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Neblizzard

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Everything posted by Neblizzard

  1. Neblizzard
    Because Upton is going with 10-14 inches with some mixing and the latest guidance has trended warmer. That’s all I’m saying.
  2. Neblizzard
    Yup. Expect 8-12 inches then a flip to sleet . This was never our storm except on the GFS
  3. Neblizzard
    So much for those media outlets calling for 10-15 inches . 6-10 looks like a good bet then sleet ..,
  4. Neblizzard
    I meant 6z, my mistake.
  5. Neblizzard
    06z GFS is approximately an 18 hour event across the metro and continues to remain on the colder side of the guidance . 10-15 inches region wide.
  6. Neblizzard
    Maybe 20-30 mph. Even though the surface low isn’t too deep there’s still a 20-30mb pressure gradient thanks to that strong high to the north.
  7. Neblizzard
    This is why you don’t trust models 4-5 days out . Especially when a specific area is in the bullseye .
  8. Neblizzard
    96-120 hours out. We should know better to take any model as gospel.
  9. Neblizzard
    Powder keg
  10. Neblizzard
    Not a major system but wouldn’t matter given how cold the airmass is. We could see a foot even with .75 QPF.
  11. Neblizzard
    Thank you for posting Walt. Hope you’re feeling well, please don’t give up on us.
  12. Neblizzard
    He loves weenies and is a limited poster.
  13. Neblizzard
    Hopefully it verifies.. it’s been too cold.
  14. Neblizzard
    Exactly . People clinging to euro runs when it’s now cast time.
  15. Neblizzard
    This was never more than a 10 hour event at best.
  16. Neblizzard
    Never. I’ve learned a long time ago than to believe anything past 24 hours.
  17. Neblizzard
    We may have to toss December
  18. Neblizzard
    Good to see. It’s only November.
  19. Neblizzard
    Union county NJ deluge along with 40 mph winds. Over an inch of rain so far.
  20. Neblizzard
    When you think welll start to see the echos on the NJ coast pull west ?
  21. Neblizzard
    You can see it on the radar . Long Island Special.
  22. Neblizzard
    Good to see! Might come down to a nowcasting event. Although this storm won’t be the phase bomb the data showed a couple days ago that, it still will be a formidable storm .
  23. Neblizzard
    Just don’t bother tracking 7 days out, heck wait 24 hours in.
  24. Neblizzard
    The models haven’t gotten any better in decades with setups like this. That’s why with storms in winter we can’t trust any one model 48 hours out. We learn and move on.
  25. Neblizzard
    Take what you can get.
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