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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
And a nice little inland runner snowstorm where that chinook influenced SER has been forecast to pop. See, I really don't see the warm-up as a phase 6 SER. It is more like a chinook getting pumped by feedback over the NW. Get those lows moving more progressively, and the chinook dissipates as they pass to the east. -
My sister has been going nuts the whole 4th quarter lol
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We have below zero wind chills in the middle of the warm-up. If that is the warm-up, I would sure hate to see what a cold snap would look like in January w/ that cold air mass parked in Canada. -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Hurricane Agnes replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Saw ya'lls reports and was skeptical for here given the radar is green over the city and looked out front and flakes! Temp is currently 37 with dp 28. -
35/29 WB33
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
And as we see the feedback over the NW resolved....modeling begins to look like an MJO on the left side of the plot. Those constant spinning vortices are replaced by more reasonable solutions. That allows multiple cold fronts to march eastward. I don't think it will be wall-to-wall cold like the first 15 days of December, but we could end with a back and forth pattern which is more amplified. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
DocATL replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It’s. A. Joke. But…even in a mild January and February it can still snow…honestly probably better chances. -
Moderate snowfall 12/14/2025 WWA up for most of the area
psv88 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
37/28. Wetbulb is 34 -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Physicsteve replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yep first flakes and no rain here near washington crossing -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Surely not, lol -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Kevin Reilly replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Cloudy first flakes a few flurries at the moment 36f dewpoint 25f so I guess zero rain here let the games begin! Looks like though dry air punching in from the southwest so these flakes are just temporary as everything is pulling off to the northeast. Drove up from Delaware along Route 202 to Pyle Road to Foulk Road saw the first flakes along that route as well and continued till I go home in Media. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
RIP to the southern standing wave on the 18z GFS. We hardly every knew ye. -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
penndotguy replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
34f Dp26 cloudy skies -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My bad, I said Golf Matthew. Sorry man, I'd forgot which one asked. You're welcome ! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Here is an article about atmospheric river events. During the 2022-2-2023 La Nina, California experienced nine atmospheric river events. Mammoth got absolutely buried with snow. I thought for sure ARs were Nino driven, but new research suggests it actually has less connection than I thought. An atmospheric river event can actually overwhelm either ENSO signal regardless. https://scripps.ucsd.edu/news/atmospheric-rivers-explain-atypical-el-nino-and-la-nina-years -
No bread, milk or eggs but I hit the liquor store pretty hard .
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Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Temp down to 40F on the beach in Point Pleasant, NJ. Light breeze out of the W. Overcast. -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Birds~69 replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Keeper... 35F/Cloudy -
December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
Snowcrazed71 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
It's all over the news. Active shooter. Multiple people shot at Brown University. Have all the students in a lockdown stay in place deal. They just understand all this craziness.. I'm praying for all of them -
December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
Patrick-02540 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
20 injured, 2 deceased so far. -
12/14: Sunday funday? Will the south win again?
dailylurker replied to TSSN+'s topic in Mid Atlantic
I've got a kink for snowcover lol
