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1916-17 was one of the strongest la ninas of all time, on the level of years like 1973-74, 1988-89, and 2010-11. 1917 was when global temperatures were at their minimum (2024, the warmest year on record, was nearly 2C warmer than 1917). I'd be willing to bet that either 1916-17 or 1917-18 was the coldest winter on record CONUS.

The E ATL avg anom has warmed as of 7/17 significantly: But OHC there as of 7/15 is still near the avg though climo warmer:

For those about to rock.

Just back in, Happy Birthday @MillvilleWx! Had several rounds of showers and thundershowers. But, much like the past 7-9 days a small amount in the gauge for all the noise and light shows. I've had 2.14" fall since the 4th, but 1.55" of that happened on the 10th and only .32" in last seven days. My dad (in his low 80's) said today he couldn't remember a summer like this where it thundered and lightning for hours every day for over a week with so little to show for it from the sky.

Thank for the Bday wishes (As well as you @Maestrobjwa!! Enjoy Vermont and the amazing period of nice weather in those parts. Those cooler mornings will be bliss. Take it all in!

Very nice night out. Windows open and 'splits on Fan mode. 59/53 here while PWM is at 63/54 just 3 miles away. I radiate as best one can this close to the coast.

Dude….. chill.

This one was frustrating. Glad I'm out of here to Vermont for a while. The DP in the 40s will make me forget about this screwjob.

Happy Birthday. Appreciate that detailed write-up; it makes the kick to the nuts easier to accept.

X and I were just looking through that. Sure seems like SPC needs to hop on expanding that.

1916-17 is one of the few winters that I've never looked too deep into. Just glancing it looked cold and white, with snowfall a bit below avg but good enough for lasting deep winter.

Sweet Jesus what a dataset lol. He must be trying to get a jump on JBs subscribers.

I guess 1916-17 is his only one that makes sense. It was a -PNA Winter though, way below average in the West and Upper Midwest, average in the SE and Mid-Atlantic (vs 1900-2000 averages).

But 1916-7 was one of the most -PDO DJFs on record and 1917-8 averaged neutral.

A below normal minimum coming up. We knew you had it in you, Mother Nature. 54F currently and normal low is 55F.

I was bitching the minute I stepped foot outside at BWI. Home sweet home!

Only made it to 74 next to the lake today. Absolutely perfect and felt so refreshing. Not sure what to really make of tomorrow but hoping to at least have a rumbler roll on by.

A touch of violence on the Nam and hrrr for late Sunday.

Yeah 66 here now. 81 at Newark, lol

^lol, he's basically talking about a +PDO.

Wow man I wish I could spend a week with you putting me to work learning everything you know. Forget meteorology. This stuff is far better!

I wonder if this season will be like 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017. Normal slow June and July and then the real activity starts in August. The last several seasons have had some oddball stuff like strong July activity, slow August activity, and prolonged Cape Verde activity into October.

From WB’s Joe D’Aleo today: That warm water east of Japan will move east in the North Pacific current north of the North Pacific Gyre. How much warmth will be carried east before the winter is something we will need to monitor. If it ends up staying more in mid-ocean, a very different winter story would evolve. This is just a heads up. When warm water in the Pacific has settled in the northeast Pacific, winters are brutal. Examples include 1976/77, 1977/78, 1993/94 and 1916/17, 1917/18 and 2013/14, 2014/15/ Those back to back cold winters turned the trend negative for 1996 to 2015. The winter snows also set records.

Extreme heat stays out west. We Texans will take the high heat in order to help out all our friends back East. We are sending you DCers many a cool, dry front laden with dry continental air!! We like it hot. We'll gladly take ALL the oppressive dewpoints! I am pretty used to 77 dewpoints by now!