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Neblizzard

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Everything posted by Neblizzard

  1. Yes it’s much better than 6z. The high is stronger to the north and trends at H5 were a step in the right direction. I would take that run as a positive for the metro.
  2. The period from Christmas to New Years looks really good on the EPS. Robust PNA ridging coupled with an -AO/-NAO. Hardly La Niña like...
  3. My brother and I met storm field several times when we used to visit Larry Cosgrove at UPN 9. Two class acts
  4. 50/50 low and -NAO are your friend so far. Hopefully that look holds. I’ve been saying getting the SV to weaken enough is our best shot at fending off this La Niña. We’ll see...
  5. Models can’t be trusted 24 hours out let alone 15 days out. It’s amazing you always post when they show an unfavorable solution for snow. The models are finally predicting warming closing in on the polar stratosphere . If the PV stretches then cold air can plunge south mid-late December into January for the east.
  6. I see you’re back in full force hoping for another blowtorch . Glad to see you posting again.
  7. Actually now that I’m looking storms are firing in western NY state. That could be our shot later on tonight
  8. Yes the warm front and best dynamics is further north than what the models were showing . Perhaps we can get some scattered convection between 6-9pm. If not the threat is done.
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