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The less sleet the better. Want to be able to use the snowblower again

Interesting...advisory for Hartford County

The minute The NAM took sleet into and past NYC.. it was game time all points NE

I had a similar situation last year with my father in law.

snow ratios are definitely going to be hefty under the banding...certainly upwards of 15:1, if not maybe even upwards of 18:1. Certainly leading to some potential that could even some 8-12" totals, even with the speed. The 10-15" I don't know about...those models were also pegging snowfall rates4-5"/hour. If that happened then we would see those totals I think but 4-5"/hr might be a bit high

Euro looks pretty good. I'm sticking with the 4 to 7 that I called for my area yesterday.

12z trends are towards the GEM…to be clear not to that extreme, but a cold eastern US.

It will shift about 25 miles NE and put me under the jackpot. They always do.

I was accounting for the snow ratios which should be 15:1 or more NYC N&E. The RRFS and HRRR are in good agreement w/ a max 10-15" swath, just I said 12-18" accounting for "surprises" (don't underestimate FGEN!)

Euro looks great for the nyc metro area. Man if we can get a -EPO to pop for a bit we may be able to have an above average winter

4-8… lumps of coal for all.

I like this blended map...at least the alignment. Amounts might be an inch or two too high in the southern purple areas

12z Euro still sees this as primarily a freezing rain threat for most of us. Some have mentioned the Euro struggles to see sleet, so it will come down to the upper level temperatures. Surface temperature at the height of the storm tomorrow evening are in the 20s for most of us, so whatever falls will be a problem on the roads.

It did so I had to stick my hand in the toilet.

Another meteorologist with 5-8 inches for NYC ( John Marshall )

Hopefully when you flush your phone goes down with it

The good news is I think everyone here who is in line to potentially be impacted by the band has realistic expectations. I think there is solid agreement on the max swath somewhere in the 4-8/6-10 range.

I did yesterday and will be doing it today while taking a " dump "

Mom- Oh look! The sun is coming out! Hopefully it warms up so the grand children can play outside this afternoon. Me- Holding my breath, face turning red. Mom- Hopefully the worst of winter is over. Dad, cousins- Yeah. Snow sucks. Mom- Dailylurker, can you open that window. It's getting hot in here. Me- F-you and the grandkids! F all of you! Kicks ham across the room, slams door, speeds away. Currently torching and annoying.

Yep I dont get it. I think 3-6 but 6-10 is alot.

I would do it right at the table. Hell, I may bring my laptop and an additional monitor and toss the food onto the floor and setup shop on the table

Thought this was too interesting not to post. Never would have guessed Maine and NH top the list vs points out in the pacific north west. New England pride on this one —for me anyway. https://www.islands.com/2055872/america-most-forested-state-east-coast-gem-atlantic-views/

Verbatim, the euro is plowable here, but this could just as well sink back another 30 miles tonight.

Regarding today’s Torchmas for much of the country, the analog 2021 is nearly a carbon copy with it then at or close to the warmest nationwide on record: Dec of 2021 had a very strong -PNA. Here was the PNA forecast on 12/26/21, no real end yet in site on the GEFS: (the PNA actually became positive on Jan 9th and stayed that way til mid-Feb even though this model still had no clue about that on Boxing Day):

I'm hoping Penndot leaves the level 3 restrictions in place. That gives me a legitimate excuse to tell the boss I'm parking the big truck before things get bad. This is one storm I don't want to be out in in a tractor trailer.