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There was a death band S of Richmond to Newport News earlier. Must have been 1-2”/hr under it.

4.5 here on deck. We are rolling this winter!!

There's that end of the run overrunning fantasy again on the Gfs similar to 12z.

Agreed, unexpected but appreciated. Again, 2 separate December events this early in the season, I cannot recall.

Really, the pattern right now is cold, reload, and more cold. That might end later in December.

Probably about 5” here close to Chesterfield airport. May not been fattest flakes, but it was puking at different times with snow blowing sideways. Heck of an event

The 18z GFS has the anafront again. Gonna be wild if it hits from d16. Seems like it hit that Christmas Eve anafront(from a few years back) at the same range.

Your Maine pit should see up to 3 inches in the next 2 days.

sorry auto correct made me look like a dumb weenie. What I meant is if the Low pressure is overhead than we should worry about rain or mixing otherwise a strong wound up system that hugs the coast will bring us heavy snow since it's a very fast but fairly cold moving storm.

About 4” . Amazing storm

2 cartoppers and a 3 or so incher before Dec10 isnt a bad start to winter

Officially a dusting here! Best rates of day. Roofs/cars/mulch white

Just measured 6 inches.

wait you're telling me that claiming winter will be solidly above average in august bc of previous winters is persistence forecasting?? color me surprised!

Nice mood flakes in downtown Raleigh right now.

Shhhh! People are going to start thinking your name is Richard!! (saying this all in jest, as you know!) That reminds me...Many years ago I remember this one episode of the old Letterman show, where for his "Top 10 list" he found ten people with the name "Richard Head"...and had them parade out on stage showing their driver's licenses to prove that was their name!!!

I chased again today to areas just south of Keysville. I can only imagine what accumulations would have been had it been a night hit but that was a solid band for awhile..

Lightly snowing still and temp is 33.1* based on my wireless thermometer. Alexa says it’s 30* but she also gives me info based on Stokesdale obs so who knows.

4.5"

Quite a drop from 49 this AM

Have we ever had a year where the tie-breaker cities beat the regular cities in snowfall?

And I am surprisingly down to 33.6°. Flake size for the most part is terrible. A few fatties every now and then.

It would be interesting for someone to do a case study on the accuracy of model forecasts for these shortwaves that originate in areas with lower amounts of sample data. My totally half-assed ignorant theory is that as the model resolution has increased over the last few years, paired with the faster flow we've had, it causes more run-to-run inconsistencies on the operational models for these types of storms. If the flow was a little slower, there would be time of the physics to catch up to the shortwaves as they develop and provide a more consistent forecast. We often do not get consensus on the info we need to determine snowfall amounts until a day or two before because many of the storms that have been happening over the last few years have been fast movers. Not a lot of systems stalling and/or phasing, and when they do, they are usually modeled better. The older lower resolution models may have been less sensitive to this problem, though may have not generated a more accurate forecasts, just one that was more consistently wrong until go time. And as usual, we are often talking about differences in tracks of 50 or 100 miles to determine snow amounts, which is more difficult to pin down compared to just plain rain during other parts of the year.

lol the gaslighting continues. No mystery why this offense is struggling, and Lamar gets sacked and injured.. why they struggle mightily in the red zone. People need to be fired over this.