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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Cold Miser replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Moose chillin' up near the ADK house. (pic taken by one of my cousins) Not sure why it's crappy like a 1970's Big Foot pic. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks like a graphic pirated from that bafoon, Mark Margavage, who is trying to claim there will be a major SSW with a reversal around xmas. I can assure you, there will not. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Just an FYI that was his call for the 1979 Chicago Blizzard. No lie. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Someone could see a bit of NWFS this evening and overnight as a bit of moisture moves overhead. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Here again, not fighting against anyone. I don’t like trolling. I don’t like misinfo from folks, or folks trying to agitate others. I come here for accurate info on what our weather may be…and that’s it. I have no agenda. just want to discuss the potential weather when it’s active. And I won’t burn out..I am on zero social media, so I just walk away from here if it irritates me too much. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
ChiTownSnow replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Sounds right -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
mahk_webstah replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
No. You should do it. Because then when it trends south and east so many will be happy. -
Imby/Columbia: 0.32” overnight. 1.52” November to date.
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The long range looks meh to me. Not a torch anymore but no slam dunk pattern that is primed for southern snow either.
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Look how happy he looks in that pic of him and her.
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What are you trying to prove? Nothing has changed, this is still a classic wave reflection event then a recovery and strengthening of the SPV come mid-late December. Even twitter has moved on. We’ve discussed this on here ad nauseum with @40/70 Benchmark and several others. We’re beating a dead horse
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Cary67 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Consulted Jerry Taft on the ouija board. 2-4"south; 3-5" north -
BWI: 23.7" DCA: 19.3" IAD: 26.5” RIC: 9.7” ----- SBY: 11.3”
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Welp may as well start this crap… 12z is the biggest run since 6z…
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It's Greta. It's always Greta.
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Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yeah, I think the best advice for most people in SNE is to take a backseat until the new year, and if something pops before that, great. I wouldn’t even give that system early next week a second thought until probably Sunday. A lot can go wrong, it’s early, and it’s still a week away. Odds are we won’t see anything from it, that’s just the way it goes. -
So, now I can give you the answer Yesterday’s 2 week GEFS (through 12/9/25) was starting to loop in 7 through the end of the 2 week run: was it going to stay in 7 or was it going to go into 8? Here’s the much anticipated answer: it ended up doing just a small, quick loop in 7 but then it went a little ways into 8 on 12/11. But that little ways was enough for it to last 8 days (12/11-18), which alone would be enough for the longest Dec phase 8 since Dec of 1989’s 10 days and longest, period, since Feb of 2019’s 9 days. However, it then looped back into 7 a little ways 12/19-26 with it stalled at the end. Now my question is whether or not it would have gone back into 8: we’ll never know on this run
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Wolf You gonna burn yourself out at this rate. I honestly don't know who you are fighting against half the time -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
pasnownut replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
was looking at 0z and 6z and yeah...like wowzers. If 1/4 of what is advertised materialized, we'd be gettin outta the winter gates w/ some zip. -
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Agreed! Will be interesting to see the trends on guidance through the weekend. I'll be keeping tabs on AI model outputs as well. Want to see some consistency on handling of the wave ejection at this lead and as we get closer to any event potential. Still a ways to go, but nice to see something worthwhile to kick off the season around these parts
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Jackstraw replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Everyone who gets it enjoy! I'm half way to last years season total so I've got all winter to get 4 pathetic more inches lol. Seriously, this is a good start to Met Winter as long as it doesn't catch the lane right before the pins. I expect kitchen sink variety this time of year here. But this year is feeling like a doozie of a winter coming. This damn rubber band has to snap at some point Note: There, I jinxed myself -
tyvm! I hope your idea verifies. Be nice to have everyone smile. .
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential
Stebo replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
How often is Kankakee in the lead on snow, let the man have his flowers.
