Chinook

Here is the NAM forecast sounding for eastern Arkansas for 03z (tomorrow night), with effective STP of 4.3. Some odd things going on in the hodograph at 3km above ground, but I'm not sure too much to talk about, given the fact that the rest of the hodograph is excellent for tornadoes. The 3km NAM (not shown here) has up to 490 m2/s2 of 3km SRH at the Arkansas/Louisiana border. HRRR for 03z tomorrow night

new loop http://www.greatlakes.salsite.com/Jan_5_2014_SfcRadar_loop.html

I think this a new product by College of Dupage, Ensemble CAPE for the event that's now 96hr+ in the future, so it's not on the 3-day outlook

near sunset

Yesterday (Saturday) Toledo was 22 degrees with a wind chill of 8 degrees before midnight. It's kind of rough considering there had been a lot of warmer temperatures in February and so many days without snow. Toledo had a high of 33 and a low 22 which was -16 for the high and -8 for the low.

I believe once Weathafella said that he remembered this heavy NY snow storm, which happened almost on St. Patrick's Day 1956

I will call this the winter of A.R.N. Another Rainy Night.

California has gone from flood to drought to flood. Sacramento had apparently 5.12" of precipitation in January. (I added this. The NOWDATA info said the data was missing) and already 2.98" between March 1 and March 15, making for 19.46" of precipitation since November 1st. That's almost 3x higher than the 2020 calendar year.

radar/rain gauge adjusted MRMS precipitation for the last 72 hours

As a non-northesterner, I still gotta say, this is quite a thing

hence the Six States. Yes it's weird, I remember tracking it. the storm was quite washed out by the Michigan state line. but hey. Six States. Now, with the time change, we have to wait until 10:15 PM or 10:30 PM Eastern Daylight to get the 00z 3km-NAM and similar products. Boo.

On this day in 2006, major tornado outbreak and the "Six-State Supercell," the supercell that brought the 66-mile tornado track that damaged Springfield IL (EF2). According to Wikipedia, 99 tornadoes confirmed from March 9 to March 13.

It has been two years since the Big One.

I got about 1" which was kind of generally expected. The overall situation was much like Friday, with the snow melting on pavement. northern Minnie today

Blizzard (1/4 mile visibility, snow, peak wind gusts to 40kt at this moment) with easterlies. Hard to do with easterlies.

This winter compared to my 80" Loveland winters. November: 1" and dusting? maybe more December 1" and ground blizzard, maybe 1" more after Christmas. January: 7.5" February: 1" March: 2" (Today... super wet at 33 degrees) total 13.5"

This winter sucks. There is about 1" to 2" on grass and no snow on pavement because it was so warm.

current radar and storm reports

the storm is raging in Iowa. Des Moines, 1/4 mile visibility

70's and then snow is normal for Colorado in Oct/Nov and April.

This is one of the first times my place has had a north/northeasterly wind flow for a long time. Also note my area was 6 degrees above normal in February.

I may finally have to shovel more snow than I did in January.

March 8, 2000? Weird. it checks out

Loveland Co-op, close to where I lived in Loveland: 40.1", also much better than Fort Collins. (I don't know what street that was on.)

Looks like the snow just isn't going to be there. Keep up the hope for more snow in March. Northern Colorado isn't doing badly on total snow for the cities (I think). The snow water equivalent is 104%/121% in the mountains. The areas well east of I-25 seem to have gotten quite a bit of snow over this winter. DIA: 41.6" Boulder: 67.3", just a bit above normal Fort Collins: 28.5", below normal Greeley: 31.1", above normal Longmont Co-op: 41.9" that seems much better than Fort Collins Walden: 60.2 (above normal for this higher elevation location)