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Neblizzard

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Everything posted by Neblizzard

  1. Neblizzard
    Lesson learned never to get excited for a storm 5 days out with a hostile pattern
  2. Neblizzard
    My fav band . EVH was such a beast.
  3. Neblizzard
    Minus a few ECMWF runs of this showing a blizzard , this was never our storm.
  4. Neblizzard
    Yup , which I said earlier this morning. The threat is dead with that upper level pattern.
  5. Neblizzard
    I think it’s time to write this storm off. If closes off too far to our south . Onto the next one..
  6. Neblizzard
    That kicker in the northern stream is what prevents it from coming up the coast. It’s been on the models the last 24 hours. Not feeling good about this one.
  7. Neblizzard
    That’s what Lee Goldberg is thinking now. If it can snow till 4pm NYC will get 10-15 inches.
  8. Neblizzard
    Goldberg on channel 7 said the mixing line may be delayed till 4pm now.
  9. Neblizzard
    Snowing 2 inches per hour in Union County NJ. In addition the wind is starting to pick up . Nice storm !
  10. Neblizzard
    Because Upton is going with 10-14 inches with some mixing and the latest guidance has trended warmer. That’s all I’m saying.
  11. Neblizzard
    Yup. Expect 8-12 inches then a flip to sleet . This was never our storm except on the GFS
  12. Neblizzard
    So much for those media outlets calling for 10-15 inches . 6-10 looks like a good bet then sleet ..,
  13. Neblizzard
    I meant 6z, my mistake.
  14. Neblizzard
    06z GFS is approximately an 18 hour event across the metro and continues to remain on the colder side of the guidance . 10-15 inches region wide.
  15. Neblizzard
    Maybe 20-30 mph. Even though the surface low isn’t too deep there’s still a 20-30mb pressure gradient thanks to that strong high to the north.
  16. Neblizzard
    This is why you don’t trust models 4-5 days out . Especially when a specific area is in the bullseye .
  17. Neblizzard
    96-120 hours out. We should know better to take any model as gospel.
  18. Neblizzard
    Powder keg
  19. Neblizzard
    Not a major system but wouldn’t matter given how cold the airmass is. We could see a foot even with .75 QPF.
  20. Neblizzard
    Thank you for posting Walt. Hope you’re feeling well, please don’t give up on us.
  21. Neblizzard
    He loves weenies and is a limited poster.
  22. Neblizzard
    Hopefully it verifies.. it’s been too cold.
  23. Neblizzard
    Exactly . People clinging to euro runs when it’s now cast time.
  24. Neblizzard
    This was never more than a 10 hour event at best.
  25. Neblizzard
    Never. I’ve learned a long time ago than to believe anything past 24 hours.
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