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Swing and a miss for my neck of the Piedmont. Bring on thunderstorm season.

NAM is dry for Thursday.

Now THAT is a cold and dry pattern.

lol do yourself a favor and go spend time doing something else rather than chasing non existent storms and feet of pattern.

I might have to update my rockin' post already.

officially or just chatter. officially once in last 19yrs unofficially probably 100's. I like Tomlin, and wish him well.

Don’t worry yall, the blocking will show up in April

3K looks good

So next week is really gonna be several days below freezing without any snow, isn’t it?

When it comes to snow, I'm a perpetual optimist..

a nice warm full sun 50, feels great

Wonder if @Mr Bobis in this or any of our other met folks? https://www.amazon.com/Weather-Channel-Pioneers-Joseph-DAleo/dp/1986184161?asin=1986184161&revisionId=&format=4&depth=1

I don’t even think it’s possible with that atrocious storm track aside from maybe 15 minutes of snow showers as the precip collapses into the coastal.

12z vs 18z lol

Almost forgot about your SSWE hype when you were using graphics from that nimrod Mark Moregarbage back in December when he was hyping a massive SSWE and total SPV split for Christmas week, yet another good one

How's February/March looking?

in recent history is a guide-frigid and dry

Yeah, so that flattens out from time to time. I doubt modeling has the details correct. Could be a brief warm-up and rain or could be even as severe as over-running. I am interested to see how the models react to the phase 8 and HL blocking combo. That could get severely cold, but I have been burned at this range too many times to count. But yes, the trajectory(for now) favors either a cutter or over-running or both!

Crazy jump for one run inside 42hrs

Thank you for 1, providing your customary great stats and B, providing me with a headache trying to digest all of the numbers and percentages. You left out the percentage of times in history that Pittsburgh is looking for a new head football coach.

15/16th is still there... in fact, it's actually the most amp of all this shit... the problem, not for us. upstate NY to western QUE gets a moderate snow with strong windy system as a low forms over SE NY and a goes down to 990 or so as it cuts west of us. Meteorologically, that's a success Winter weather dorks like us end up with sort butts. Obviously this factor here does not lend to recognition extended to the Meteorologists.

You know its possible to disagree with somebody without being a complete d*ck right?

Will all that cold air, with the accompanying big high pressure system suppress everything south, with just a few light snow events via clippers coming thru, or will we squeeze in a system to ride up the coast? Stay tuned.

Your understanding of how La Nina influences the pattern is far too reductive. Since we're in the mood to discuss seasonal trends, why don't see consider the model bias with respect to the amount of time that the MJO has spent phase 8. I wonder why that, and has been, for the better part of a decade...