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Spring 2025 Medium/Long Range Discussion
madwx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
thinking things will trend drier and warmer over the next 10 days but definitely some cool days mixed in, especially this week. looking at a change to SW flow and more active conditions around the 15th which should last through the end of the month (this is tied to indian ocean convection which climatologically flares up around this time - hence late May being a classic tornado stretch for the plains) -
I was there with my son. They're one of his favorite bands. I wasn't sure what to expect without Chester, but Emily was pretty bad ass. Hope you enjoyed it! Back OT: dark and damp here, but no new precip
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Guidance only but this WPC product has shown shrinking rainfall totals for days now. If I get what is shown here for my location and add the .50" I've had so far I'll end up with about 1.75" for the entire "wet period". I'll take it for sure but a far cry from what could have been and much less than what was being forecast from when we started. We'll see where final totals actually end up but this was a shaky heavy (3-4"+) rainfall evolution from the get go. So far extreme NW NJ seems to be doing best, from western Hunterdon, western Warren and up through NW Sussex.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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This weather system is an ideal combination of warm temps, humidity, rain, clouds, and sun. This is really becoming one of the more enjoyable spring seasons I've experienced in a while.
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Good cell right over downtown BOS behind the front.
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Either extreme is horrible, if I had my way we would have controlled rainfalls twice a week (mostly at night) of around half an inch each lol.
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The heavy rainfall will be Monday into Tuesday, it was nice to pull in a mostly nice weekend. I'm more upset about the Wednesday-Friday weather though. Two days of rain is enough but it's supposed to linger for most of the week?
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The downpour I got last night was the first decent rainfall I got in the last couple weeks, so I had to do a lot of watering. I can't imagine how bad my lettuce plants would have looked had I not watered a lot. I agree that normal rainfall is just fine, but it's very annoying when we get long dry periods. The drought last fall was terrible.
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Yeah for the record I wasn’t implying anyone said that… but it’s still not that, ha.
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Yeah but we don't live in a desert, the normal rainfall we get is just fine. I haven't watered at all this year. Getting a quarter to a half an inch with each of these rainfalls is plenty. I think some people forgot what thats like-- getting 2-4 inch flooding rainfalls definitely isn't normal. Quarter to half inch rainfalls a couple of times a week is just fine.
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As other gardeners here have pointed out, it's amazing how much more quickly plants grow after a good rainfall than they do after our own watering.
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The heavy rain is in NW NJ as expected, but yeah we will have some showers moving in.
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You left wonderful SE MA and entered CT depression.
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No only the people on this forum lol. Actually among the general population I guarantee that way more people want 100 degree temperatures than want a 20 inch snowstorm lol. I happen to love both. We have air conditioning for 100 degree temperatures and central heat for cold and snow. It gives us the luxury of enjoying all sorts of extreme conditions. Average or below normal or rainy summers are so boring, there is nothing interesting about them at all. There's no connection between rainfall and 100 degree temperatures by the way, I've found numerous wet springs and summers that still had 100 degree temperatures. When the heat really comes in, it can dry the soil VERY quickly. There is no more powerful object in our solar system than the power and heat of the sun!
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See here is the thing, you love 100+ degree temps. The vast majority of people would find that crazy.
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Most normal people love their hot summers. 99.99% people I know love their summers hot. I'm rather doubtful of soil moisture controlling heat at all, two of our hottest summers, 1983 and 2011 had a ton of rain. But thankfully I do not believe we will see that kind of rainfall because we do not want the kind of horrible destruction that flooding has caused in the middle of the country. Flooding is MUCH worse than any drought ever could be.
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GFS wants to dump about 5 feet of snow on Pike's Peak this week. NAM has a bunch of snow east of 25. Even the Euro has snow.
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Just got home from Hanover and was nice until I crossed from RI into CT and hit drizzle/light rain
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Down in Plymouth. Lunch and drinks on the water.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
No way does even 2 in even verify today. Absolutely no training of t storms. Air is too stable and too dry. Just enough rain to keep the pollen down today. I only had a .40 inch of rain yesterday- very localized. 2 day total --.70 inch of rain. Still no drought buster rains for sure but it does help the garden. -
It loves to do that down there. May sell that.
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Yeah no one ever said we were going to get four to six inches region-wide in 24 hours. Strawman.
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We had rain earlier. I for one do not want my weekend ruined. Rain Monday into Tuesday is fine and timed much better for people who want to do stuff on their weekends.