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Yeah no complaints about the forecast for the next week. Consistent upper 60s and sunny, the perfect October combo. Much better than the June in October weather of last week. And with a hint of a more active storm pattern incoming for the second half of the month for those who are going to go "but it's so boring!"

First dip into the 30s this morning, 37 low.

Yes it was a cool morning for sure!

Thread set up for the Sun/Mon Storm

I was 43.7.

Temps in the high 40s/low 50s even in the inside-the-beltway heat island this AM; fall actually here to stay now?

In other news since I haven’t been on here since last winter. I got engaged July 27th and our wedding is May 17th.

Yes. I saw a study (probably the one you’re referring to) years ago that tied IOD forcing into the WPO

It does. I'm actually kind of surprised. As long as it's sunny.

On Nwschat there still on board with a nice storm.

Too cold, too early is never a good sign.

44 for a low

tons of incredible weather on tap, loving it

Low of 36F. Feels nice.

to which statement (assuming both) IOD's effect really depends on strength/location of ENSO... a study i read the other day about CP/EP ninas and the subsequent impact on NAO saw that CP ENSO had statistically significant correlation(SSTA between 180-150W) to either +NAO/-NAO depending on if it was cp nina/nino respectively, but the correlation for EP ninas/ninos was too weak to discern anything as concrete

Low of 39.7. Back up to 44.6

Low of 39.2 at WXW1, which blasted HFD's low of 44. Low of 28.6 at WXW2, which was warmer (as expected) than SLK's low of 23.

Who was predicting a 75 monthly average for October? I forgot who it was, my point is you can't make bold claims like that by using long long range forecasts.

Just eyeballing.......while I don't doubt the correlation, there are plenty of exceptions.

Yay?

30.0 on the nose. First morning <32 and it's my birthday. Heh, thanks Mother Nature for a nice lil present. And, heading to Calumet, MI to see if I can find a little place to call home in the future. Good start to the day

Basically no rain west of 95 the next 15 days according to the Euro. This years fire season is going to be a doozy in the mountains...still lots of fuel left from Helene and it's been dry since August.

Correct. This place is much more reasonable and grounded than mainsteam social media.