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Neblizzard

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Everything posted by Neblizzard

  1. Good to see the shelf finally caved , no pun intended.
  2. I think it’s eerie that both the ICON and NAM have a 1996 look to them . Where a slow moving tucked in storm comes up to the DE coast then heads due east. Show me this tomorrow at 12z.
  3. Hey welcome back man. Everyone thought something happened to you . Glad to see you’re good!!
  4. This is a 24-30 hour storm .. just crawls for a time.
  5. I agree with snowman19 on this one. This either will be a massive hit or a grazer. We’ll see over the next day or so.
  6. Lesson learned never to get excited for a storm 5 days out with a hostile pattern
  7. Minus a few ECMWF runs of this showing a blizzard , this was never our storm.
  8. Yup , which I said earlier this morning. The threat is dead with that upper level pattern.
  9. I think it’s time to write this storm off. If closes off too far to our south . Onto the next one..
  10. That kicker in the northern stream is what prevents it from coming up the coast. It’s been on the models the last 24 hours. Not feeling good about this one.
  11. That’s what Lee Goldberg is thinking now. If it can snow till 4pm NYC will get 10-15 inches.
  12. Goldberg on channel 7 said the mixing line may be delayed till 4pm now.
  13. Snowing 2 inches per hour in Union County NJ. In addition the wind is starting to pick up . Nice storm !
  14. Because Upton is going with 10-14 inches with some mixing and the latest guidance has trended warmer. That’s all I’m saying.
  15. Yup. Expect 8-12 inches then a flip to sleet . This was never our storm except on the GFS
  16. So much for those media outlets calling for 10-15 inches . 6-10 looks like a good bet then sleet ..,
  17. 06z GFS is approximately an 18 hour event across the metro and continues to remain on the colder side of the guidance . 10-15 inches region wide.
  18. Maybe 20-30 mph. Even though the surface low isn’t too deep there’s still a 20-30mb pressure gradient thanks to that strong high to the north.
  19. This is why you don’t trust models 4-5 days out . Especially when a specific area is in the bullseye .
  20. 96-120 hours out. We should know better to take any model as gospel.
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