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He's gotten plenty right and plenty wrong. Basically he's like everyone else except he's the "anti-weenie".
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I am an optimist at heart but I will believe above normal precip when I see it
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yes-insane that there would be this much spread this far out
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
RogueWaves replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Solid 3-4" at home today. Brushed 4" off the car in Grayling. Kinda fluffy but freezing drizzle in the lower elevations was making the roads horrible and stuck to your windshield making it hard to even see ahead. Worst winter stuff! -
You don’t say? For like 9 days out it’s all over the place? That’s crazy!
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
OP euro might actually have ticked a little better. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
so he got one storm right in 10 years -
Most all of my ground is frozen so stickage commences quick
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Still holding to my .5" to 1.5" tops forecast out my way. Think the WWA of 2-4" are overdone where they are in effect for NJ counties. PERHAPS 2" in spots but the 4" I'm not buying into at all.
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Looks like the Euro is favoring this scenario by driving the GOA low and torching Canada. But GEFS disagrees a bit, it stops short of doing what the euro did and instead retrogrades the trough towards the aleutians.
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Lucky roads?
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Another Coating of Snow Saturday - "It's all we Got"
DomNH replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
I think it's going to be a fairly tight gradient between 2-4'' of decent snow and C-1'' of slushy crap...likely just NW of my fanny. -
2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don’t know. It wouldn’t surprise me if it’s temporary. -
WB 18Z GEFS for 25-26 seems all over the place on whether there will be a storm and whether it will be wet/icy/snowy. Couple of snapshots for Sunday 1pm and Monday 7am.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
J Paul Gordon replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
WWA up for my area (Clinton, MA) with 2-4, but I'm not sure whether that's tonight and tomorrow or Sunday. Temperatures--especially tomorrow seem marginal, at best. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
dryslot replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Yup -
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
gamecockinupstateSC replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
How long has it been since both the GFS and Euro matched 9 days out? Euro is actually colder and further south with ice. -
Last time I saw snowman19 basically go all in was several days before Jan 2016. Ended up pretty decent lol
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I only wish this on friends. Ask Mappy when she was worried about this past Thursday.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
SouthCoastMA replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
the EC-AI was about a 40-50 mile jog east, but actually not too different than its 18z/0z/6z runs from yesterday/today. 0z will be telling but its clear it won't head back in the other direction (west). -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
dendrite replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
They’re learning that it’s fun to troll weather weenies -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Snowcrazed71 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
So it seems the AI models are learning, they're learning to come back to reality with the tried and true lol ( joking of course ) maybe things stay the course. Maybe they don't. I guess we'll know by tomorrow night what the final outcome will be for Sunday -
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I expect a rug pull at 00z to be honest. Feels like 18z is laying the ground work
