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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. caviman2201
    I hear this kind of thinking a lot and don't doubt it because I don't think I've ever seen Kuchera verify here... my question is why don't the models correctly model this? In theory shouldn't Kuchera go below 10:1 in our area due to the factors you indicated? I feel like Kuchera is always higher than 10:1
  2. caviman2201
    The 24h period between noon tomorrow and noon Thurs looks like its going to be wild... 3k Nam has 2m temps going from 41 to 10. I'm expecting 3-4" on the ground and still coming down by the time I get up there and really hoping GFS is right. 18z Kuchera showed about a foot
  3. caviman2201
    Pulled the trigger on a trip up to DCL Thurs-Sun... Euro calling for 6", GFS calling for 9". Need some snow in my life.
  4. caviman2201
    Really thought we had a shot at this one for some stupid reason...
  5. caviman2201
    your snowstorm memory is kind of wild...
  6. caviman2201
    Hopefully either we or Deep Creek cashes in next weekend because I have fam on standby to run out there if things don't look good for us in the low country...
  7. caviman2201
    my rule of thumb... once a day, pull up the EPS/GEFS and scroll to the end. If the total snow mean on both isn't at least 2 or 3", it isn't going to snow for a while. move on and do something else.
  8. caviman2201
    Imma be out there at 3am like Jack Skellington if NAM 3k is right...
  9. caviman2201
    Sadly that was the most snow they've ever seen. They didn't believe me that we sometimes get 1ft of snow here...
  10. caviman2201
    My kids asked Santa for a blizzard... so Santa gave them a cabin and tubing tickets
  11. caviman2201
    gonna be awesome up there this weekend... I can't wait to get up there this year. My family went for the first time during the deep freeze last Jan and it was off the charts awesome with 1ft+ on the ground, snow showers for 3 days in the low 20s to upper teens... snowmobiles... lake iced over... just a winter wonderland truly sort of shocking that a place like that is so close by
  12. caviman2201
  13. caviman2201
    I'm sure i'm late to the party but it looks like all 00z guidance got wetter and more widespread!
  14. caviman2201
    I need the JMA in my life... someone used to post that one all the time when we got desperate
  15. caviman2201
    I bet this is producing a waterspout right now at the mouth of the Patapsco...
  16. caviman2201
    Definitely see it there. That's awesome Sent from my SM-S911U using Tapatalk
  17. caviman2201
    on the sim reflectivity? maybe i'm looking too hard for it... I was expecting to see it actually model the little 'ring' of outflow reflectivity like you can see in real radar scans
  18. caviman2201
    Had no idea even HRRR was modeling things like that... If you have a min, can you post what you're seeing? I looked and can't see it
  19. caviman2201
    Wow...
  20. caviman2201
    That really should be TOR warned IMO...
  21. caviman2201
    That Northern AACo storm looking kinda spicy...
  22. caviman2201
    It is coming around though...
  23. caviman2201
    ICON has been kind of on its own for days
  24. caviman2201
    I'd be surprised if it stays that way for long
  25. caviman2201
    One thing thats been pretty nice this year is how the snow has been pretty evenly distributed throughout the sub. Seasonal totals from York to HGR to OKV to EZF to SBY all within 2-3" of each other and this event appears to just add to everyone's totals.
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