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Those have been steadily trending in the wrong direction for most of the last 24 hours

Just when I thought it couldn't get any worse for the Hagerstown area, the ICON says "hold my beer...", lol.

looks like noise IMO. Not nearly enough for much of anything interesting. Some very light snow SOp

When has ICON ever been a “help”? I’m putting 70% weight on the AI models for this.

Good ol Sunday Funday NAMing would suit us just fine.

Bumped north but its more like the 18z gfs from yesterday ..

Icon slightly more north

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Only 0.4 here. 3.1 on the season. Day 10 of snow cover, although it's tenuous.

NAM and ECM both have rain for us south and east to start changing to snow. 2 inches is enough to cover the grass. All I need.

ICON is no help. Swing and a miss

it ended up being one warm day right before thanksgiving lol

Wilkommen to the SchneeFest, Icon

Actually, just hoping that N Maine stays cold, good chance we can take a Xmas break sledding trip if that happens this year.

Think i saw 3 flakes at work in Greenbelt. (Insert Obligatory Greenbelt joke)

At least for my area it was pretty spot on .

I hope you’re right.

Winds notable overnight and some flurries in Fallston this AM .

I’ve been feeling this one coming . Just an old school recognition of setup

All snow here, mostly tiny flakes - 2.5" from 0.26" LE. Broom snow, except for the plow pile I needed to shovel so the letter carrier can access our mailbox. (The pile is on the maintained road but the smaller truck with only one drive axle can't back up the slope. Wish they would run the 2-axle driver.) 8" at the stake.

Ok pal…I appreciate the optimism.

I think anyone expecting a Christmas "torch" will be unhappy. While it will of course get warmer - heck this is one of the coldest first half's of December since the 1890s. I don't see this like the 1989 pattern. I suspect Christmas week while a lot warmer than now...will be not too far above normal readings for Christmas IMHO.

I was asking about next week not Xmas

12z ICON 10:1

The NAM is an outlier right now in the upper levels. It shows a trof structure further west and less positively tilted than everything else. But it also trended better than 6z. It would be very encouraging to see big moves towards this today. The 12z NAM would also feel a lot snowier than what most think of when they see 3-6". That's weekend, daytime snow with cold 925mb temps, near freezing surface, and probable banding. It's a great and unlikely outcome.