Jump to content

Chinook

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,301

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    A large storm system on Monday night will most likely be a close call for heavy snow at Fort Collins and Estes Park.
  2. Chinook
    low-instability severe squall came though here around 11:00AM. At the time I didn't realize there would be this storm report of over 82mph over the Lake
  3. Chinook
    The 500mb anomaly, shown here with Jan 10th-Mar 30th, highlights the exact area with the most precipitation this year: mid-California
  4. Chinook
    Was that Upper Freehold, Pennsylvania? I'm not familiar with where this tornado warning took place.
  5. Chinook
    for those interested, this was a tornado reported by a spotter(s) at 6:01 and 6:06, Bridgeville. I am not sure if it was a tornado after 6:06PM
  6. Chinook
    It looks like this is it... the debris may be recent or perhaps wafting north into the storm
  7. Chinook
    Debris is directly over I-65, probably large tornado
  8. Chinook
    I wonder if we will have a significant tornado get going in western Illinois as per the 03z HRRR updraft helicity (hour 17-18)
  9. Chinook
    12z HRRR significant tornado parameter. The 12z 3km NAM has this entire field of instability farther west into Missouri and Iowa.
  10. Chinook
    With the GFS right now, it seems like this would be a northern threat somewhat removed from a southern threat. The 00Z ECMWF doesn't really have the same exact setup. The low pressure placement at 00z (Apr. 1, or, 8:00PM eastern on the evening of Mar. 31) is kind of different from the GFS. Along with this, the surface winds to perhaps 850mb winds much more in the realm of southwesterly rather than southerly. I think there is certainly some disagreement as to the synoptic features.
  11. Chinook
    I think this was Fort Collins' largest snowstorm of the year, (11" at Windsor, not shown) and apparently this was a surprise snow band
  12. Chinook
    This is a picture of me on March 14, 2021. Sometimes I trim my beard back a little bit.
  13. Chinook
    Mayjawintastawm probably liking this for Boston
  14. Chinook
    It looks like the 0-1km SRH will be increasing a lot from +2hr to +6hr on the SPC mesoanalysis (23z to 03z). I must say that the current STP is very high at a value of 4, and that same value will shift eastward.
  15. Chinook
    I didn't really expect this to go to MODERATE at mid-day, but certainly the deep-layer shear is there 6-hr mesoanalysis (RAP) forecast of STP with the radar from (I believe) the HRRR 6hr forecast
  16. Chinook
    17" at Neenah (near Appleton)
  17. Chinook
    observations from 0927z, 4:27 AM Central
  18. Chinook
    some snow reports of 7-13" in NW Illinois
  19. Chinook
    basically that would convert to 131.1mph one way and 131.1mph the other way. But hey. that's like Cat-4 tornado (113kt-137kt)
  20. Chinook
    Yes, I got the same thing, it's 262.8mph, and effectively I haven't ever been able to see the data is this high of quality for this type of delta-v in my life.
  21. Chinook
    tornado may have tracked for 31-32 miles already
  22. Chinook
    Here's some hype for you. I think there's a high chance of EF1+ tornadoes and significant wind reports after sunset tomorrow. The nighttime severe is always more concerning, as people aren't ready for it.
  23. Chinook
    interesting that CIPS analog #3 lines up almost perfectly with the calendar date
  24. Chinook
    You could check annual graphics from the SPC going back several years to see the tornadoes in California. example: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/2022_annual_summary.html
  25. Chinook
    This radar image from Montebello/Los Angeles tornado from a youtube video from channel "Convective Chronicles" (I recently found this excellent channel)
×
×
  • Create New...