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I attempted to make the threads this morning and they got removed. Why? Do they not want a new user making them?

Looks fairly dewy for time of year

Well the G female names are not without precedent up here. Gloria in ‘85 for example.

people fall for that every time a changeover is looming

This was a TC on the admittedly untrustworthy GFS as far back as the 0Z 9/18 run and consistently on runs the last couple of days, including some ensemble members. Also, the Icon and Euro have at least hints that this may turn into something.

The tropics are active now with three systems being monitored. This is the thread for the current orange nearing the Leeward Islands. Real OP analysis forthcoming.

Welcome to the sub fellow Met! Great position you have and a really important one at that. I was the Upper-Air focal at NWS Midland for 3 years before I moved back east to work at WPC. I loved the UA program considering its importance, and how often can you say you launched/worked with weather balloons as part of your job characteristics? This will be a great experience! As for the area, there’s so much to do around here, it’s hard to fit into one post. We are one of the best regions (VA/MD) for maintaining natural beauty with several counties enacting laws that dictate percentages of trees and greenery that need to be in place to maintain its image. We have several smaller parks, state parks, wildlife preserves, and Shenandoah National, plus Luray Caverns to partake for hiking/walking/biking pleasures. This area is also home to one of the most ethnically diverse populations in the world, so we have lots of great shops and festivals that celebrate it all throughout the year. And with ethnic diversity comes some insanely good food from everywhere. Seriously, whatever you are in the mood to try, I guarentee we have it. The local fare is fantastic and revolves around seafood, mainly crab forward dishes that will blow your mind how good they are. We could have a thread just dedicated to food in this place (paging @stormtracker ) How many areas do you know where you can visit the beach, a Bay, rivers, major cities, vibrant suburban life, pristine rural beauty, and multiple sets of mountains, and see it all in one weekend? It’s actually possible here. We are home to several major attractions through both states steeped in history. If you want to try different activities, there’s clubs galore and people of similar interests in whatever you could imagine. I could go on and on. If you ever have questions on specifics, I’m sure we can provide locations and ideas to basically anything. Welcome to the Mid Atlantic! PS: Sorry in advance for the traffic

lol

My house it at 385' but I typically have to drive over a hill that is just over 500' to get to the main road. To the point of how shallow the inversion can be it always cool to drive through it and have the car windows instantly fog up. There are times with freezing rain when I still have ice on everything and most of it has melted on the hill, which is only a half mile from my yard.

Yeah it’s time to break out the discussion with the trends continuing. Threads on both coming now.

The tropics are active now with three systems being monitored. This is the thread for the current central Atlantic cherry. Real OP analysis forthcoming.

GYX has us with a 50% of >0.25". We'll need a bit more to end the drought, maybe like the 5.54" dumped on Sept. 21, 1966 at NYC that ended the 1960s MA/SNE drought (though it was several wet months later before the end was confirmed). At the time, that deluge was Central Park's 3rd greatest daily precip, also the most for a non-TC event. Another full sun day, though w/o the frost - upper 30s for the low after the 30/29 on Sat/Sun.

Low of 60. I'll be in Happy Valley for this weekend's whiteout game against Oregon so I'm keeping a close eye on things. Somewhat optimistic at this point that the bulk of the activity will have moved through and Saturday should end up as a pretty solid day.

Seems like they models have zeroed in on Thursday as the day we could see up to inch

I guess Gertrude or Gladys sound more ominous to you then

Models have him as a fish major

62 / 54 clouds dividing the area in half SNJ / NYC/NNJ. Warmer the next two days before clouds and more onshore bring the next chance of mod - hvy rainfall with cut off bumping into the Atlantic ridge. Once passed the weekend ridge into the east keep is ovrall warmer beyond.

I just said 20/70 and 10/40

WPC usually on the conservative side so if you are looking / hoping for meaningful rain you gotta like the look of this. As Walt said still a ways off and details not solid but nice starting point.

Rest of the month looks A and with regards to temperatures. I’m guessing the major stations will finish the month close to normal.

Especially in places like the Adirondacks. I remember wondering as a kid how Old Forge made it down to -52° in February 1979. The Arctic high settled right over that region for perfect radiational cooling. Data for February 18, 1979 through February 18, 1979 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. OLD FORGE COOP -52 STILLWATER RESERVOIR COOP -44 WANAKENA RNGR SCHOOL COOP -41 HINCKLEY 2 SW COOP -40

Need Sept 28th - 30th dry. Otherwise it can rain all it wants.

That would be a normal winter anymore.

WB 6Z AI in fantasy range....

For you northerners, but us southerners in GA, still seeing low to mid 80's after the next few days of low 90's