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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. caviman2201
    HRRR has been consistent for at least 9 straight runs now that a strong storm cluster goes through the Baltimore area around 00z... something to watch for. CAPE is >4000 E of the BR
  2. caviman2201
    Last few vis sat frames seem to indicate the high clouds are thinning/burning off some...
  3. caviman2201
    Some of us haven't even had a cartopper yet... that's whats crazy. If I see a half inch it will be my biggest event of the season here just E of BWI
  4. caviman2201
    Bring it on. I'm done with windy, cloudy and 55. At least if its 90 I can grill and get in the pool with my kids.
  5. caviman2201
    Pretty remarkable...
  6. caviman2201
    Law of averages. 2023-24 will be 2009-10 on steroids... book it
  7. caviman2201
    11AM Update no change in max sustained SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 82.5W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM WNW OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES
  8. caviman2201
    Eye is really clearing out last few frames on visible...
  9. caviman2201
  10. caviman2201
    Look at the surge in this webcam... go back to 2h ago and compare the sea level to now. holy crap
  11. caviman2201
    Lightning wrapped all the way around the eye now... don't see that every day.
  12. caviman2201
    Kinda weird NWS hasn't hoisted the Flood Watch... Its a Friday in summer... lots of people are going to go down to old Ellicott City to eat and hit the bars with no clue this could potentially make their night a living hell.
  13. caviman2201
    Seeing a hook echo on the DCA and Andrews TDWR... and a notch forming on LWX NEXRAD. Rotation is still fairly weak though.
  14. caviman2201
    I don't know why they don't just say "storm" and leave off the "thunder".
  15. caviman2201
    Yeah... I guess the lack of resolution makes it look even more absurd than it would on something like the HRRR or 3k
  16. caviman2201
    How in the world is the precip distribution on the 12k NAM even theoretically possible?
  17. caviman2201
    Locked in indeed... that ENS map looks identical to the Seasonal
  18. caviman2201
    K
  19. caviman2201
    Not true - Euro has had wave 2 for several runs now and yesterday's 12z looked a lot like the GFS just showed.
  20. caviman2201
    The question is how much of the GFS's coastal depends on it being right about wave 1? If its wrong on that, what are the downstream effects on wave 2?
  21. caviman2201
    Are we tracking/rooting for a freezing rain fest now? Seems snow is all but out of the question here... next storm looks more promising though.
  22. caviman2201
    Yikes from NE AACo... The cutoff from hell... Keep that ish outta my county lmao
  23. caviman2201
    18z 3k NAM just came in WAY drier...
  24. caviman2201
    Confirmed. Traffic idiocy has commenced.
  25. caviman2201
    mulch caving in Glen Burnie... after about 3 hours of light-mod snow
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