caviman2201

I'm having flashbacks to last year when the most amazing, epic pattern was 2 weeks away... until spring came.

The warm layer is so thin those of us E of 95 might be able to look up and watch our snowflakes melt. Might be snowing at the top of the Legg Mason building in the innner harbor and raining on the street lol. Side note, I wonder if thats ever happened somewhere with really tall buildings like NYC where the warm layer was so thin it was raining on the street but snowing on the tops of the ~1000ft+ buildings.

There's just no way thats rain... 36F surface with a -3C 925mb? Maybe white rain, but no way thats plain rain. IF (and a big IF) these models have the temp profiles right, I think many of them are missing the mark with p-type.

Way more worried about the north/warm trend than current temps. 00Z NAM 3K has BWI at 41 at 11p so it's right where it was expected to be. GFS has me way too close to that gradient now

someone is digging up the Ron Paul gif after that NAM'ing... you just know it

This is one of those events where MDOT lays down a billion tons of brine unnecessarily to avoid having to cut their budget next year.

At least the temp drops fairly rapidly in the upper levels. Even 925mb is below freezing all the way down to extreme southern MD. 850mb is frigid.

considering BL temps... lol be careful what you wish for

Better across the board... the trend continues...

Its pretty much all over central/N/NE MD, SE PA... but no it didn't improve for I-81 (didn't really get worse, either). BWI went from 0.2 to 0.4+

Southern DE jackpot... Lock it up. They have been on an incredible hot steak

Love that the GFS just put a 6" lolli right on PSU's house. It knows.

My bar here is white rain up to a trashcan topper. I have yet to see a flake this year, so I'm still happy with this event unless it trends to nothing at all.

Has anyone else noticed that the NAM has been pretty insistent on a potent little bay effect squall down at the mouth of the bay after the front passes? Will be interesting to see if that pans out.

12Z Euro says nope.

Ok, so... Odds of a 6"+ snow is near zero, but what are we thinking about odds of a little snow TV up to a dusting (which is all any of us should realistically be hoping for at this point)? 50/50?

Be gone with your facts and logic

blue sky peeking out in Glen Burnie as well...

Euro is actually calling for quite a bit of lightning with this line... seems hard to believe we'll see a ton of lightning on 10/31, but I guess with a front this strong its possible.

That is a serious cold front... look at the temp gradient. 70 at Andrews and 49 at College Park?

Its been like that all day... not sure what those lines are all about. Interestingly, the local TDWR radars are picking it up too... mass quantities of bugs maybe?

The wind orientation is perfect coming from the NNE so I can tuck my balcony chair into the NW corner and stay dry and watch the waves. I did venture out to the beach for a few mins but the sandblast on my legs was pretty unpleasant. Waves are pretty incredible... quite a few are easily 10-15ft and they've made it over the first dune with still 30 mins or so to high tide. I'm pretty salty that KDOX went down at 10a... smh

OC Report: Didn't leave, thankfully... Wife is not impressed... What else is new Weather is awesome. Yuuge waves and gusts 40-50. Cool stuff. High tide in about 2hrs and waves are already going over that first large dune on the beach. Interested in seeing if they make it to the dunes behind it

Getting breezy in a band down here in OC

I know this is IMBY but I need some advice. I'm in OC right now with the family thru Sunday. We're at 33rd St oceanfront in an oceanfront room. I've personally never experienced tropical storm conditions and while the weather nerd in me is very intrigued, the wife is concerned now that they've upgraded us to TS warning. We're in a big sturdy hotel with an indoor pool and my thought was we'll just be enjoying a rainy windy day inside at the pool. Am I taking it too lightly or is my wife taking it too seriously? 30-40 sustained with gusts in the 50s sounds like no worse than a blizzard or a severe thunderstorm and I would assume the big hotels have generators even if power were to get knocked out for a bit. They are calling for little to no surge and really not even that much rain. Thoughts?