an '84 Feb/March variation. Not good in the great Valley . Points West did o.k. . There was a March event that produced Thundersnow and a significant Snowfall 2000ft and above in the Eastern Forum Area.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Ì agree John. It's as if they want people to believe the areas got less. I just don't get it.??. It almost appears they are computer generated but, apparently not based on official obs input. Western Lee received much more than that graphic indicates. As you mentioned John, the Snow streamer bands would be evident on that map if it were done correctly.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, remember that one well. I had 5" in Jonesville. Just 2 miles south of me in southern Lee County there was 8" . Stickleyville in eastern Lee at base of Powell Mountain had 9". Northern Lee received no precip. Amazing sharp cutoff.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Anyone remember back in December when most were calling for a canonical nina February.?. I had my suspicions and alluded to the possibility of a 1971-72 and 74-75 type. There was a major arctic outbreak mid Feb. 72 followed by a major Snowstorm. Feb. 75 featured cold and Snow deep into the SE with most snow to our south and east. However, a Snowstorm occured in parts of our area in early March. Not particularly great analogues in all respects but, possible similar outcomes.
  15. Daniel Boone
    You would think that will be the case with the MJO in ph. 3 if it influences enough as well.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Yep !
  17. Daniel Boone
    Check that streak out from western Lee that stayed intact down thru the heart of the upper valley. Several inches western Lee co. from it . KMRX measured an inch and a half from it at their Office.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Picked up just a half inch here. Far NE Lee County picked up several inches as well as all of Wise County. Western Lee County picked up 1 to 3". Not a single streamer moved over here. Just western and eastern sections the County.
  19. Daniel Boone
    I don't know how noticeable it has been to many on the board but, there is a bit of a discrepancy within most models now that began a couple months back. If you notice, the linear of the great valley qpf output is not matching up as well as it did a few months ago. At first, it looked like a grid problem but, upon further investigation I found it to be due to "Official" Weather Station Data ingestion. The Pennington gap Station in Lee County, of which had been nullified several years ago due to bad management operation of observers there submitting erroneous Data, has been reinstated and is once again presenting flawed Obs and Data. I spoke with KMRX regarding this and hopefully will get this taken care of. I'm pretty sure more "Official" Stations have been added as well. This Data is used in the Model Ingest System and therefore affects the areas of their input locations. I'll pass along what and if there's more I find out regarding this.
  20. Daniel Boone
    As far as the current impending minor threat, I'm rooting for the rgem for obvious reasons. However, providing dry air doesn't consume more qpf than it indicates, the rgem actually looks more realistic with amounts and topographical coverage layout than some of the others, particularly the gfs. The GFS has the entire Valley blanked now. Hard to buy that as quick moving mod. Snshwrs with high ratios will drop a half inch rather fast.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Your location John is alot like the Norton area irt temps and Snowfall. Wise , just a couple miles north of Norton has a seasonal Snowfall avg. of 48" (Wise Airport). It is about 500 ft. Higher however. Norton's is probably 32 to 35" just guessing. So, ur are definitely in a sweet spot .
  22. Daniel Boone
    Agree. I've witnessed that here. Models are only as good as what goes into them as well. Not all official weather station data that is ingested is accurate, thereby causing the Models to forecast for the area from where the inaçcurate data comes from to be in error . I know of some stations in my area that are as much as 4 degrees above actual as well as poor official observers.
  23. Daniel Boone
    My Dad used to say that. Wasn't always the case of course. Fond memories. I was up Norton today and they still have snow cover on level ground and North facing, shady areas. Large piles still in parking Lots.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Tbh, undetermined as so many variables vying for control. MJO warm phases coupled with Nina in Feb. is as you know a strong undesirable combo. Hopefully,we can get it in strong cold phases. However, WPO and EPO have been flexing pretty good so, my best guess is a combative pattern with troughs rather progressive if MJO doesn't go predominately in cold phases in FEB. . Of course old fashioned blocking style would help as well. That's my old school relic wag, lol
  25. Daniel Boone
    When we needed a sw Atlantic Ridge,or an east based ser if you will, we don't get one i.e, this upcoming system. The past week and a half has really been a disappointment in this location overall. Clippers went North, SS systems South.
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