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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. caviman2201
    Advisories just went up SW of the metros
  2. caviman2201
    Are we actually on the precipice of a honest-to-god 2-4" run of the mill event? Did Lucy finally decide to let us kick the damn ball even if she deflated it so it didn't go very far?? Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
  3. caviman2201
    I genuinely would lock up an area-wide 2" snowfall in the upper 20s Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
  4. caviman2201
    Not sure if anyone's noticed but the mesos have been depicting a pretty good snow squall coming through tomorrow afternoon for several runs now Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
  5. caviman2201
    It's been a while since we've seen a BWI jack... It won't happen but I'll take my win for a few hours! [emoji16] Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
  6. caviman2201
    I feel like Walter in Money Pit when he finally loses the last little glimmer of hope and just starts laughing maniacally https://youtu.be/9CJ9EDtZ2p8?si=BayC48ScmEurWTxj
  7. caviman2201
    This is one of the greatest things I've ever read... I'm inspired to be reaped
  8. caviman2201
    You're in the wrong place... following your analogy this board is pretty much a liquor store with a bar in the back...
  9. caviman2201
    You know you won't... addicts always come back. See you there.
  10. caviman2201
    Whats your total since Jan 2022? Is it > 0"?
  11. caviman2201
    Don't worry... Memphis and Little Rock are about to double their climo by being fringed... by being too far north...
  12. caviman2201
    He honestly is... if you just simply went with whatever model showed no snow you'd pretty much be batting 1.000 over the past 2 years. Maybe it legit just doesn't snow here anymore under 750ft
  13. caviman2201
    There's even people who... *gasp*... hate snow...
  14. caviman2201
    At least Memphis gets a nice 6-10" event out of it consistently on every single model...
  15. caviman2201
    PSU is gonna be a while with the Ukie...
  16. caviman2201
    My bar here really is low... I'll be satisfied with >1" of cold smoke... first 1" snow in 2 full years
  17. caviman2201
    Thats prob not a great trend...
  18. caviman2201
    The mean QPF did shift SE significantly though from 00z though
  19. caviman2201
    EPS looks okay so far...
  20. caviman2201
    This seems like a very good chance for at least something for the whole area... and a massive improvement over 00z
  21. caviman2201
    FWIW, the 12z GEFS surface low track is still ~75mi or so SE of the GFS op. Op seems to go from Norfolk to Cape May while GEFS goes Nags Head to 150mi E of Chincoteague
  22. caviman2201
    Its still snowing at 144.... Edit: and at 147
  23. caviman2201
    omg...
  24. caviman2201
    HRRR has been consistent for at least 9 straight runs now that a strong storm cluster goes through the Baltimore area around 00z... something to watch for. CAPE is >4000 E of the BR
  25. caviman2201
    Last few vis sat frames seem to indicate the high clouds are thinning/burning off some...
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