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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
mreaves replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I've dropped a degree in the last hour or so from 33.8° down to 32.9°. I don't think my driveway is going to melt out enough to avoid a complete skating rink when it gets colder again. -
True but all it really means to me is we don't know yet what's going to happen. All we do know is that Ji will act like an asshat and Bob Chill will think its funny
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
EastonSN+ replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Terrible representation IMO. Multiple reports of 27 inches in SWCT, including the town that I lived in at the time (Norwalk) yet it shows 10 to 20. -
My gauge collected 0.10" of melted snow, but I was only able to measure about 0.8" of snow in the grass.
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oh your location under your avatar says Brooklyn fyi
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snow squall warnings near Detroit
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A little blue now on the western horizon.
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Go back and check this. Look carefully at the maps I posted. The 18z NAM run right before the event was one of its least snowy runs. And it still showed 1-3" of (10:1) snow across Union (south) and Essex (north) Counties (EWR is right in between). Actual reports came in mostly in the 2-4" range including uncounted sleet, so about 1" off. Newark Airport at 4.3" was one of the highest reports for either county even though it's in the southern tip of Essex. The NAM was one of the few models to show sleet in Putnam County where I personally observed it. It also showed primarily sleet into Morris County before 9pm, which was also correct. It was the first and best model with the warm nose. The inv trof, which it also correctly showed lingering into Sat, was what delivered snow in NJ. I honestly think you guys arguing that the NAM did poorly are out of your minds.
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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
AstronomyEnjoyer replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ugh, that sucks. No gutters here, and thankfully never had flooding issues due to weather. That being said, the condensate pump for my furnace burned out last night and water started pooling in the unfinished part of the basement. I was lucky and caught it early on, but right now there's a trash bin in the basement with about a foot of water in it. Methinks a trip to Home Depot will be in the cards at some point this afternoon. -
I would say that the only thing that might give it credibility is how adamant the Euro has been on that coating.
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No support for it so ya toss
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Don't forget that excitement was initiated by the click-baiting internet mets. And remember I posted in response to a decent 5H on the Eps it was important to know how it got there.
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Ahead of the current system (Winter Storm Ezra) I cored the snowpack here at our site in association with yesterday morning’s CoCoRaHS report, and the 1.63” of liquid measured was within a few tenths of the projected snowpack water content based on NOHRSC modeling. The modeling also suggested that Winter Storm Ezra could be quite a snowpack boost around here, even in the valleys, with another inch of liquid equivalent being added. Comparing the modeling from yesterday with that of today, it looks like the updated projection for snowpack depth increase is probably a bit more realistic, but both estimates stick with about an inch of liquid going into the snowpack. We had 0.81” of liquid equivalent recorded from the storm as of this morning, with a bit more falling today, so those liquid estimates seem to be in the range of what we’re getting. The mountain snowpack should certainly get a solid injection of liquid equivalent out of this event. Now we’ll just need a decent amount of new snow on top of the snowpack to get the surface conditions back in good shape, but the BTV NWS forecast discussion says snow showers should be continuing throughout the week.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Feb 06 was about 10-11" of Arctic sand here. not my favorite storm, though Id take it now in a hearbeat -
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
CAD really working its magic keeping temps in the low 40s rather than near 50. Looks like that ice on my sidewalk and driveway will be sticking around for awhile. -
definitely since Jan 7th 2022. We had 2-4"/hr rates that storm. I got 4.2" in one hour. Huge dendrites and zero wind will do that.
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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
wx2fish replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hanging tough down here. Maybe we erode it some down here ahead of the front, but its gonna be a grind. 3k and hrrr keep MHT in the mid 30s now. Maybe we get a quick pop to 40 along the front. -
06z Euro tries to give some light snow north of I-66 on New Years' Day. Wouldn't be much, a coating to one inch at most, but it would be great to get something.
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you guys are dumb
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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
wokeupthisam replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Same story here with the gutters, iced over the guards so its like they aren't even there. Lost a branch off ye olde apple tree, hoping for warmth later before it refreezes and winds get gusty. -
Sounds like a normal transitional period where models struggle while weenies use every change as a reason to cliff dive. I guess this really is everyone's first winter on these boards
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what in the doom and gloom did i wake up to?
