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Plus the QB 'injury' for SEA

Euro clipper fest

I guess I should go out of town more often! We’re on the way to Banff and Lake Louise for some skiing. Those 12z runs are coming in hot! Er uh Cold and snowy! If this pattern doesn’t produce something I don’t know what it’ll take. Big caution is the drought situation and the moisture content of systems underperforming, but hopefully the STJ is indeed waking up and will give us a much needed shot of moisture.

We are in the stadium with good players on the field, but still waiting for it all to come together for a win.

I am surprised since the Darnold nagging oblique or whatever thing came out that the line on that game has not moved.

I nailed all the games in round 1 so (6 points to 1 point) so I have 21 points and have a little wiggle room. Just don't want to blow my 4 pointer this week.

I like the new format highlighting Key Messages, but I'm not sure how I feel about it not being necessarily chronological. They seem to have made the decision to start with most impactful within each forecast period in the discussion, regardless of chronology. Hm. Here's the announcement, published Tues: https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/357-2025/PNSLWX/d70a3efb41e0bd9e7ac6a50c1cc432fc

Actually here in the Chesco only 1.5 AN....we appear heading for our 4th straight below normal temperature month and 5th out of the last 6 months - that is impressive in our current warm cycle...suspect we may be trending to our next cooling cycle.

When you have a ens mean showing over .25” qpf 5+ days out that’s a decent sign something may happen in that period.

The Philly area got the worst of it. Forecasted by NWS to get 8 to 12. Ended up with 0.

This is my point, the big storm is always 10 plus days away...

I like all 4. Most nervous about SEA though. 49ers always give them fits.

Yep it's coming in line with the AI models. Coast could get plowable snow

seems more like Jan '96 minus the snow, wind, and general storminess.

All operational guidance has the same general idea for the 7-15 day period. Colder than normal temps with waves of moisture sliding west to east. Hopefully we can get that boundary in the right place.

No, people are saying the storms are right around the corner. I will get excited if two globals show a storm inside 5 days. Otherwise it it really is hype/ false hope.

Euro has it, too. Looks like a classic NC winter storm with snow in the northern part of the state and ice in the southern and eastern part.

Oh man yes please

It looks like those are the adjusted altered figures....slope is wrong on the above

Who we like in the games? I need to get my pool in tomorrow morning. I am thinking SEA, NE, BUFF, LAR. Thoughts? I need to bet 4 points on my most confident and 1 on my least. That list is my favorite (4) to least favorite (1). Thoughts?

2” of QPF on that prog back to Litchfield county. That was a pretty high stakes miss by the euro even though by 2015 standards, the distance miss wasn’t speculator.

Winter weather advisory for Orange and Putnam counties tomorrow and western Passaic for 2-4 inches of snow.

I thought Jan 27-31 was the big one, not Jan 23-25

Gets smashed to nothing as it goes east. But I kinda prefer that at this range anyway.