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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. caviman2201
    Not sure if anyone else noticed this, but PivotalWeather has added soundings for both the CMC and Euro (as well as all the others) if you pay the $7 month. Pretty good deal. I haven't seen Euro soundings anywhere else.
  2. caviman2201
    I wish I was that close to climo... BWI region has had it much worse than NoVA this year, so... perspective. I think BWI climo is 18" and we've seen around 7-8". Not sure what their official tally is at this point.
  3. caviman2201
    Total GFS Precip for both waves... all snow ~ north of Rt. 50
  4. caviman2201
    I couldn't resist...
  5. caviman2201
    Oh look... It's the last second north tick that's happened all year. This year it seems that if you want the goods, you want to be north fringed at 48-72h, ideally worrying about suppression
  6. caviman2201
    If we get that last second tick north that we've seen every storm now, DC and Baltimore will be in the best stuff. Hopefully we can get it one more time
  7. caviman2201
    If only I had any faith in the models at this point. I think I've had 2-3ft of modeled snow within 48h of onset this winter and have only 6" to show for it. Baltimore has been getting Lucy'd pretty hard this year
  8. caviman2201
    What did Baltimore do to anger the snow gods this year? This is pathetic. Mostly Rain. 36/30. Maybe a quarter inch of wet slop on grass
  9. caviman2201
    41/21 Glen Burnie
  10. caviman2201
    We're 24h from onset. I want them as meteorologists to make a forecast of a range of snowfall without a bunch of caveats and let the chips fall where they may. I'm happy to read all the disco/explanation but make a call on a map. Sorry if that's asking too much. With that I'm going to let it drop.
  11. caviman2201
    Lol people rag on CWG's 1-20" boom/bust/high/medium/low confidence forecasts every day on this forum and I'm getting the business from an account that posts once a decade over my first and only jab at them.
  12. caviman2201
    Except they're supposed to tell me something I don't know by looking at the spread on TT...
  13. caviman2201
    Quickly becoming the minority here in the 11th hour. We seem to keep having storms trend worse in the homestretch.
  14. caviman2201
    I would take the 12z NAM verbatim. Let us flatlanders get one
  15. caviman2201
    Does anyone else struggle in this timerange (before NWS puts out any watches/warnings, but close enough to feel comfortable that it is going to snow some) with telling friends/family/wife/kids about the possible snow for fear of jinxing it? I feel like every time as soon as I say something to the family that's when the models start trending to screw us.
  16. caviman2201
    Maybe we flatlanders can get one this year... it wouldn't be the worst thing ever for it to not be a fall line special
  17. caviman2201
    I don't know why you guys are giving rgem such a hard time... I got well over 10% of it's advertised short range totals. Beats the heck out of dropping dirt into the breeze.
  18. caviman2201
    Its been that way all season. The snowfall gradient on the seasonal map is very telling. I know a lot of the forum is feeling pretty good right now but it has been very painful E of 95 this year.
  19. caviman2201
    North trend right up to gametime for NYC jack?
  20. caviman2201
    Getting some legit freezing rain accretion in Glen Burnie right now.... 29/27 Everything is glazed
  21. caviman2201
    We just have to hope it's honing in on what the globals have been saying all day
  22. caviman2201
    Does anyone else make a special meal on snow days? Apologies if this conversation happened already. My wife is making scratch made beef pho (has been all day) and I'm enjoying Talisker 10 smelling the amazingness
  23. caviman2201
    Can those gravity waves create lift and cause radar to flare up?
  24. caviman2201
    so... assuming its right, what happened? what took us from elated to feeling robbed in 12h?
  25. caviman2201
    "Storm blew its load and occluded by that panel. All the good stuff happens during the deepening phase. By hr 72 it's a tired old man ready for bed." This is signature material... Weather related comment though is it seems like the difference betweeen 4-6 and something more is whether that retrograde is real...
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