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Precip predictions

The "Worlds Most Consistent Model" with a 200 mile jump to the NW. Anyway I love the changes I'm seeing on the 18z suite so far, certainly feeling more optimistic about next week's threat compared to yesterday.

18z euro a hair too far north.

We track. That would slide ENE.

Nice chilly rain for NYC

Euro is now closer

Euro would also be closer

The 18Z Euro AI has the storm closer to the coast now

18z Euro is drier and more in line with other models.

Slap in a bears win with some model watching for a big day, could be #chefskiss

AI Euro now 2-3” area wide… map shortly

18z Euro…

^that would give everyone north and west of I-95 close to December climo snowfall

Still wedged. Can’t have nice things.

Yea light rain here followed by a squall line and outta here a bit dramatic.

Friday gonna be an s tier posting day for us real heads

That is quite the signal from the 18z GEFS

Just had a heavy downpour... high rate of 5.14"/hour. Picked up 0.14" in a couple minutes. Winds gusting nicely behind it.

Gonna need to be in for this one with that retreating high.

Overnight will be 48 hours out from the start in the CWA, so they're going to have to go with a watch with the evening or early morning package.

Yeah lotta d2-3 euro vaporware big dogs in the modern era

Looking over guidance from today, the big thing that sticks out is how much wetter the Euro/EPS are compared to almost all other guidance. We have seen through the years that the Euro tends to be on the drier side more often than not, and when it is, it is usually close to reality. So, it'll be interesting to see how it does with being on the wetter side this go-around.

They’ve been torched badly, as have all of us, with dramatic shifts in guidance within less than 48 hours the past 5 years. This time, they’re boxed in by the holiday so guessing will have to jump the gun on headlines overnight if trends hold. And again, given climatology this would be a substantial event for this period in the season.

Multiple times.