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If we could get the H7 low 50 miles SE of current guidance we’ll over perform imho.

I'll add the latest Euro for roughly the same time frame. Much less weenie but still a nice amount to look at. Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk

All things considered, with fail modes still on the table, feeling pretty good about 3-6”. For the fun, will place chips on 4.8”.

too amped?

Only positive out of this rainstorm next week is with an active pattern more cold enough air will be dragged in behind it since the GFS is leading the way in this pattern December 7 it produces this

No matter what it was a fun 24 hours of serious tracking. That said, the confluence is just not timed with the storm anymore so it’s probably over.

That’s a lot like what blizzard if 66 in Salisbury did for me at the same age

And I drive thru cornfields coming lup from Westminster to Manchester and I think there was 5’ of snow and not drifts

Lock it in

WB 0Z EURO is rain.

well, that was fun while it last.

Even with a demamp'd storm, notice how 'warm' it is. The writing is on the wall with this one. Flat flow we walk the tightrope, amped up it pumps in too much warmth. Fall line and east are toast. On to the Dec 6 system.

Canadian is now amped - Euro AI is barely a miss east Ukie is now amped as of tonight looks like a rainstorm in the immediate NYC Metro - areas to the north I-84 etc. still in question.

Whichever date is decided I’ll try to make it-probably towards 4pm ish.

A slight northern jolt with the snow axis on the 00z Euro, but keeps Chicago firmly in healthy totals and similar to the 18z totals here. 00z vs 18z below

WB OZ AI is weak and south.

Well the euro Ai is pretty much ots again

Wonder if the seasonal deamp trend will kick in soon or if this will be the storm to break it

72/48 on the day for DCA.

H85 looks to track just south of Boston, H7 is up over S NH.

Pretty much dead-nuts on 18z. I'm inclined to toss the EURO, as the GFS, GEM and UK better fit my analog seasons.

Yep, anything I get this time of year will likely be 6:1

yeah it's dropping like a rock. the warmth was nice while it lasted - perhaps the last 70 of the year?

Ill be the one to post the first weenie map of the season. Sure it will change 15 times between now and then.

WB 0Z ICON