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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. And, I might add, I still don't know why the HRRR has about zero smoke density in our area, when it should be a moderate value.
  2. For me, the haze is obvious on the satellite image. I see a white-ish sky, but not a red sun tonight. There's only a been a hint of the slight yellow tint of the sunlight that happens when you get heavy forest fire smoke.
  3. I mentioned this in the Mountain West discussion: British Columbia had temperatures on 5/14 and 5/15 I don't think I've seen in May at any time.
  4. This has got to be forest fire smoke. It's a red sun tonight. The HRRR says the vertically integrated smoke is zero, but that's wrong.
  5. Somebody is getting a heat wave. The Great White North
  6. Today: down to a temperature of 63 with a dew point of 39 here. I sometimes forget that the more dry air, like I was used to feeling out in Fort Collins, does exist as we get closer and closer to summer. The 500mb pattern is a complete mess
  7. CoCoRAHS spotters measured as low as 1.05 to and as high as 3.65" within a couple of miles in the San Antonio vicinity
  8. I guess this continues the sort-of trend of wet Mays, going back several years. I probably just remember this trend because most of the months in my recent personal memories of Colorado haven't been rainy at all.
  9. The only time Fort Collins got close to 5" was the flood of 2013. Fort Collins had 5" in a week, Horsetooth Mountain had about 9".
  10. Cole-Goldsby Oklahoma tornado debris signature
  11. I believe this was a confirmed brief tornado in the rain at Tuttle/Bridge Creek. It did not necessarily look like it was at a hook echo/RFD at all. Maybe you could use your imagination to see a hook echo in there.
  12. new tornado warning/severe warning for a storm(s) heading down the mountains toward Denver
  13. Illinois had all the fun. You know, the Midwest should really share. All I've ever seen since March is non-thunder. Non-thunder. Cold rain and non-thunder. I heard some thunder at 4:00 AM on 5/7. That's it. I was asleep.
  14. The convection-allowing models have several solutions of supercells and/or clusters of cells forming in Iowa, eastern Nebraska, and western Illinois tomorrow. The conditions near the warm front will promote higher wind shear, lift, and chance of tornadoes. Severe thunderstorms may get going in southern Illinois also. It looks like a higher wind area at 700mb will be a main factor in increased storm relative helicity.
  15. Here is the HRRR rainfall up to 11z. An MCS will hit a lot of places with heavier rain well after 11:00PM
  16. Here is a cluster of storms developing now in the enhanced risk section in Texas (30% hail and wind). They look like they are all developing into supercells. The 0-6km shear of 30 kt means the really should be struggling to develop into supercells, but the 300mb wind is a pretty reasonable 50 kt. It already looks like we could be seeing dozens of hail reports in the next few hours.
  17. There is a tornado watch for northern Missouri/ southern Iowa. This is a pretty big surprise based off yesterday's 1730z outlook which only had a small area of slight risk in Missouri. Tomorrow: (5/7) the latest update says enhanced risk for Iowa.
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