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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Seems like wrn ma into SNH favored today. However may see some training in areas of CT later into NE MA?
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Heading down to The Anthem tonight for a concert. Looks like we may catch some of the rain forecasted down there.
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78/72. Aaahhhhhh.
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One thing to keep in mind. Not that anyone should discount the Eps, but the AI EPS has done much better with the cooler air in the last month+ as I mentioned a few pages back and that BAMWX also noted. Anyone with a Wxbell or Weathermodels subscription, do they offer long range AI EPS? Tia
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Bong?
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Because the usual seasonal forecasts that relied on past tools have become much more varied in our new CC era. There's too many variables that are interfering with one another and are producing outcomes we've never seen before.
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Hrrr likes the stratiform precip
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Going on day 12 <80F. That's probably about normal but would seem pretty hard to do this time of year. 74/70 with filtered sun.
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Smoke makes me angry
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Ahh the beach
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Brasiluvsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yard sale is underway,,,,,,hoping the rain holds out til at least 2 pm or later ----- people began coming to buy stuff at the crack of dawn, lol -
75° / 68°. Makes me appreciate even more the last month and a half of record low dew points. Useless.
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Some of us will get lucky and get a storm later this afternoon, but the best chance for widespread showers is later tonight into Sunday morning.
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Not exactly groundbreaking to predict AN temps and BN snows in winter in our new CC era climate. That's been the general theme since 2015.
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Drove down to West Dennis this morning. Cloudy the whole way but sun peeking out right along the south shore of mid cape.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Are you ever happy?
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We need 2-3" of well needed rain. This could save the foliage season -
That’s the RRFS, which will become operational early next year.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Models show very little rain for Suffolk county. The beat goes on -
This is a good point….Given the background climate change/AGW, have we entered the “new” -AMO cycle, which would explain the anemic Atlantic hurricane season? In the past, before CC really kicked in, cold North Atlantic SSTs (like we have now) was a staple of -AMO cycles. Just food for thought
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
RU848789 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NWS has up to 1", but obviously this can vary depending on strength/location of storms. We're almost certainly going to move our son's wedding ceremony (4-5 pm roughly) indoors in SNJ (about 5 miles south of center city Philly), since we have to make that decision essentially now. NWS graphic below. The one thing that makes me wonder, though, is the HRRR is consistently not showing any rain in this area before about 6 pm, but the HRRR is often wrong. The rest of the models from 6Z are all showing some showers between 2-5 pm and after that too. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
We had a noisy Thunderstorm around 5 this morning that brought heavy rain. The Elk are moving around the house this morning as well. -
I hope not in the city itself. Traffic is a mess with the cycling event.