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start restricting calories now and your body will be more heat tolerant by summer

Coldest DJM here, 1998-99 and forward, was 14-15 with 13.1°- no surprise. Both 02-03 and 13-14 had 13.5°, 02-03 fractionally colder. Adding March puts 13-14 in first place with 14.7° thanks to a very cold March. 14-15 is 2nd at 15.3°. In Gardiner, 85-86 thru 97-98, coldest for DJM and DJFM was 93-94, with 16.1° and 19.8°, respectively. 95-96 was BN but 92-93 was a bit colder. Day 18 of consecutive subzero minima, tying with Fort Kent in 1982, with -9. No chance to extend the streak.

Hasn’t this always kind of been a 1”-3” deal in SNE? Can’t let one or two robust runs snow goggle us.

That's my assumption too with the flow and 850s but for some reason soundings on bufkit are struggling to really mix. Could just be something funky going on with that

The chances for an overall Feb -PNA are good as of now with a strong -PNA upcoming. This goes through Feb 24th: AO now rising sharply: NAO is, like the AO, also rising. However, it remains to be seen whether or not this rise will be enough to get the DJF NAO >-0.25, the # I’ve always used to classify a winter as -NAO vs neutral. DJ is at -0.5. In order for DJF to rise above -0.25, the Feb NAO would need to end up >+0.25, which is a decent possibility per this:

RGEM has been slightly edging north the past few runs, but it hasn’t budged much.

Except winters don't have a defined scoreboard and are subjectively localized. TFlizzy’s definition of a “winning” winter is drastically different than the resident predator’s…

You should just move to the old WestPark golf course so you can officially say you live in Western Loudoun

You’re a tough grader! I’d give it a solid B+ if Spring were to march in and stick around. The immense cold that kept our snowpack locked in for weeks on end is why most people are going to remember this winter for awhile. I’m also an out-front retention snob. I do think this winter has a little bit of gas left in the tank. Maybe one more shot at something toward the end of Feb before we get a classic mild, Niña March. Zooming way out, I am encouraged that we had favorable breaks from the cutter-cold-suppression-cutter nonsense in December and January that allowed us to build up a snowpack. Even if we revert to it for a time, I think we are cycling away from it as a dominant pattern. I’m actually really curious what next winter might feature if we see a bona fide Niño—something we haven’t seen in quite awhile.

need the northern stream s/w to dive in to bring this up the coast

Most important 12z GFS run ever

At some point I'll be rooting for a cutter to wash this mess away

I tried to get him to come back to [redacted] so he wouldn’t be your problem anymore but he won’t.

Monthly Rainfall imby, Columbia; Nov 1.63” Dec 1.59” Jan. 2.01”

He's feeling all puffy today. Tried to start shit with me in the LR thread and now with you. My man on that good stuff this morning!!

yeah if the op euro is just chasing the AIFS which has consistently been south we're cooked.

4th longest-lasting 5" snow pack ever recorded at PHL, but the top 3 all included refresher snows. Pretty memorable stretch of weather. Here in the city I think most everyone is ready for the sidewalks and streets to be clear again. I wouldn't mind a quick reset and then another solid storm, if for nothing else than to have a second chance to shovel all the areas in my neighborhood that it's become abundantly clear nobody else is ever going to shovel

I’ll definitely take .3 IMBY

Sure…I’m just talking in the sense that sometimes good patterns don’t deliver and bad patterns (not saying this was necessarily bad) do.

That’d be pretty sweet there actually

Bottomed out at 26.1 this morning. Last day for the sleet remnants I believe.

06z EPS definitely looks better poised than 00z to come up the coast. Slightly less ridging in the plains helps.

.40 here ? Lol

BWI still had 6” snow depth yesterday. And I’d guess today too? Think this maybe top 3 duration of snow pack that deep? Already # 8 for at least 1”.