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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Models generally have Larimer/Weld counties with pretty low amounts of snow. I believe it is due to mainly downsloping from the north at the surface. Also I think a lot of the lift will be towards southern Colorado.
  2. The models predict a significant snow storm next Wednesday. As usual the GFS is loving the 11.8 to 18.1" near Denver, as it always loves forecasting high amounts of snow for the roughly 5-day forecast. Lots could change before the NWS issues a winter storm watch, but I do expect a winter storm watch at some time.
  3. This 500mb chart makes me think of tornadoes in March. As for now, SPC has 10% enhanced outlook for tornadoes today (-not- enhanced for wind/hail)
  4. Under "Anatomy and Physiology of Frosty the Snowman"
  5. It's so snowy, you can't even see the prediction
  6. My place had 4 sunny days in a row with snow on the ground. The last time my place had 4 sunny days within maybe a span of 5 days was probably November or October, with nearly summertime temperatures.
  7. As I mentioned in the Lakes/Ohio Valley banter thread, I have a hard time imagining a -44 degree value without radiational cooling and a valley with lighter winds, or at least some localized low spot. It's truly a once-in-a-generation 850mb temperature up there and also the same for wind chills for some.
  8. I can't imagine -44 without radiational cooling and mostly calm winds.
  9. The wind gets faster over mountain peaks and some mountain passes. The air is forced into a smaller- volume space: the mountain, and other air above it. You get a faster wind by conservation of mass flow. And maybe extra turbulence.
  10. Here a note on the Northeast wind chill blast. The GFS has -40C temps at 850mb for the Caribou, Maine area. I think it will be very close to a record or record-breaking at Caribou. The record coldest 850mb temperature is -39.40 Celsius as per the SPC page that has this stuff. The "median" would be -11.7 Celsius.
  11. Here is other note on the Northeast wind chill blast. The GFS has -40C temps at 850mb for the Caribou, Maine area. I think it will be very close to a record or record-breaking at Caribou. The record coldest 850mb temperature is -39.40 Celsius as per the SPC page that has this stuff. The "median" would be -11.7 Celsius.
  12. Part of Ontario near Sudbury is 49F degrees, or 27.2 C degrees, lower than yesterday. Sudbury went -4C to -33C in about 23 hours.
  13. 48 hrs of storm reports. I have changed the colors a bit so you can read the freezing rain reports.
  14. This is a rare wind chill index (Maine), also with winds of 30kt immediately above the surface.
  15. Now that a lot of the West is in a non-active pattern, I'll post this
  16. this bus went out of control at 5-10mph and swiped a car
  17. Anybody from Toronto in here? The GFS says -14F (-26C) with a wind of 10 knots (19 km/h) on Friday morning. The NAM has some temperatures that are not quite so cold.
  18. Fort Worth had 0.30" reported freezing rain. Other note: thunder recently reported at the Dallas area and also Poteau, OK (temps below freezing on both)
  19. 1.4" of sleet at Bentonville is an impressive storm report tonight when you've got 4 precip-type colors on radar
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