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Sunny and 66 at high noon.

Low of 38 this morning.

The back end of the 7 day seems to jive (ain't no thang) with DT's $35/month outlook. Looks like we go into the fryer. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk

It’s a little outside of the geography of this sub but I am planning on chasing Friday and Saturday. Friday in Iowa along the warm front and Saturday farther southwest along the dryline in Kansas or maybe Oklahoma. Been a long time since I’ve done a little multi day chase so I am pretty pumped about this weekend. .

It only takes a few sunny, low humidity days to dry out the top layers of soil. Let's hope for rain tomorrow.

Oh wonderful. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk

The models within the last couple of days have really honed in on a potential multi-day severe and heavy rain threat over this weekend over the western part of the forum. With a particular focus at this point on Friday in IA for severe and a heavy rain event over the Upper Mississippi Valley for the weekend. Considering how wet it has been in that part of the forum for the last month and a half, there may be some flooding concerns as we get closer. Could be a very busy weekend here in the Midwest.

We have a trip planned to the Maritime provinces in September and I’m feeling sure it gets canceled because wildfires. Canada has warned they will be worse than last year.

How? We have gotten three thousand inches of rain this month. How is anything capable of ignition? Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 1115 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024 ...ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON... A combination of dry fuels, low relative humidity and windy conditions this afternoon will create an elevated risk of wildfire spread across much of Central Pennsylvania. Minimum relative humidity values will range from 20 to 30 percent accompanied by wind gusts between 20 and 30 mph from the south- southwest. Residents are urged to exercise caution if handling any potential ignition sources, such as machinery, cigarettes, or matches. If dry grasses and tree litter begin to burn, the fire will have the potential to spread rapidly. For more information about wildfire danger and wildfire prevention and education, please visit the Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources website at http://dcnr.pa.gov/Communities/Wildfire. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk

Records: Highs: EWR: 88 (1996) NYC: 86 (2007) LGA: 85 (2007) JFK: 87 (1973) Lows: EWR: 32 (1933) NYC: 29 (1872) LGA: 36 1986) JFK: 34 (1986) Historical: 1885 - The city of Denver, CO, was in the midst of a storm which produced 23 inches of snow in 24 hours, and at Idaho Springs CO produced 32 inches of snow. (David Ludlum) 1910 - The temperature at the Civic Center in Los Angeles, CA, hit 100 degrees to establish an April record for the city. (The Weather Channel) 1948: A three block long section was devastated at the edge of Ionia, Iowa in Chickasaw County by an estimated F4 tornado. Six homes and a church were leveled, and nine other homes were severely damaged. Two deaths occurred in the collapse of the Huffman Implement Store. Overall, the tornado killed five people, injured 25, and caused $250,000 in damages. An F2 tornado touched down initially 5 miles northeast of Rochester. Barns, silos, windmills, and machinery were destroyed on four farms as this tornado tracked north. 1961: Severe weather struck the south suburbs of Chicago, IL. Joliet, IL reported an inch of hail with some hailstones the size of golf balls. Heavy rain from these storms also resulted in some flooding. A tornado struck the town of Peotone resulting in damage to nearly every building with damage also reported in Lorenzo and Wilton Center, IL. Estimated damage was $9 million with about 30,000 structures affected. 1983 - A mini-blizzard produced sixteen inches of snow at Laramie, WY, including a foot of snow in just eight hours during the night. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the Atlantic Coast Region produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 67 mph at Anderson SC. The high winds destroyed two planes at the airport, and the large hail damaged fifty other planes, and severely damaged twenty-three greenhouses. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - An intense winter-like storm brought thunderstorms to southern California, and produced snow in some of the higher elevations. Nine girls at Tustin CA were injured when lightning struck the tree under which their softball team had taken shelter from the rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Salina, KS, was the hot spot in the nation with a high of 105 degrees. The high of 105 degrees established an April record for the state of Kansas. A total of eighteen cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in West Texas and western Oklahoma. Thunderstorms produced tennis ball size hail at Lake McKenzie TX and at Garden City TX, and produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Gage OK. Thunderstorms drenched southeast Minnesota with heavy rain, with 6.6 inches reported northwest of Browndale. High temperatures were mostly in the 80s across the central U.S. The morning low of 67 degrees at Fargo ND and afternoon high of 91 degrees were both records for the date. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1999: On Friday, April 23, 1999, a horrific hailstorm moved southeast from Pennsylvania across Garrett County, Maryland and into the Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia. It had weakened some as it crossed Garrett County and the Allegany Front, but as it passed east of Keyser, West Virginia, hail began to increase in size once again. By the time it reached Capon Bridge in eastern Hampshire County, West Virginia, the size of the hail had grown from golf balls to baseballs. As it moved into Frederick County, VA, the hail storm continued to grow dropping golf ball size hail in a swath now reaching from the north of Winchester, south to Stephen City (about 10 miles). Hailstones grew to the size of Grapefruit (4 inches in diameter) east of Winchester. The storm continued east through Clarke County, southern Loudoun, and northern Fauquier doing considerable damage to Middleburg, then across Fairfax County hitting Centreville, Chantilly, Fairfax, Burke, Springfield, and Lorton with golf ball size to baseball size hail. It crossed the Potomac River and weakened slightly. It moved across northern Charles, clipped southern Prince Georges and then into Calvert County with 1 inch to 1.5-inch diameter hail and onto the Chesapeake Bay continuing southeast to the ocean. The damage left behind was incredible. In Northern Virginia alone, it amounted to over $50 million in losses to public and private properties. Some communities saw a third of the homes with siding and roof damage. Some required total replacement. Windows were broken, cars dented, and windshields smashed. Piles of shredded plant debris were left on the ground in the storm path. In about 6 hours of time, this one thunderstorm, moving at about 50 mph, did $75 million in damage. There have been other severe hail storms to hit this area before, but none to cause this much damage to property.

On that note, I grabbed what was available for the season snowfall totals at the Vermont ski areas – the north to south listing is below. The numbers may increase for areas that are still open like Killington, Jay Peak, Sugarbush, etc., but typically the increases aren’t huge through the end of April and May. Jay Peak: 371” Burke: 180” Smuggler’s Notch: 264” Stowe: 289” Bolton Valley: 335” Mad River Glen: 242” Sugarbush: 249” Pico: 239” Killington: 239” Okemo: 133” Bromley: 135” Magic Mountain: 132” Stratton: 142” Mount Snow: 120” As you noted, I’m sure Stowe would be right up there above 300” if snowfall measurements were taken from ridgeline/summit areas like Bolton Valley and Jay Peak are presumably doing. I’m not sure what to make of the Smugg’s number though; they were traditionally right in line with the increasing snowfall numbers as one headed northward along the spine, but their numbers have been consistently on the low side all season relative to the other resorts in the Northern Greens. Perhaps they’ve switched to recording snowfall at mid-mountain or base elevations instead of near the summits. It wasn’t really a big season for upslope snow (December can be a big period it was relatively slow this season), so I thought that might be an issue for a west-side resort like Smugg’s, but it didn’t seem to prevent Bolton from getting roughly average snowfall, and it played out that way at our site in the valley with roughly average snowfall as well. That Smugg’s season total is still higher than anything reported from the Central Greens thus far, so that’s consistent with the usual trend. The snowfall numbers just fell right off a cliff once you get to the Southern Greens though. The snowfall typically drops off as you head southward, but this season showed an even sharper cutoff than usual - all those season snowfall numbers are even well below what we recorded for snowfall at our site in the valley at 500’. The perception of the snowfall in those Southern Greens resorts is very interesting. I can remember map after map after map this season showing projected storm jackpot zones in those areas, and some of them even played out that way in reality with pretty substantial hits of snow. Maybe those events just get big fanfare around here in the forum because they are more in line with systems that are affecting the more populated areas of the Northeast. I’m not sure exactly what the deal is, but the numbers are paltry, and it’s not as if it’s just one resort being conservative – that’s 120”-140” of snow for the entire season across five independent ski resorts. Mount Snow at the southern end of the state ultimately recorded less than a third of the snowfall that Jay Peak recorded at the northern end of the state, so the typical disparity was even more enhanced than usual this season. Ultimately, I don’t think a few big storms a season is really a great climate for a ski resort in the Northeast anyway, since the variability in the weather around here calls for more consistent refresher snowfalls to recover conditions back to something respectable. From what I’ve seen over the years, it’s not as if the northern areas are simply getting the same amount of snowfall just spread out more evenly throughout the season; the more consistent snowfall of various types vs. just large storms seems to end up in larger overall totals as well. I’ve seen people scoff at the disparity in snowfall from south to north because they assume the northern resorts are just inflating the numbers, but I think it’s perception – people seem to have a hard time integrating all the smaller, more frequent snowfalls into their perception of the overall snowfall vs. the larger, attention-grabbing systems.

After a low of 30 up to 61 now, another beautiful day.

33 overnight and now to 61. More mid/upper 60s. Some clouds and showers overnight and into tomorrow as trough moves in, 48 hour chill down Wed PM - Fri Pm. Last of the freeze inland 30s metro sites. Similar warm up to the 4/14 - 4/16 coming 4/27 - 4/29. Pending on clouds more 70s this coming Sat , 70s to near 80s in the warm spots Sunday and 850s push >16c Sun into next Mon and the chance for the first 90s. Onshore / clouds to close the month 30th and open next. Overall drier regime continues. Looks a bit back and forth as we go into the first week of next month. https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/img/vis_nj_anim.gif

Agreed, but I can understand this is highly dependent on where you are within the region. We've certainly had some crummy days but we've had a share of very pleasant ones as well. But I get that hasn't been the case for everyone.

Day 2 of sunshine…spring is springing.

Another in a string of mainly nice and warm springs .

It’s really nice out. 24F to 57F already before 11am.

Ha! At KPSP when it hit 100 the dew was 36 for a relative humidity of 11% and a heat index of only 95. Too funny.

What a load of crap. If you feel wronged, file a protest and then have a big man accidentally body a ref. That's why his name is Nick Nurse and not Nick Doctor. He soff. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk

I felt chilly last night around 10pm when the air temp dropped into the 70s. Amazing how quickly the body acclimates.

Maybe because winter blew salty balls, but I’ve been enjoying April. We’ve had some nice days and it provides a path to completely forget the past winter.

that's because fossil fuel companies lied to everyone about plastic

Actually, I just read this so there is some difference. What they are doing is more lie Grandpa Simpson yellow at the clouds,

There have been a few this year, all unsuccessful. The word I read was grievance but I think that is the same as protest.

Seems like the firehose has turned off for awhile now