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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. You know you won't... addicts always come back. See you there.
  2. Don't worry... Memphis and Little Rock are about to double their climo by being fringed... by being too far north...
  3. He honestly is... if you just simply went with whatever model showed no snow you'd pretty much be batting 1.000 over the past 2 years. Maybe it legit just doesn't snow here anymore under 750ft
  4. At least Memphis gets a nice 6-10" event out of it consistently on every single model...
  5. My bar here really is low... I'll be satisfied with >1" of cold smoke... first 1" snow in 2 full years
  6. The mean QPF did shift SE significantly though from 00z though
  7. This seems like a very good chance for at least something for the whole area... and a massive improvement over 00z
  8. FWIW, the 12z GEFS surface low track is still ~75mi or so SE of the GFS op. Op seems to go from Norfolk to Cape May while GEFS goes Nags Head to 150mi E of Chincoteague
  9. HRRR has been consistent for at least 9 straight runs now that a strong storm cluster goes through the Baltimore area around 00z... something to watch for. CAPE is >4000 E of the BR
  10. Last few vis sat frames seem to indicate the high clouds are thinning/burning off some...
  11. Some of us haven't even had a cartopper yet... that's whats crazy. If I see a half inch it will be my biggest event of the season here just E of BWI
  12. Bring it on. I'm done with windy, cloudy and 55. At least if its 90 I can grill and get in the pool with my kids.
  13. Law of averages. 2023-24 will be 2009-10 on steroids... book it
  14. 11AM Update no change in max sustained SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 82.5W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM WNW OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES
  15. Eye is really clearing out last few frames on visible...
  16. Look at the surge in this webcam... go back to 2h ago and compare the sea level to now. holy crap
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