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Adding more to the fall foliage info, from NPR today. https://www.npr.org/2025/09/22/nx-s1-5550033/fall-leaves-peak-map-2025 Excerpt: New England is currently experiencing drought conditions — despite a wet spring and early summer — which is causing leaves in some places to turn brown and shrivel up. But in other cases, Kosiba says, minor drought can actually make some leaves turn an even deeper red. Kosiba says parts of New England, like where she is in Vermont, are seeing the onset of fall foliage about a week earlier than expected. But the region's varied topography and rainfall patterns make it hard to paint with a broad brush. "So we'll see in some places, where the soil is very shallow and rocky, that we are seeing early leaf drop," she says. "And then on the other side of a hill very close to that location, we might see an area that's really green and hasn't even started the fall foliage process." If you're worried about missing peak Northeast foliage, or planning a last-minute leaf-peeping trip, Kosiba's advice is "just keep driving south." Southern New England and parts of the Mid-Atlantic may not see their colors peak until late October or even November. "My thought personally, because I love the fall foliage season, is that it's always good somewhere," she says. "So if it seems a little brown where you are, go a little bit to a different location."

I would think for a SE coast hit, you'd want this to develop well SW so when it turns N and NNE, it's headed towards land at least. For NC - NE impacts, I would think we'd want to see pretty oranges to our N and E. instead (at least on that 12z gfs) it's a ripping trough and westerlies. Also, that's a miserably weak U/L near the Panhandle, and probably would want that wayyyy north and stronger. lol not a good capture setup with the westerlies so closeby

Luckily no roosters! They used to have one and I swear that thing's reason for living was to try to murder me Sun coming out in Germantown! Better enjoy it

Out at the cabin at just over 3k ft elevation i'd say half the leaves have already fallen. Color was shite though, I think with the drought they just crisped up and fell off. Down in Calvert we haven't really had any color change yet. It's been wet down here so hopefully the color will be better.

The 12Z slams Bermuda with this on 10/1 as a 954 MH.

This Afternoon Forecast Sunny, with a high near 78. South wind around 5 mph. Dense cloud cover all day not a ray. But not a complaint it's been the best weather ever for weeks and weeks

100% COC today.....gorgeous time out in the boat. A little bundling needed.....but shore side, it really is a perfect day. 68* and not a cloud to be seen.

GOES is having trouble today. It has been almost two hours since the satellite data has updated.

Good candidate for our next major…

Might be a weak TS verbatim but as you know it’s more important to see the steering patterns that trough is really what make this a land threat as a ridge builds over the top and it’s not crazy far out—only about a week away. Short fuse system.

The cacti won’t do well with that much water though.

The brand new (12Z) Euro has this on 9/29 hit NC as a TD.

We pray for the euro

You know winter is coming when we start getting the Spartman Tennessee focused precip maps.

I'm going to be real honest, we're trying to pour concrete for more mesonet sites and we just need some windows of dry weather.

Pushes it south after this if I’m looking at the right one. We could use the rain, but please not another Florence.

Euro really has the mix line hugging I-95 though

well then you will not have to worry about...Plenty of side street sweat this winter with cutters.

Not many when you work during the only hours where it's light. That's why we summer.

if that doesn't pan out i'll be pulling my boat out next weekend, I've never seen the CT river lower than it is right nowelles StGlastonbury, CT 06033

How much of that is snow?

Dude I already asked for 26-28, I guess we can add in two more days . Looking at GFS/Euro, seems like something comes through thurs/fri and sat/sun appear dry? GFS was bringing some sort of storm up the coast but now its delayed and not as close to land.

12Z GEFS: another pretty active run

on a typical winter day how many hours do you spend outdoors??

Hour 177 is interesting. 6z GFS had the storm much closer to the DC area but still something to watch.