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Yeah, it was nice. But the 55+ warmup occurred right on schedule just before on the 17tth and 18th. Then mid 60s warmth to close out the month. Sum 1396 953 - - 833 0 4.39 3.5 2024-12-17 61 46 53.5 15.9 11 0 0.02 0.0 0 2024-12-18 55 39 47.0 9.6 18 0 0.23 0.0 0 2024-12-19 47 36 41.5 4.4 23 0 0.04 0.0 0 2024-12-20 39 33 36.0 -0.9 29 0 0.05 0.3 0 2024-12-21 33 20 26.5 -10.1 38 0 0.08 2.2 2 2024-12-22 23 13 18.0 -18.4 47 0 0.00 0.0 1 2024-12-23 29 11 20.0 -16.2 45 0 0.00 0.0 1 2024-12-24 41 26 33.5 -2.4 31 0 0.07 1.0 T 2024-12-25 36 27 31.5 -4.2 33 0 0.00 0.0 T 2024-12-26 39 22 30.5 -5.0 34 0 0.00 0.0 0 2024-12-27 44 22 33.0 -2.3 32 0 0.00 0.0 0 2024-12-28 48 38 43.0 7.9 22 0 0.71 0.0 0 2024-12-29 65 46 55.5 20.6 9 0 0.19 0.0 0 2024-12-30 59 44 51.5 16.8 13 0 0.21 0.0 0 2024-12-31 54 38 46.0 11.5 19 0 0.71 0.0 0

Love it. Keep it up for the next 3 weeks. Cool shots end of month. Pattern change begins the 15th complete by the 21st

5 inches under for the 2025 water year

Good for winter

Overnight low here of 45. Perfect. Windows open until just before daybreak. Walpack bottomed out at 31 with lots of l/m 40's over northern and central NJ. The coming warmup will truly suck after these nice crisp few days. At least some rainfall on the horizon in about a week.

Are the corn fields harvested? If not, looks like dried out corn that's ready to be. Regardless, it has been dry your way.

That’s why the average home price there is $15 million lol

That leads to cold air pooling. My old house was in a low spot in town and cooled very well. New spot on the hill not as great. Compared to my old spot in the lower area it’s about 2 degrees warmer on RC nights

I remember like 20+ years ago I drove through there one night in October and I hit 38 degrees on the car thermometer while back at home in NE Queens (not that urban compared to the rest of the city) it was still in the mid 50s. It's so rural and beautiful there.

Yeah my station in Muttontown is at a low elevation too at 154' compared to the surrounding area.

Did you guys up north of me notice a massive drop-off in ticks during the dry spell? There were armies of ticks everywhere during the 2 months of Florida soup and over the last 4-6 weeks it's almost like they disappeared. Haven't seen a single one on our dog in a month after being a tick magnet for the 2 previous. We treat him but the ticks still get all over him before dying. Not a single one in weeks seems really odd. Of course I hope every tick on the planet dies yesterday but this cycle seems weird

I just went back to the whole climate record. This isn't the first time that it's happened. I suspect that the current narrowing has a climate component in addition to a cyclical/internal variability component. My hypothesis about a climate component's being involved is based on the shrinking deep cold pool resulting in warming winters and a delay and a shortening duration of the coldest outbreaks, in general. The result is that the frequency of extreme cold is falling and the distribution of extreme cold is being pushed into the first half of January. Prior to 1990, about 12.1% of NYC's single-digit or colder lows occurred during December 16-31. Since 1990, that figure has fallen to 5.0%. On a 30-year rolling basis, the December 16-31 frequency of such cold is lower than during the earlier period where the temperature difference between December 1-15 and December 16-31 narrowed substantially. The frequency of such cold has declined markedly for the December 16-31 period. Hence, there appears to be a climate component involved this time around with the narrowing of the temperature difference between the first and second halves of December. Distribution of Lows < 10°: Frequency of Lows < 10°:

Drought conditions showing up on satellite.

46.

We also had a white Christmas last year, first time in a while.

29 and frosty this morning, tied with 9/21 for season's coolest. Cat lying in front of the woodstove.

September was the first month this year warmer than the same month last year, at Central Park. Of course that is not saying a lot as last year tied for the warmest year.

https://phys.org/news/2025-09-antarctic-sea-ice-emerges-key.html

44 here. It was good open window sleep.

We are not getting any hurricanes to sniff this latitude

43.3

6z GFS is the look you would want to try and bring a hurricane near here..but ya it’s in fantasyland.

I doubt mother nature knows it's Christmas..lol..all kidding aside I'm sure it will even out to normal as it usually does with climate

I was just thinking, is it me or does it seem like the hemisphere as a whole, particularly Arctic latitudes, is very slow to begin the seasonal transition...or maybe its just a bit too early? This next part is better suited for the ENSO thread, but I don't feel good about our prospects for the winter. I guess maybe I'll go throw those thoughts in there shortly.

This really isn't true... (bold). There is well documented increased frequency of phenomenon that struck agriculture. The objective/observed reality of the Serbian climate refugees, a diaspora out of native farming regions due to climate change took place 15 years ago, and caused political-geodesic instability too... That's already occurred. There is empirically measured oceanic level rise that is inundating island nations, and also effecting an increased frequency of coastal storm impacts. Increasing numbers of deadly heat waves have struck European regions. Droughts in Australia have become increasingly more desiccating over time. All but impossible hydro management due to low predictive onset of excessive extremes of rainfall and associated inundation, followed by extraordinarily fast drying phases, have been plaguing interior Eurasia and Asia proper. All of these examples are both empirically measured, then ... mathematically proven to be attributed to alterations in the climate, which are connected to changes in the atmospheric circulation modal behaviors, all around the globe. It may be suffice it to say that they haven't happen enough? Not enough so to really garner the attention ( that they should...), which enables this kind of disrespect of the significance, and also ... false narrative/presentation - that would be apropos enough. But saying hasn't been the case, is false.