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@GaWx Revisiting December's anomaly, I think the biggest surprise is UAH's satellite record for lower tropospheric temperatures had December 2025 as the SECOND most anomalously warm month on record in the satellite era. Again, not second warmest December, but second warmest of any month for both US48 & US49 [Conus + AK]. For CONUS (US48), it was behind only March 2012 & for US49, it was behind only February 2017. Since the satellite measures across a certain depth of the atmosphere, it makes me wonder if surface inversions and the like prevented us from fully realizing just how warm it was last month. I know California was plagued by surface inversions for much of the month, so that might be a big part of the divergence between the surface record and the LT anomalies.

I love giving them crap but we are 3.5 days from kickoff and a lot can change. 60-70% at this range is healthy.

Its amped for sure. Sub 1000 in CO. First flakes out this way Saturday afternoon. Was lining us up for a pummeling.

Bottomed out at 0F, now up to a balmy 14F. Awesome Jebwalk this morning! Noticed some yellow snow, we need a refresh.

Additionally, we could see several days with highs below 20F behind the Sun-Mon storm at Central Park. Mon's high is highly uncertain - could end up close to 30F if the storm trends further north. Any streak of 5+ days at/below 25F and 4+ days at/below 22F would be quite notable. There have only been four such streaks of <=25F and two such streaks of <=22F at Central Park in the past 50 years!

NAM doesn't even have precip in East TN until Sat evening. That's the latest I've seen so far. It's also the NAM so there is that....

I won't melt about that again until Saturday...promised last night.

Meh at 6z. I'll take the ARW though

Extrapolate please

You can see up along Canada and in NY we have strong highs there with arctic air. That should be a good cold CAD event for a widespread area.

Jonathan Wall used to be on the SE forum back in the old days if I remember correctly. I just found this on Volquest and says it a lot better than what I have been articulating.

Maybe a positive to the amped solutions is we absolutely get the meat of the overunning before any change over occurs.

Is the HP really going to be that transient? I mean christ it's solid as heck comparatively to the norm..

Perhaps the famous musician pays $20 to have his elderly folks plowed?

@66 hrs, 12z NAM looks a lot like 6z Euro at surface

you got yours

Nam is not our friend this run north and amped

Intial thump would be bigly

You're noise, not substance.

Ray is already thinking about Coke streamers on Cape Ann while he chokes on exhaust so it’s throwing him on tilt.

12z NAM has it a-coming .

NAM more phased than6z euro at 72 hours. NAM gonna NAM?

Nam at the end of its run

Sorry.....I'm trying to do notes at the same time and missed the start of the exchange. My bad.