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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. caviman2201
    He honestly is... if you just simply went with whatever model showed no snow you'd pretty much be batting 1.000 over the past 2 years. Maybe it legit just doesn't snow here anymore under 750ft
  2. caviman2201
    There's even people who... *gasp*... hate snow...
  3. caviman2201
    At least Memphis gets a nice 6-10" event out of it consistently on every single model...
  4. caviman2201
    PSU is gonna be a while with the Ukie...
  5. caviman2201
    My bar here really is low... I'll be satisfied with >1" of cold smoke... first 1" snow in 2 full years
  6. caviman2201
    Thats prob not a great trend...
  7. caviman2201
    The mean QPF did shift SE significantly though from 00z though
  8. caviman2201
    EPS looks okay so far...
  9. caviman2201
    This seems like a very good chance for at least something for the whole area... and a massive improvement over 00z
  10. caviman2201
    FWIW, the 12z GEFS surface low track is still ~75mi or so SE of the GFS op. Op seems to go from Norfolk to Cape May while GEFS goes Nags Head to 150mi E of Chincoteague
  11. caviman2201
    Its still snowing at 144.... Edit: and at 147
  12. caviman2201
    omg...
  13. caviman2201
    HRRR has been consistent for at least 9 straight runs now that a strong storm cluster goes through the Baltimore area around 00z... something to watch for. CAPE is >4000 E of the BR
  14. caviman2201
    Last few vis sat frames seem to indicate the high clouds are thinning/burning off some...
  15. caviman2201
    Some of us haven't even had a cartopper yet... that's whats crazy. If I see a half inch it will be my biggest event of the season here just E of BWI
  16. caviman2201
    Bring it on. I'm done with windy, cloudy and 55. At least if its 90 I can grill and get in the pool with my kids.
  17. caviman2201
    Pretty remarkable...
  18. caviman2201
    Law of averages. 2023-24 will be 2009-10 on steroids... book it
  19. caviman2201
    11AM Update no change in max sustained SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 82.5W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM WNW OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES
  20. caviman2201
    Eye is really clearing out last few frames on visible...
  21. caviman2201
  22. caviman2201
    Look at the surge in this webcam... go back to 2h ago and compare the sea level to now. holy crap
  23. caviman2201
    Lightning wrapped all the way around the eye now... don't see that every day.
  24. caviman2201
    Kinda weird NWS hasn't hoisted the Flood Watch... Its a Friday in summer... lots of people are going to go down to old Ellicott City to eat and hit the bars with no clue this could potentially make their night a living hell.
  25. caviman2201
    Seeing a hook echo on the DCA and Andrews TDWR... and a notch forming on LWX NEXRAD. Rotation is still fairly weak though.
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