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Not a drop. Not a single drop

It does not want to precipitate when its cold now. I don't know why that is the case. The pattern as he said for the last 7 years has been that it's either warm and very wet or cold and dry.

Actual water droplets falling from the sky!

Looks like some broad rotation with the cell over Killingly Ct

20-21 was ok. 19-20 terrible.

so you think that we're going to need a major volcanic eruption to see a 50"+ snowfall winter in NYC? I find that hard to believe given how much more moisture is available when cold air is around. seems like a bit of a stretch

No severe but a great drink. Wettest week in a month confirmed. Grass looking its best since early may

For the I-95 corridor from DC to Boston this has been the lowest 7 year snowfall stretch ending in 2025 that these areas have ever seen. The main difference between this one and past snow droughts has been this time it has been warmth holding back the snowfall. Past 7 year stretches with much lower snowfall were mostly the result of drier patterns since they occurred back in much colder climate eras relative to the last decade. This time we have been getting warm storm tracks too far north and warm winter background patterns. NYC and Boston just surpassed the 1986 to 1992 snow droughts That era was much colder than the current 2019 to 2025 period. Plus we got the historic 1993-1994 and 1995-1996 seasons ending the snow drought. Our climate has warmed significantly since then making a repeat of those two historic winters unlikely. So it’s going to take an historic volcanic eruption not seen in hundreds or thousands of years in order to cool the climate enough for maybe 2-7 years before the effects wear off and the warmth rebounds. Unfortunately, we don’t have the current technology to make a reliable long range volcanic eruption forecast. So my long range out look outlook from DC to Boston contains several scenarios. The scenarios aren’t necessarily listed in order of probability. Just what each scenario would entail. #1….Lower snowfall regime continues similar to the last 7 seasons through the remainder of the 2020s. #2…Small bounce off 7 year lows through the remainder of the 2020s with slightly higher snowfall during one of more of the next 5 seasons. #3 …historic volcanic event not seen since early 1800s or even before that era dramatically cools the planet for 2 to perhaps 7 years before temperatures resume rise again. This scenario has very low predictability. And could lead to much colder and perhaps snowier winters for a time. Boston to DC record low snowfall last 7 season average from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025 and previous record 7 year lows Boston…2025…26.6”…….1992….29.9” NYC…….2025….14.9”…….1992…..16.3” Philly…...2025….10.5”…….1933…..12.5” DC…….…2025….8.5”…….1995…..10.1”

The 22 blizzard was all time, but it’s literally been like 6-7 years minus that. It’s been tough. I guess we are paying and then some for 2013 and 2015

Just got grazed by a light t shower .14.. barely wet down the dust

Well 3 years

While I suspect that a transition toward structurally lower snowfall is underway from a warming climate, there is a lot of internal variability involved with seasonal snowfall. By the mid-2030s, if the structural decline is underway, Central Park would likely see its 30-season moving average reach or fall below 20" per year. In the meantime, here are some records for seasonal snowfall droughts: Most consecutive seasons with < 10": 2, 2022-23 through 2023-24 Most consecutive seasons with < 20": 6, 1949-50 through 1954-55 Most consecutive seasons with < 30": 15, 1978-79 through 1992-93 Note: There were some big storms during the 15-season snow drought, i.e., the 1979 President's Day snowstorm, the 1983 Megalopolis Blizzard, and the 1993 superstorm. Finally, although they are not common, there have been some very cold winters with low snowfall. Winter 1900-01 had a mean temperature of 31.9° with seasonal snowfall of just 9.1". Winter 1871-72 had a mean temperature of 29.4° with seasonal snowfall of 14.4". Overall, there have been five winters with a winter mean temperature < 32° with less than 20" of snow. Below is a scatter diagram of all winters. Cold/Dry winters are highlighted in red. Winters 2021-22 through 2024-25 are highlighted in brown.

I’ve kind of lost my desire for big winter weather. The last half decade has broken my spirit.

Nothing here, but as modeled. Only chance is later tonight if that final line develops

A little drought with the cool

Quick quarter of an inch with the line heading towards town. Decent thunder actually. hadn't had much at all of this summer.

For purposes of analysis, I compared the Winter 2009-10 through 2014-15 period to the Winter 2021-22 through 2024-25 period on a standardized basis. In terms of average deviation, the snowier set was 0.95 standard deviations above the historic winter 1869-70 through 2024-25 baseline. The latter set was an average of 1.20 standard deviations below the baseline. Winter 2011-12 was the culprit that reduced the average deviation from normal for the snowy winters. Excluding that winter, the average deviation would have been 1.41 standard deviations from the historic baseline. Note: These are Central Park figures.

According to where you are a bit too, because 23/24 i had 28.75" while he had much less and we both live in the tri-state. Snow is always more location dependant and someone always is in a screw zone. I got this storm, he missed it

Canaan Valley recorded West Virginia's first freezing temperature (28 degrees) of the season Wednesday morning, which was also the coldest temperature recorded in the contiguous U.S.

like clockwork. You need to get this working in the winter again

NWS talking 850mb temps below freezing here next week.

.83. Must have had a huge downpour since my last post

Coastal late week ?

I read an article in the NYT recently that said that the recovery effort cost the government $140 Billion. The gist of the article was how little there is to show for it as so much of the money went to politically connected consultants and the government bureaucracy that wasted it either through incompetence or outright fraud and corruption.

is it really? we had four 50"+ winters out of six from 2009-10 to 2014-15. it was ridiculous we also had similarly crappy stretches in the 70s-90s, we just had a lot more 10-15" winters than the single digit ones (not all that much better IMO)