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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. Not sure if its been mentioned but QPF slug has moved north on both the 18z Ukie and ICON... significantly so on the Ukie... sign of things to come on the 18z Euro? Icon: Ukie:
  2. Well... Euro is done... its Fri night and I'm amped up for a snow storm... now what do we do... when does 06z start rolling in?
  3. To me this lines up with what PSU said earlier about the northern gradient tightening up and becoming sharper... and that as long as you're inside 0.3" QPF you're gonna do okay. Looks like the Euro is tightening up the northern gradient
  4. Is storm mode in the near future? I need to make sure I get my all my useless snark in beforehand
  5. This is reminding me of Jan 2022 quite a bit... up here towards Baltimore we got a little less overall but it was still 4-6" of cold smoke... I would take that again in a heartbeat even if that means DC gets more like 8+"
  6. I do feel like this 72-84h south shift that almost always re-corrects north in the final 24-48 has given us DC-Balt folks false hope just to be dashed away in the past... maybe, just maybe this time it can give us false concern this time...
  7. It did... almost everyone north of Rt 50 went up .1-.2 QPF
  8. Lol so GFS is congrats Harrisburg and Ukie is congrats Richmond... at least DC-Balt is right between the goalposts?
  9. We really gonna get this one? I prob won't believe it until its snowing lol
  10. Looks like Mission #10 is already en-route? NOAA P3 headed SW from Lakeland
  11. Its an insurrection! May as well throw fuel on the fire...
  12. Me coming in to see if anything's on the horizon... ... and seeing the thread in its current state
  13. Lies. 3z HRRR says you don't see anything until after midnight.
  14. FWIW, the 02z HRRR sim composite reflectivity for 03z looks nothing like current reality over SE PA, MD and NOVA
  15. Lot of models have wanted to paint this band of much lighter precip over Baltimore for several runs now and its really showing up on the HiRes stuff too... makes me a bit nervous. I seem to remember a storm a few years ago that did this "crab claw" thing and it became a big joke on here but it really did screw people inside the claw
  16. lol at the "Extreme" line... gee I wonder which winter that was with a huge increase in Dec and another in early Feb... hmmmm lol
  17. only piccolo should be canceled I thought this was well established
  18. I'm worried about the January Snow Angle melting it all on contact
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