caviman2201
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Everything posted by caviman2201
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So... We've established that Weathermodels.com is an s-show. This year is my first time using it after years of using WxBell which was pretty but also very slow. What else is out there besides those two? I'm thinking about going back to WxBell if only because the interface is less confusing.
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So... whats the next threat window? lol
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Oh I thought I saw a met say it was a norlun... maybe they were saying it wasn't a norlun. Can't remember and certainly can't identify it myself, which is why I dropped it in banter. Thanks for the correction Its hilarious to see one county under a winter storm warning.
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Man southern NJ is getting raked by that Norlun... http://attheshore.com/livecam-accc556#sponsorad https://www.weathernerds.org/radar/rad.html?&initsite=KDIX&initradtype=ref&initcscheme=undefined&initimdimx=1016&initimdimy=775&initrange=42.023316520000:-77.118946090000:37.870868680000:-71.702509850000&initloop=True&initnframes=6&initwarnings=On&initinterstates=On
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Precip did shift north ever so slightly overall... maybe 25-30 miles.
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the whole storm looks slightly further west compared to 6z
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150 it drifts barely due east and precip is only on the shore.
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144 has a 987mb barely moving NE but the NW side just has no precip. DC is flurries... BWI light snow
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138 has a 990mb at the mouth of the bay w snow up to the m-d line... Nw precip seems underdone
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132 has a 994mb right on Hatteras. Precip into DC and knocking on BWIs door
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Pretty big shift north... Snow knocking on the door at 126. Wasn't even to Cville at the same time 12z
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Yes... Now that this conversation is in the right place, does anyone know what happened with him?
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Only on TT... its further out on Weathernerds and College of DuPage
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maybe looking at yesterdays?? pics or it didn't happen lol
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We just need Mitch to make an appearance... miss that guy
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For those of us who don't know, can someone in here decipher that Euro weeklies 500 setup everyone is drooling over in the main thread? I get the ridge in the west and the trof in the east being good but what else makes it drool worthy? Also I think it's Bob who keeps saying how good it is that the polar vortex is being beat up... Why is that such a good thing? Lastly we all make fun of anyone looking at a 384hr op map... Why does a 1000+hr weeklies map have any chance of even being close to accurate? Does the decreased resolution and fewer products allow them to maintain accuracy at range?
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RIP sleep tonight and productivity tomorrow...
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Precip distribution is weird... A 993mb low just off VA Beach and flurries in Baltimore. Track looks nice though
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So who else should be sleeping but is staying up so they can go to sleep disappointed? Lol
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Oh well... Think the writing's on the wall with this one unless every model is missing something. I still don't believe SC and GA get a foot+ in early Dec, but I don't think this one's for us. I know we're a ways out, but not often do we see a storm trend badly on all models and still pull it off. Maybe we can get lucky and this trends north enough to get some light stuff.
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FV3 stuck?
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Is SW strength something we generally have to wait until it comes onshore to determine or are satellites able to reliably pick that up and feed it to the models while it's still over the ocean? In other words at what point is the initial SW strength "locked in"?
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Is there even an analog this early in the season for a suppressed STJ wave that dumps on the Carolinas while we get nada? I have to think we have climo strongly on our side here too. Even if it is within the realm of possibilities, I have to think a solution like the 6z GFSv2 is exceedingly rare this early in the year.
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Can we just ban clown maps beyond 72hrs?
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Man, did we need this run...
