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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Glad youre on the mend Jeff. Great to have u back.
  2. Daniel Boone
    I see CPC IS going warm for most of the country for December. Following those climate models. Of course, cpc is warn biased anyway as most of us know.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Thanks buddy. Just being an old timer with experience and memories that help. Brother, you definitely add valuable insight to the forums. Let's hope the Ghost of those winters of yore pay a visit . Although, I couldn't enjoy them like I used to. Tough to handle the cold anymore.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Radiance, first off, kudos on the work u put into this. Good stuff ! The biggest difference this winter compared to last I believe is going to be blocking. Enough of it and you can have cold cover much of the U.S., coast to coast, including the upper Southeast even with a -PNA. Ala., 1978-79. Of course on back, the '60's featured this fairly consistent. Blocking was so strong it congested the flow to create a +PNA at times with a -PDO background . Of course, as so many make a point of, we are in a warmer Climate era now so, things are different now. Yes, this is true but, a watered down version to the pattern those years is still possible. Also, we are in a decent Solar Minimum now and let's not forget the descending QBO.
  5. Daniel Boone
    This period coming up is going to be tough. So many variables juggling for position.
  6. Daniel Boone
    My bad on the gefs. Actually saw on ma forum that it was mild too. May of been an earlier run they were referencing although last I had saw the eps was mild, gefs cold. I'd bet models would be going with the warm-up back the in lr as well, only to of reverted at closer range. Also, makes u wonder how the MJO acted then.?. We know HL blocking was prevalent most of the time. I, like you Carvers, feel HLB is and will play havoc. Enough of it and even the MJO warm phases can be rather cool. Food for thought.
  7. Daniel Boone
    MJO may actually deter end of month mild pattern eps,gefs indicate. I wonder how models would have done during the late 70's Winters .?. The repetitive persistent cold pattern that lasted for months.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Hm is all in end of Month. He is really touting the Aleutian L.p. pattern setup..via his tweets.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Verbatim, that has snow threats written all over it, depending on how much cold is available of course.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Last checked, Kmrx hadn't put out anything on it. Models all underforecasted amounts for Lee County. The Euro came closest.
  11. Daniel Boone
    The Nov. 1950 storm was a monster ! Great writeups and pics can be found online. My County received 1 to 3 feet with much higher drifts. The official reporting station in Pennington gap (ele. 1400 ft) recorded 17". A relative of mine was in for Thanksgiving from Dayton Ohio and said his Car looked like a hump, completed covered when he went out to get ready to head back to Dayton. The Weirton Museum online has alot of pics from that part of WV in their site. 4 feet there. Most reported was in southern WV where 5 feet was reported !
  12. Daniel Boone
    Pic from this morning of the 3.5 to 4 inch snowfall here.
  13. Daniel Boone
    I'm in a rather elevated area at 1729 ft.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Measured 3.5 to 4 inches here Lee Co. in far SW Va..
  15. Daniel Boone
    Measured 3.5 to 4 inches. 4" in grass.
  16. Daniel Boone
    That September setup of a -Nao hooking up with a SE Ridge is a somewhat typical setup in summer months but, not Winter. Has happened but, rare. So, hopefully the law of averages works in this case.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Showers started here about an hour ago.
  18. Daniel Boone
    I remember years past, mainly 70's and 80s of this occurring with arctic frontal passages. Several inches would fall , even in the lower elevations.
  19. Daniel Boone
    18z nam increased totals a good bit monday/Tuesday.
  20. Daniel Boone
    That '69-70 looks scrumptious here in far western Va..
  21. Daniel Boone
    Step in step with you on your Lr thoughts Jeff ! Very good and sound reasoning in layman's terms ! The only slught difference in my thoughts is the snowfall for mon-tue. I suspect areas along ky-va border should pick up a general 1-3" . Of course, this area is not your area of expertise.
  22. Daniel Boone
    26 here this morning with heavy frost.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Nothing to the snow in October, winter over thing. Several October's featured snow here and the Winter was cold/snowy. Of course, most of us know this. However, there are those that really believe that "rule". Lol.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Received a light dusting of snow on vehicles here last night.
  25. Daniel Boone
    I remember those well too John. Had those recorded in my records of which got misplaced during relocation. Don't know why those didn't come to mind. Only snowed once here oct. 95 . Recorded 1.5" Halloween 93 with about 2" the 1st of Nov. . Jan. 94 was cold here but only received 1 significant snow. 7 inches. 95-96 ; 52 inches.
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