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  2. C.A.P.E.

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    Pretty decent general read on the MJO from NOAA last winter- https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/madden-julian-oscillation-has-been-active-so-far-winter-here-why-it-matters
  3. Meanwhile it’s raining here
  4. C.A.P.E.

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    It overwhelmed because the Nino was a late developing, weak, diffuse, POS lol. That's one explanation. As for why the MJO was persistently strong/active, hard to say with certainty. I am no expert but warmer SSTs and tropical forcing/convection in specific areas of the Pacific could act to "interfere" with ENSO state. You could also look upstairs over the tropics. QBO phase maybe?
  5. moneypitmike

    September Weather Discussion 2019

    Returning back north?
  6. NorthHillsWx

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I'm surprised we're even that close to average in central NC. We did receive 1.5" from the hurricane but that feels like a century ago. Coupled with the high heat, we're in mid-summer form in terms of the yard browning out
  7. Thank Goodness it’s dry this time of the year, you’ve got the best weather of the year coming up enjoy it, we’ll get plenty of rain once it really cools down in mid October!
  8. 12z Euro 2m temps. Saturday 87 Sunday 89 Monday 92 Tuesday 88 Wednesday 96 These temperatures are for MDT. Rainfall looks next to nothing. Hopefully Euro is wrong!
  9. #NoPoles

    September Weather Discussion 2019

    The 9th level of hell, actually. But I already decided a month ago Im not staying here...just quietly wrapping things up...
  10. Solak

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Rainfall doesn't look to improve anytime soon. From the afternoon AFD from Raleigh... Other than a stray shower pre-dawn Wednesday across the western zones, precipitation chances will remain near zero through the period with high pressure jockeying into place overhead. The next chance of appreciable rainfall holds off until early to middle of next week thanks to the approach of a cold front from the northwest.
  11. Iceagewhereartthou

    Sept 2019 Observations

    GSP supposed to be 82/62 today with average temps dropping every couple of days. We ain't been CLOSE to that! Our 30 year averages are going to skyrocket once the 80s drop off and we figure in the 2010s.
  12. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Rainfall percent of mean over the past month
  13. 40/70 Benchmark

    Winter 2019-2020 Discussion

    Good reason why I hate 93-94. All I hear is how epic it was.....I was like 15" above average with no events over 12".
  14. powderfreak

    September Weather Discussion 2019

    That sounds like hell on earth.
  15. lookingnorth

    Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume

    What's the margin of error for these measurements? Is there any significant difference between the 2007, 2016, and 2019 extents or is it a statistical tie?
  16. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I'd say we've earned this upcoming cool air damming episode after this summer's beating
  17. tamarack

    2019-20 New England Snow

    Thanks for your work in setting up this fun site once again. Will we need new usernames and passwords, or will the ones from last year still work?
  18. Iceagewhereartthou

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I'd love to think summers were too short! It really is amazing that going north just 500 miles can be the difference between endless winters and endless summers. Crazy to think such a short distance makes that much difference.
  19. NorthHillsWx

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    One word sums up the upcoming and recent weather pattern quite nicely: Dry
  20. Today
  21. Wonderdog

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    What caused the MJO to overwhelm last year?
  22. mattie g

    September Banter 2019

    Lots of amazing beers - too many to mention and nearly too many to remember! Of note: - Hidden Springs: Double Barrel-Aged Fuffernutter Black Aggie - Aslin: Castle Hill - Horus: Coconut Crown and Hazelnut Crown - Voodoo: Black Magick (Double Oak) - Sapwood: Galactic Burst There were plenty more I did try (particularly barreled stouts) - and I definitely missed some great ones - but I did the best I could with what my body allowed me.
  23. FallsLake

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Fall is normally beautiful here. If we're lucky we can get 4-6 weeks of open window weather.
  24. #NoPoles

    September Weather Discussion 2019

    This HP centered over TN has been relentless. We havent had rain in so long, the vegetation is severely wilted, the ground has been baked dry and big cracks are forming, the trees are losing their leaves due to drought and heat stress. We just keep baking under 100 degree heat. Such a turn around from all the river flooding that was ongoing when i first moved here in March
  25. HoarfrostHubb

    September Weather Discussion 2019

    Pretty much right on cue with my open house night. Sept 26. It will be warm
  26. correnjim1

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    simple enough lol
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