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  2. Holston_River_Rambler
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Wasn’t that how Jan 2022 worked out
  4. weatherwiz
    Keep in mind the struggle the models have with the shallow nature of Arctic airmasses. Where the GFS and even Euro are developing the sfc low off the Carolina coast...probably shift that 50-75 miles farther northwest along the with whole storm track. I think this one has a great chance of passing right over the benchmark. The only thing I don't want to see is this bomb to something into the 980's or lower.
  5. mattie g
    Not sure where you were when this happened, but someone on Reddit posted that they got the details of a car on 495 that hadn't been cleaned and ice flew off the roof and smashed another car's windshield.
  6. Stormlover74
    Cold to start. Will storms return or mostly dry? Early spring? What will the groundhog say?
  7. Franklin0529
    Oh yea for sure. I was talking about around here
  8. soadforecasterx
    Just want to post some hope.
  9. JTA66
    So we want that norther or wester? Yeah, I always thought the rule of thumb is we want that junk dropping in over the Dakotas.
  10. Stormlover74
    Someone could still get a foot plus like in the outer banks or cape cod
  11. strongwxnc
    Yup. No absolutes is winter weather at this time frame.
  12. King George Dee started following Lessons From January 24-26th Winter Storm
  13. anotherman
    Probably because the insane totals are not on Apple Weather anymore.
  14. weatherwiz
    I still think this comes farther northwest. The 0z Euro was add to with the H5 vort. I don't think this vort is real...might be associated with convection and it seems the Euro then shifts the focus of evolution to this vort and results in south and east.
  15. olafminesaw
    There's also the possibility of a partial phase that would enhance the ULL snowfall and then hit coastal areas hard (particularly along a line East of greenville NC to Hampton Roads). I think that's probably slightly more likely than the Euro solution of a complete whiff on the phase and much more likely than the full phase the GFS is showing
  16. Prismshine Productions
    No EPS lows even came close Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
  17. Violentweatherfan
    That’s the kicker
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Visible satellite:
  19. NJwx85
    Yes I know it doesn’t get heavier, my point was more that it’s not going anywhere and anything that melts will just refreeze instead of running off or evaporating. Under normal conditions we would lose a lot over the course of a week. Not so much this time.
  20. Principal McVicker
    You know, Brian makes a good point. If the storm misses, the public will call it a 'bust.' Which is a real shame, because here on this site, we prefer the more scientific term for being completely wrong despite having billions of dollars in satellite data. We call it 'a statistical anomaly.' It sounds much more professional when you’re explaining to your wife why you spent twelve hours staring at a colorful map of a storm that ended up hitting a completely different ocean.
  21. Climate175
    You can tell the experience of tracking by comments like those lol.
  22. cleetussnow
    It doesn’t get heavier when it melts. The weight will be the same. The fluff we just got has a relatively low water content. 3 feet of concrete snow is a different story, but you’ll likely still be fine anyway. If this storm blows 70 it won’t pile up on the roof as much but you will have plenty of other problems besides your roof.
  23. NJwx85
    I know this is a bit cliche but this is definitely one of those scenarios where you don’t want to be in the bullseye 5-6 days out if you’re rooting for a big storm.
  24. jm1220
    Sleet is 3-1 ratio roughly, so if there’s 0.7” liquid as sleet that would be just over 2”. But it would be 7” of snow if assuming 10-1 for snow. Seeing as many of us had a couple inches of sleet, probably 0.7” liquid fell as sleet so we’d be approaching 20” if it was all snow.
  25. Franklin0529
    This might be one for the beaches. I could see South Jersey say toms River south getting few inches
  26. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yo, Kingsport people, especially west Kingsport/ anyone in Hawkins county y'all seeing any Cherokee Lake effect snow? I've got some Watts Bar Lake effect snow here (posted in general obs) and a band from Cherokee aimed at KPT is showing up on satellite. I'll move this post later this AM. But thought more people would see it here.
  27. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some nice dendrites: https://i.imgur.com/WFmqpvQ.mp4
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