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People that want to dim the sun should like the smoke, but yet all they do is complain about it. Frauds
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Obsessed with him. You would think he posted here or something by the amount of times you bring him up. His x posts get like 3 likes and zero replies. He's pretty much irrelevant, except to you
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I adjust with the model consensus, with each model adjusted for what I perceive to be its bias. My -0.4 ONI low was based on July runs. I’ll re-examine in August.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Okay...that was a no-brainer IMO. My guess on ONI right now is -0.5 to -0.7. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If you mean official La Niña, I think it's insane to be confident of that right now. Simply ONI peak, sure. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
the afd says they're waiting to see how dewpoints look in the morning -
All I’ve gotten is a lot of 5-10 minute lake breeze showers and one weak MCS that just barely brushed me with the better rains splitting north and south. It’s added up to barely over an inch for the month of July. Not nearly enough in this warm weather. It’s crazy dry.
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This humidity is absolutely ridiculous…
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Interesting that Mt holly isn't going with any heat advisories or warnings -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
this is better than the 50s and cloudy we get all winter -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Typhoon Tip replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I noticed some extra special sauced DPs spanning IN and IL today. 76-82 with Ts 90 to 92. It’s almost like the GFS is advecting that air over the terrain and DS and so we end up 98/70 - Today
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
HoarfrostHubb replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I still think the late June spell was peak heat for SNE this season. But yeah. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
HoarfrostHubb replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Spoiled brat! Lol. Those years between 1986 and 2001 were lean. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
metagraphica replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Found this on Reddit, from last weekend’s storms. In Waterford looking north from Aldi’s parking lot. -
The HRRR for tomorrow night has another squall line of huge storms from Aberdeen to Minneapolis, just like tonight
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
weatherwiz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Tropics are dead for a while -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
WxWatcher007 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Huh? -
Definitely been a 'juicy' summer. IF you can get a storm, you get PLENTY of water. But, if it is a miss or near miss, just makes it more humid (if possible) and absolutely miserable. I picked up another .25" or so in like 5 minutes earlier this afternoon, got another small shower about to move in from NW.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Always go warmer than you expect in today's climate. Ridges will verify stronger 9 out of 10 times -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Like Khaki's?
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Summer sucks. All we get now is wildfire smoke, dewpoints of 90, or rain. Can we get on the geoengineering already. What can possibly go wrong that's not already fccked up -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Same here. 77/77 currently. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Euro is a good 2-3C cooler at H85. NAM is in the euro camp.