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sorry folks.

Wrong place @Wxtrix

You realize the population of Bermuda is WELL below 100K never mind MILLIONS. The article is pure clickbait.

Looks like another batch might be getting reeled in by the Frederick precipitation vacuum.

The 30mb QBO has fallen to -22.28 and still dropping. I think it levels off(hits the bottom of the parabola) sometime during December or January. That likely promotes chances for some HL blocking episodes. I don't see that in modeling yet, but that is more of a mid-Nov to late Dec thought anyway.

Pouring in Union County NJ. This event is sure localized but I’ll take it.

"blizzard watch" is all I needed to see lol

i can't remember the last time it rained for so long. it's wonderful. all the local wx stations are reporting an inch of rain, more or less.

.53" last 24 hrs................ So good to see rain at last! The most from one event since July 31.

Followup: JB was surprisingly quiet. All he said was this: “Now, the red-hatched area has been designated Tropical Depression 7, posing a threat to Bermuda but not the U.S.” But then he immediately mentioned a possible unexpected “side-show Bob” to form off the SE US.

Daily mail loves click bait. That is a whopper tale they are spinning for those clicks.

I love the “battle-zone” that so many forecasters love to put much of the SE US in every winter lol.

Absolutely right with the Bermuda comment. Stay well, as always.

TPC would never pull that plug that quickly.

Totally agree. Hostile environment. So if the 5pm Scatterometer analysis does not find Tropical-Storm force winds, will it attain or tie a record for the shortest-lived named storm?

Showers here in Brooklyn

Continuously boring in the weather dept going on three years now I could cry

Black flies and shallow graves baby.

i'm in elizabeth and it's pouring

We might get into these showers this afternoon but can't see more than a few hundredths

Thanks. Indeed, the chances of exceeding 100 total continue to decline. For reference, the 1991-2020 average from now to the end is 51: -22 rest of Sept -22 during Oct -6 during Nov -1 during Dec So, to reach 100, 2025 would need to be ~10 above the 1991-2020 avg, a tall but not near impossible order. But it being a weak La Nina and recent seasons being pretty heavily backloaded help those chances to an extent. What Gabrielle does or doesn’t do will be a pretty significant part of the mix.