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Happy New Years weenies. 2025 sucked for me so here’s to a good 2026. Same to you all.

It’s unfortunate there just isn’t enough cold air around Saturday because that slider has trended significantly wetter with a very favorable track for a cross state NC storm. Sad really

27ºF and steady snow arrived here in the last hour, with a fresh coating so far. We usually do pretty good with these kind of events here right off the ridgeline. CTP expects about 2” here in Altoona and I think that should be pretty attainable between the steady snow and the expected snow squall line.

Actually I agree with you. The NYC event trended north in the last day or so, putting the max just NE of the city instead of directly over and south of it.

Phoenix experienced its warmest December on record for the second consecutive year. Last year, the December mean surpassed a record that held since 1980. That record was beaten this year with Phoenix experiencing, by far, its warmest average low temperatures on record for December.

Short on time? we still have plenty of time with the way these models are lol.

Tonight / Monday / Mid week It is

Radar looks to be filling in, getting moderate snow here. Probably closing in on an inch and forecast was 3-5 so I think its still on track. It does look like areas that got more from the snow bands to the SW of the city are missing some of the better rates at the moment though.

Absolute clinic . Other than the last 5 minutes of first half Onto #3. Fidens

31.3/18 If anything can make it down to the ground here it will be beautiful. Always amazed at the lack of radar while Snowshoe gets bashed: https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam

December 2025 at DCA ended on a cold note, averaging 37.3 degrees, tied for 94th warmest December of 155 years in DC history and 4.4 degrees below the 1991-2020 normal of 41.7. The last time December was colder at DCA was 2010, which averaged 34.6. December 2025 precipitation at DCA was also below normal at 1.77 inches vs a December average of 3.41 during 1991-2020. The 2025 yearly average temperature at DCA was in marked contrast to 2024, averaging only 59.5 degrees, 18th warmest in DC history and down 2.3 from last year's record-breaking warm 61.8 degrees. Precipitation in 2025 at DCA totaled 35.56 inches, only the 119th wettest in DC history and below the 1991-2020 normal of 41.72 inches. The last time there was less precipitation at DCA was 2016, in which DCA received 31.70 inches. This marks the third consecutive year of below normal precipitation at DCA; however, the preceding five years were all above normal there, including the record-breaking 66.28 inches in 2018.

models that do temp guidance have been so wrong over the last 7 winters always show this historic cold for weeks turns out to be a bit below for a day or 2

DCA: -2.1 NYC: -2.2 BOS: -2.3 ORD: -1.8 ATL: -0.6 IAH: +0.6 DEN: +1.1 PHX: +2.1 SEA: +1.3

sign me up

When the models were showing a great pattern over the next 10 days and beyond a few days back, it was showing this system but it was way suppressed to the south because of the cold press. Now that the block is falling apart, the cold press isn't as much, allowing this system to come up north. Hopefully we still have enough cold air to snow if the precip comes up that far.

Citrus crops don’t like the 18z GFS AI…

Hopefully that wolf eats less of its own poop than my labs do.

IMO DC is a good spot to be in for this. Just far north such that mixing isn’t likely to be an issue, just far south such that they can get into that precip band.

18z Euro gets some kind of snow back to I-81

Seems like that's been progged pretty well and is apparently part of the pattern change mid-January that everyone is banking on.

Stranger things have happened, ive seen it before. Jan 7th 2017 is a good example that was a suppressed whiff way off shore that came NW every run inside of 108hrs. But this needs a lot more work than even that storm, and that was a lot to ask. Worth watching thats about it, ensembles need to jump on board with not just NW ticks but some hits as well. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-2017 GFS trend inside of 108 and it kept going

Currently 34.8/21.4 at 7 pm after a 35.5 high. Not expecting much here, but getting the ground white is the goal, anything measurable is a win.

Appreciate you. Thanks!

Not modeled and likely won’t happen.

Hopefully this guy