All Activity
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I mean ultimately, it is what it is. NAM is still a hellacious thump of a foot before we’d “sleet” -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
SHELEG replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
You would not say that if it showed want you want. -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
CT Valley Snowman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
NAM has a NW and amped bias. We toss. Would need to see other guidance trend that way before taking it seriously. -
Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
Stx_Thunder replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Same here, definitely. HRRR does tend to overdo things. Particularly when it's convective, as I've seen over the years. But even NAM, which is typically very conservative with any kind of overrunning convective instability (especially in these polar/arctic air masses), has joined that party. It's even been showing some significant 850Mb instability or LIs over ETX in more recent runs. -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
jlewis1111 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nam what a awful run -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
NorthArlington101 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Son went to fill his car up after i told him,he said 7-11 and Krogers had no gas..lol
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Let’s get 4-6” for TAN
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
baltosquid replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Oof, RRFS amped up at 18z. Need one of these mesos to trend better… -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
FWIW Notable differences at 42 wrt SLP placement. Like 500 miles off. One needs tossed. Can I pick which one? -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
Yeoman replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Must have picked up on what's looking like this early wave break -
I have no fear. The latest Mark model is in.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
AccuChris replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z NAM appears to be the warmest yet. Sleet line up to I-80 and even at H60 is has sleet even into Boston. Seems like a warm outlier but cannot be ignored either . -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's a substantial drop from 12z but it's also likely wrong haha. If not.....whew boy. -
Eh it was the Euro also that broke hearts. It was the Euro that first corrected but then the GFS did as well. I honestly think at this range the GFS is handling the storm better but we will see. Euro has had this storm on and off. It has it now. It's just suppressed.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Taint up to I-80 May need to revisit those Valentine's Day 2007 discussions
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
mikem81 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
The NAM will change every single run to something else. That is what is does. Period. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
mattinpa replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I wouldn’t trust it unless it gets support. The NAM can be prone to extreme runs both ways. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
psv88 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Flips us to plain rain! Awful. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
Yeoman replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR is worthless for predicting band placement until it's inside 18 hours -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
The HECS was in March 1958. This followed another HECS on Valentine's Day that year. 1957-58 was that era's snowmageddon. In many places, it still holds the record for the snowiest season on record. That was a strong el nino year, like 2009-10, which produced the snowmageddon. The crazy thing about 2009-10 is how quickly that winter wrapped up after the snowmageddon event. It legit felt like summer during the first week of April that year. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
MikeB_01 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Primary for the NAM was stronger. That allowed it to amplify a little more. -
whoof..
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Ya that's way north with the sleet line.. maybe a 18z blip
