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We gotta get back into high gear. Mid-Atlantic has 4x the weenies in their thread right now. Even the southeast forum is beating us.

sadly that icon evolution is an outlier in its own ensemble suite. ens didn't change much

very little change from the GFS so far. 36 hours in and it looks almost identical to the 18z run. Does anyone know if this has some of the sampled data in it? I read earlier today that they were going to sample the energy off of Baja.

The cutters of our youth. .

Globally, we're about .8C warmer than the mid-90s. Would make a difference in the setup right now!

No concern that low is going to ride up into us?

i think confluence may be stronger?

Steady as she goes! Doesn't feel the same as say a few years ago, my ties to New England have faded. Priorities change, how precious time is!

Generally speaking, one major player increasing the snow to liquid ratio is to see high relative humidity (>80%) in the dendritic growth zone, which is the height range where temperatures are typically between -10C to -20C, combined with good lift (omega). However, the ratio can influenced by other factors (e.g. high surface wind can readily break apart the dendrites creating less dense surface accumulation).

Early in the run, the position of the Baja low(and it may not matter) has been maybe 25-50miles southwest of 18z just based on quick glances at each 500 vort map tonight.

Just training over here right now.

Stats are generated, but the comparisons are to the WFO forecast grids, since the NBM is the starting point. It generally scores well if the input models are doing well; it performs bias correction, but that has limitations.

I mean I look at this map and I like what I see.

They say you have to manifest it to receive it, lol...

i think it was a terrible winter though right...we had to wait till 92-93, 93-94, 94-95, 95-96. Wow pretty epic stretch

March madness first

Differences are really minute..northern stream energy out west is a bit western..but nothing jumping out

sounds like some of the Trammel Starks music in that clip.

All this talk up of the dropsondes and really nothing looks different at 24 L.O.L.

Be interesting to see what the HWRF shows .

Big 1054 hp in north, central MT at 30 and 36. HP might be a hair west (could be slower and actually not west). Otherwise. similar to 18z.

I appreciate your posts and observations as your weather often becomes mine in Augusta County! Hope we trend colder and less sleet and ice as we approach game time!

Pornhub.com

Hurricane season right around the corner!

goddamnit