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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Canadian Suite in particular, may be onto something. I feel at some point the "up the great Valley" se ridge affect will begin to collapse mainly N to South . By that time most of the caa should be entire column, possibly sleet b4 snow changeover as mid level may still have some +0c early on. Of course, in light of consensus, may be just grasping at straws but, have seen this type play out before.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Texas has had one heck of a Winter !
  3. Daniel Boone
    Currently 34.5 here with lt. Rain.
  4. Daniel Boone
    We'd been in business forum wide had blocking stayed strong. Hopefully, we can either get that to rebuild or get ridging more n2 the west b4 too late as that bermuda high is pretty formidable. MJO going decent amp ph. 8 would of done the trick. I am still in hopes we at least get enough nudge eastward to get Eastern areas in the game. That trough orientation as well as bermuda high is pretty locked, unfortunately for a good while it appears.
  5. Daniel Boone
    A little more push via, Hp, kicker systems etc,. Could at least to Clinch Mtn. But, if does cross Cumberlands would probably bank against Smokies. Stick there . For those in at least the western Great Valley, hope for that if u want frozen or snow with early week system.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Yep. It has definitely put a hurting on us here. Crappy things what killed a great pattern getting ready to set in here. It along with the IOD was a thorn in our side all Winter last year.
  7. Daniel Boone
    The old killer, "Tn Valley effect". as dubbed years ago .
  8. Daniel Boone
    Tnwxnut, I see your concerns, particularly over there. Man, u all have been shortchanged irt snow again this season. I've been fortunate here with 25.1 inches so far. I sure hope something occurs that delivers for you all. Glad for the western forum snow lovers. Still believe there'll be a couple decent shots further east as well.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Should of added what tnweathernut mentioned irt less blocking now. Best we can hope for is MJO propagation to ph. 8.
  10. Daniel Boone
    I'm with you there bna. The trend has been realized,albeit slow , with this one . The MJO phase is the difference this time. Hopefully, the SE press, trend will be enough to put us all in the game for snow our of this b4 all is settled.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Ive saw this setup so many times before. Patterns set up in a way that it allows that Great Valley gap to be even more prominent irt cold/snow void. MJO really hurt us royally at a crucial time. Can u imagine had the MJO stayed dormant and the pattern we had stayed in place, with the Arctic air being incorporated ; we'd all been digging out for weeks.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Models clearly MJO 7ing it with the trough in the Rockies & Plains i.m.o. We'll see how well the blocking can cause the cold to come further SE than a typical Ph. 7 pattern.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, as Carvers noted, nasty outcome and very plausible.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Good question??
  15. Daniel Boone
    Man, sure hope the icing don't come to fruition. Arctic air close by, ph. 7 MJO and blocking lends to that in particular IF blocking is not strong. if it is and not too far west, less icing, more snow.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Perfectly put Carvers ! Exactly what the deal is. Hopefully that block does shift back east and remains formidable. If so, we may not get that missing piece, "Arctic cold" this Winter but, still should get Snow/frozen precip at times. My worries regarding the MJO in my post yesterday are legit now, however.
  17. Daniel Boone
    It would be our luck after virtually no MJO effects for it to affect us adversely now that it's active. Hopefully, not the case since , even if it does, we have an offsetting player . The -NAO.
  18. Daniel Boone
    That mid week system still bares watching, particularly northern and western areas. Se trend ftw .
  19. Daniel Boone
    Phase 7 can be good here in snowfall terms as long as blocking is present. Today's an example. Actually, just coming into it.
  20. Daniel Boone
    The evolution all makes sense as the Euros western bias was most likely culprit of it's recent depictions. Models in general will probably trend more South and east in response to blocking as has been the case this season. Add the now active MJO and it should aid further propagation later on, providing it goes phase 8.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Depending on how much blocking , things could still come a bit further east than the basically, phase 7 depiction. For cold/snow lovers particularly in the entire forum, hope for it to go healthy phase 8 next week. As you noted Carvers , phase 7 bordering 8 puts us in the game for alot of action. Constant bitter cold probably western areas with that. Just my old school worn out ,out of date 2 cents.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Some limbs downed here too. Btw, don't know if was reported here but, Wise wound up with 7.5 to 8 inches verified measurement pics. A community near Nora in Dickenson, Co. Va, 9".
  23. Daniel Boone
    Used to correspond with Larry quite a bit. Great guy ! He is who talked Dave Dierks into taking Meteorology at Iowa State with him. Very knowledgeable and one of the best pattern recognition and long range guys .
  24. Daniel Boone
    Sun came out for awhile here earlier. Cloudy and 36 now . Alot of melting.
  25. Daniel Boone
    @WCYB_DavidBoyd 4 to 5 inches of snow in Jonesville Va this morning. Deeper in spots.
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