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Nice, what is your preferred blend of models or human logic that drove you to this prediction if you don't mind me asking?
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
Jebman replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yep. When it comes to deep pow on top of catastrophic ice in Washington DC, YOU BETTER BELIEVE I am only 5 years old. And, I'm damn PROUD of the fact. And I still want 30 inches of powder snow on top of that glacier in the DMV. You guys are tough. You'll love it. I STILL worship snow to the total exclusion of everything else and everybody else. And I pray to the snow gods for deep snow right on top of that Washington DC Glacier! -
1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
EastTNWeatherAdmirer replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is my snowfall forecast map and cities Jefferson City: 4”-6”+ Morristown: 4”-7”+ Knoxville (downtown; East & South): 3”-5” Newport: 4”-7” + Kingsport: 3.5”-6” Greenville: 4”-7”+ Baneberry: 4”-7”+ White Pine: 4”-7”+ Mt. LeConte (including Sunday NW flow mnt snowfall): 12”-16”+ Sevierville: 5”-7”+ Pitman Center: 6”-8”+ Cosby (in the actual town near foothills pkwy; not at Wilton Springs): 5”-8”+ Tazewell: 3”-5.5” Johnson City: 5”-8” + Maryville: 3.5”-6” Roan Mountain (including Sunday NW flow mnt snowfall): 10”-16”+ Sweetwater: 3”-5” Athens: 3”-5” Chattanooga: 2”-4” Crossville: 3”-4” -Clinton, Halls, Powell, & Karns: 2”-4” (less than east and south Knox County) -Dandridge: 4”-7”+ -Chestnut Hill: 4”-7”+ -White Pine, Baneberry, Bybee: 5”-7”+ (enhanced accumulation here) -Russellville: 4.5”-6” -Mohawk, Mosheim, & Midway (Greene County): 5”-8” -Bristol (not counting Saturday night & Sunday snow showers): 4”-5.5” -Parrottsville (Cocke County): 5”-7”+- 557 replies
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
lilj4425 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Northeast Georgia, the foothills and Piedmont of North Carolina, and Upstate South Carolina. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...The heavy snow will make many roads impassable and may produce isolated power outages due to the weight of the snow on tree limbs and power lines. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow is expected to rapidly stick to roads and other surfaces due to temperatures in the 20s. Travel conditions could deteriorate rapidly as early as Friday evening. Very gusty winds on Saturday could result in areas of blowing snow, causing very poor visibility. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
KyleEverett replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Also, my point forecast for Lancaster just updated to 100% chance of snow on Saturday with Heavy Snow possible. It's go time. -
Loudon added to wsw 2-4 inches
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I am out on the Ledge again just because DC is not gonna get deep powder snow on top of the Glacier. Too bad the Reaper is retired. Damn. And, Ji is correct on the model disco thread. Sure I'm 12. I am always a KID when it comes to snow, ESPECIALLY snow on top of solid ICE! I am STILL OBSESSED WITH ICE AGE CONDITIONS IN Washington DC! As long as it is not in Buda. I will NEVER grow the fuck up. I have not learned. I am gonna die someday without understanding, still worshipping ice and snow. Snow and ice are God, not g-d. I am un-repentant and I will always be un-repentant. I will DIE that way too. Guaranteed. Even tho I live in South Texas! I'm not 12. I'm 5, and I'm DAMN PROUD OF IT.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
IceQueen706 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Winter Storm Warning is up for Rabun County, Clayton, GA. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
KyleEverett replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Winter Storm Warnings for Charleston is such a treat to see. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
ncforecaster89 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
For those who might be interested, here’s my latest projections for 25 select locations along the east coast: https://x.com/tbrite89/status/2017125164824100896 -
Well the friggin' NBM finally came back to earth once the SREFs tanked, but it's time lagged, so it won't die for at least another model cycle.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
ncforecaster89 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Wilmington has historically averaged 1.6” yearly dating back to 1870. That said, most years we see nothing, so it’s rare to even get the climatological average from one storm. The last time Wilmington saw a 6” accumulation was during the Christmas blizzard of 1989 (a little over 36 years ago)! -
It looks like we go back into a northern stream dominated pattern again next week. Like we just saw in December
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
mattinpa replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I’ve been wondering that. I remember 1994 was cold, but not sure about the length of the cold stretches. -
Looking at the forecast winds for the mountain/foothills zones, would not be shocked if a Blizzard Warning is issued at some point. The wind gust and light fluffy snow is right on the cusp of MRX's criteria.
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Assuming the input data keeps flowing, at the pace we are seeing, AI and machine learning will absolutely crack the weather code to the point that humans won't need to interpret much and the forecasts will be as optimal as possible, and soon-ish. As far as who cashes in on it, I don't know. The data is certainly extremely valuable. Anyway, back to snow in Tennessee! Sorry for the diversion.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
franklin NCwx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
How much snow do yall average per year? -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
franklin NCwx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
We hug! -
Worth a shot...once they figure out how to incorporate AI completely, they will privatize the NWS imo. Just the revenue alone all these half-wit social media pages are generating all is enough to get Big Brother Corporations watching.
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Rivers are always more risky just b/c of how currents impact freeze up. Some of the tidal areas could be walkable in a matter of days, as well as any fast ice on shores of Chesapeake. Walking on some part of the bay is on my bucket list so I will be reporting on that when it's at least conceivably safe lol
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As a GIS nerd I'm gonna give away for free a multi-million dollar idea, super simple. Track verification scores of all weather models. For any given setup, query a set of historical analogs. Assess which weather models verified best in those analog lead-ups. Weight current models accordingly for current situation NBM. There, not perfect but grounded in science and a helluva better blend than what we are seeing today! I'd like 5% of the revenue from the startup that cashes in on that idea please.
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I can’t count how many people at my workplace have said it’s not going to snow. Only a fraction of the population will buy into this thing.
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
Jeff Co Vol replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The IDSS forecast for IMBY almost doubled in the past hour. (1 mile from exit 424 of I-40) 7.7" snowfall from .41 precip- 557 replies
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