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Neblizzard

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Everything posted by Neblizzard

  1. Neblizzard
    When it shows warm you’ll believe it. When it shows cold? You’ll deny it…
  2. Neblizzard
    Where did I say it was a -QBO in 2010-2011? Let’s get those 5 posts in quickly today.
  3. Neblizzard
    Oh I do. How about the strong La Niña of 2010-2011 with a strong -PDO? The atmospheric blocking overwhelmed the pattern most of that winter. You disappear all year long and start posting every fall being a troll. There’s a reason why you’re limited to 5 posts per day. You do absolutely nothing to contribute to this board. Sorry Mods I speak the truth.
  4. Neblizzard
    He doesn’t understand the effects a easterly QBO can have on the stratosphere. Being primarily focused on the ENSO state and PDO is bad forecasting. We’ll have good chances at periodic blocking this year. Some extreme -NAO situations are possible.
  5. Neblizzard
    Who wants wind with all that rain?
  6. Neblizzard
    And if there’s enough blocking in the higher latitudes the SE ridge will be muted . Much like last winter.
  7. Neblizzard
    Just like your winter forecast last year . We know how horrible that was . Once again you’re putting all the emphasis on the La Niña when other factors may come into play similiar to last year.
  8. Neblizzard
    Nothing is a lock …
  9. Neblizzard
    That’s pivoting east, NYC will not dry slot
  10. Neblizzard
    Forky is right about the UKMET. We’re in for an assault the next 6-8 hours
  11. Neblizzard
    The disagreement in models up to this point is a forecast nightmare . So it’s now to now casting . We’ll have to follow the shore range HI RES data
  12. Neblizzard
    The overnight part of the storm still slams the metro area
  13. Neblizzard
    It’s going to be further south than the 18z EURO and 0z NAM. An absolute soaker for the metro.
  14. Neblizzard
    Yup. Some of the worst lightning I’ve seen in years
  15. Neblizzard
    Storms exploding here in Elizabeth NJ. Few bolts from the blue in the last 5 minutes
  16. Neblizzard
    Kenilworth NJ getting rocked for the 3rd time today . I haven’t seen lightning this bad in years
  17. Neblizzard
    Yup. His La Niña obsession this winter failed.
  18. Neblizzard
    We have almost 40 inches for the winter where some people were calling for La Niña to torch our region. We won.
  19. Neblizzard
    Exactly. Usually in a typical La Niña the pattern flips late January into early February. The fact that it’s almost mid month and we’ve had 3 snowstorms just shows La Niña didn’t win the battle this year.
  20. Neblizzard
    The damage has been done. Over 28 inches of snow this month and the weeklies look good for the next 3-4 weeks.
  21. Neblizzard
    I think it’s fair to say the “graze” solutions are less likely now. The north trend is real and the ridging out west is robust.
  22. Neblizzard
    Let him get his 5 PDD day in now, it’s nice and early in the morning.
  23. Neblizzard
    It’s far from a typical La Niña Pattern, despite what you say. Remember the big “failed call” from you in December? The GFS is gonna be right with that confluence. This isn’t coming north.. boy that worked out well
  24. Neblizzard
    It’s a west based -NAO which is helping the strong confluent flow over the northeast. In this instance a -PNA can help us by building a stronger SE ridge. This will become a squeeze play , the EPS and its members keep coming north but only so far north. I like where we are 5 1/2 days out.
  25. Neblizzard
    You said the same thing about the December storm. How the GFS couldn’t be wrong with the strength of the confluence up north. We know how that turned out. This has room to come north some especially if the SE ridge can expand a bit.
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