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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
46f, 12AM...windows open, I think I heard the ice cream truck guy? -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah -- it was pretty close to a uniform La Nina pattern last Winter in the US. Combine that with pre-El Nino conditions for the year after, and you have about a perfect composite. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The reds are actually BN, not AN. I know, kind of strange coloring. The SE drought was/is bad due largely to the very dry winter. -
It doesn't matter if it's 134 years of climate data from Gibson County, Indiana. It is just one of the 3143 counties in the United States that you are trying to use as the lens from which to view global climate change from. You don't get the right to say that I'm cherrypicking when that is the flimsy pedestal you're standing on.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I didn't realize it was such a strong La Nina STJ pattern -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You can generate on these two sites using ERA 5 dataset, Chuck....only issues are that the time periods are more restricted...ie I can't do DJFM, and there are no daily options....ie March 10-25, etc... -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
i did some research a couple days ago how a strong Nino effects our area or region.In general Dec can have some strong tornadoes which surprised me because we dont see this in NINO into winter,in Jan along the Appalachian Mountains has flooding and a freak IP/SN happens in Feb Edit:Other wise its going to be AN with with temps -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Maybe I'm missing something but we still don't have H5 monthlies? -
Snow showers up here today
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Oh, wow...I didn't think those went past early March, like the H5 stuff.....awesome. Issue is just H5 dailies, then -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What about these? I’m going to delete them soon due to big size taking up too much of my attachments space: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/usclimdivs/ -
Officially a trace of snow at PIT today.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
These are the best I have for monthly composites right now.. https://climatereanalyzer.org Alternatively, you can also still use PSL by drawing upon the ERA 5 dataset, since NCAR was discontinued in March....my problem is that you can't use ERA 5 to generate daily maps here: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/composites/day/ You also can't get degrees F and precipitation in inches using ERA 5. So I am seeking an alternative to generate those maps as to now be relegated to monthly data using degrees Kelvin and measuring precipitation in mm moving forward. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I understand,i'd like to see it also myself..lol -
My numbers for April 2026 Averaged high was 73.2 degrees vs a normal of 66.2 degrees, a +7.0 degrees above average and ties for warmest averaged high for month with 1994. Warmest temp was 87.2 degrees on the 16th. Averaged low was 43.7 degrees vs a normal of 38.9 degrees, a +4.7 degrees above average and is 3rd warmest average recorded behind 1981 and 2006. Lowest temp recorded was 27.2 degrees on the 8th and 21st. Overall averaged temp was 58.4 degrees, a +5.9 degrees above average and slides into 2nd warmest April behind 1981's 58.6 degrees. Total precip for the month was 2.07 inches vs a normal of 3.64 inches, -1.57 inches below average. The wettest day was the last with 0.64" falling. There were only 8 days with measurable, 3 days with a 'T' and 19 dry days. Zero snowfall for the month vs a normal of 0.3 inches, -0.3 inches below average. Highest wind for the month was 33 mph on the 2nd and 20th. There were 13 days with winds above 25 mph. One new record, a record high temp set on the 16th. Overall a dry and warm month, second April in a row.
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.03" here this morning. Sun made an appearance at sunset. Felt great outside though with shorts on and felt like early spring. Ill take this over the 3 H's
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I ask questions like that in this thread because this is where most of the seasonal guys like to congregate, so there is a method to my madness haha...not going OT just to be obnoxious. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thats kinda what i thought you was talking about,i dont know myself where to find that and even with the hype of a super NINA i would think the skill score of any model would be fairly low,if it even makes it to Super..JMO -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No, sorry...I see why you thought that because this is the ENSO thread. I apologize for the OT inquiry...I am asking about temp and precipitation anomaly map generation. Looking for a site that allows for daily map generation for temps in degrees F and precipitation in inches. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think this goes out the furthest dont it?I know JMA goes through Dec,but i'm not sure this is what you are looking for https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-nmme -
Long season, but sure looks like more of the same old crap. I was done with Elias a year ago. He doesnt know how to build a winning ML team, which is the actual job of a GM lol.
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We are still in the mode of always missing the bigtime rain.
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12z Euro shows snow mixing in with the showers on Thursday over much of Iowa and surrounding areas. Just awful.
