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For those searching for UHI adjustments at the PHL Airport....we found them - but in 26 of the last 29 years NCEI has actually made warming adjustments....green is raw.

Not much correlation between the NAO and Northeast temperatures over the last decade or so. February 2015 was our last really cold month and one of the strongest +NAOs. It’s really how the higher latitude teleconnections blend with the subtropical patterns which determine our sensible weather around the Northeast. While you might not consider the changes great, shifting a gradient only hundreds miles north will have a big effect on snowfall and temperatures near where the gradient used to set up. But if you are far enough north and the gradient is still to your south than it isn’t a big deal for you.

^ On August 4, 2020, Long Island experienced strong winds from Tropical Storm Isaias, with peak gusts reaching 78 mph at Republic Airport in East Farmingdale, according to the National Weather Service.

Looks pretty warm to me.

53 this morning.

I've yet to see or smell any smoke all summer here on the shoreline...

He's not getting that one. I also made up a historical composite of 20 analogs with that dominant anomaly, and it showed a slight SE ridge with near average temps in the Northeast.. in mid-late February that's 40s. Something right off the coast is going to effect us more than 90N.

This week doesn’t look as warm as I was hoping after today

Low of 58. MDT sitting at a cool 6+ degrees BN through the first three days of the month. Things starting to get warmer but still a nice mid summer week ahead.

It was also a decidedly +NAO.

Last February was out best -WPO in years but its influence was muted by the stronger subtropical ridge forcing the gradient too far north.

They have both been in the data set for at least the last couple years. Made sense to add as they both were sited at about the same location/elevations just a 1.5 mi W of Elverson on the Chesco border. Helps better even out the mix of higher and lower elevation stations.

Hello. I’m looking to head to Pt Pleasant with my family either Wednesday or Thursday this week. Which day looks to be the better day at this time? Thank you!

Had a low of 53 degrees this morning. Saw that Mt Mitchell got down to the low 40s...

That was for D8-14 which was this week

Flip the WPO and poof.....it would head south again. I'm talking about on a seasonal level, not a two-week snippet in February.

We hit 80* on Jan 26, 2024, under a -350dm, +3-4 std +NAO. +NAO's were responsible for last Summer's heat too, and you can see how the ridge is under the Greenland trough this Summer as well. If the historical correlation is -0.5 for -NAO and +0.5 for +NAO, it's just recently been -0.2 for -NAO and +0.8 for +NAO.. but the overall flux pos/neg of the earth's circulation remains the same.. the changes aren't that great.

Never said they are ineffective. But the effective gradient does shift north from where it has been. This is why some areas over the Great Lakes and interior Northeast north of the gradient have done better in the snowfall department than the coastal plain.

isn't this a complete flp flop from a week ago?

Low was 52.9 degrees here this morning. High was 73.8 degrees, which continues the strange trend of cool temps for the date in the past few years. The record 'cool max' is 69.1 degrees from 2023, then 73.7 in 2020, this 73.8 degrees for today, 74.6 in 2018 and 77.1 in 2016 and 2014. Average for the date is 82/60.

Was in Myrtle Beach last week. Had a lot of rain throughout the week. On the drive home, was checking the radar as we were passing through more showers. This system started to form along the front and had started to get the counter-clockwise spin around the low, which I thought was cool and wondered if it would have enough strength to stay together. Looks like we have Dexter this morning!

Hazy. More significant than this time yesterday…. Affect of a thin overcast today…big hit to to UVI at the moment….

5 years ago today not a fun time we had no power for about 7 days out of state power company had to bring us a new pole because this tree snapped it in half miserable time. the tree was hollow and after it fell my property was covered in carpenter ants.

The nuance that I mention is recognizing that although higher latitude teleconnnections may no longer rule the roost, they are not entirely ineffective, either.