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  2. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GFS thru HR 30 looks about the same so far.
  3. Modfan2
    New Pit 1 might not be so bad after all!
  4. Weather Will
    Well, GFS is running....
  5. moneypitmike
    BOX tosses weenies--at least for SE areas. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Blustery and not as cool with lows 10 to 15. Temperature rising into the lower 20s after midnight. Sunday Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Windy with highs around 30. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Windy with lows around 20.
  6. BornAgain13
    6z Icon finally getting a clue
  7. Duca892
    Stolen from our friends in MA forum. That’s uh quite the hill to be on when literally nothing is showing that at like 84hrs out lol
  8. Roger Smith
    06z NAM seems a bit slower and weaker by end of run than its 00z counterpart was. Probably not much of a clue since it hadn't reached the explosive development phase by 18z Saturday.
  9. BornAgain13
    SREF through 1 PM Saturday.
  10. Windspeed
    I feel completely opposite versus last weekend's lead time into the event for a snow storm. Obviously, that transitioned into worry for the ice storm. But with respect to all snow, perhaps even significant totals, my confidence is growing. Got to love recent trends with a stronger and slower mid-to-upper low versus the coastal surface low. If the moisture feed is there, that ULL will eat. Very cold column and high ratios. I guess if I get my heart broken, so be it. I am all in on this system.
  11. moneypitmike
    Rule number one of weenie forecasting: Ride the model that provides snow. Rule number two of weenie forecasting: Toss anything that doesn't. Rule number three of weenie forecasting: Say "these always come north/south/east/west" (whichever correction says snow.
  12. John1122
    RGEM takes the ULL from Memphis to North Alabama, and it's stronger than it was at 0z. Still snowing over the eastern half of the state with 1-3 inches down from Nashville to Cookeville, and 3-5 inches down from Cookeville eastward.
  13. Duca892
    That’s uh quite the hill to die on lol
  14. CPcantmeasuresnow
    A lot of us just received 15-18 inches of snow and the temperature never went above 12. Do better than it's too cold.
  15. John1122
    RGEM looks like it's winding the vort up tighter further NW as well vs 0z. The ICON, while not quite enough for most of us, jumped west 200 miles.
  16. franklin NCwx
    6z nam digging farther west and closing off over the Tennessee, Bama, and Mississippi border at 84! Would be a great run for us afterwards
  17. John1122
    Ratios are 17 to 20:1 on the NAM across the state as snow is falling. Just south of Nashville, and in NE Tn from earlier snow, 4-6 inches have fallen at 84 and it's still snowing over the eastern 2/3rds of the forum area. Alabama and Georgia are in the game.
  18. Today
  19. John1122
    In response, we are getting nammed, almost state wide by 78. Looks like the RGEM.
  20. John1122
    The NAM is winding our energy up over Eastern Kansas/Western Missouri at 06z, 72hrs, at 78 at 0z it wasn't quite wound yet and was over SE Missouri.
  21. Ginx snewx
    This is Feb 15 like
  22. Ginx snewx
    Agricultural nightmare. Frozen pipe city. Gonna need a lot of plumbers, fire sprinkler peeps
  23. Roger Smith
    Post your February forecasts, due to storm situation will extend penalty free deadline to 06z FEB 2nd. I may change my mind but to start us off, -5.5 _ -6.0 _ -6.5 _ -6.5 _ -6.0 _ -5.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0
  24. StantonParkHoya
    The SLP was actually East this run. It’s just doing ULL things in the foothills. .
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Deeper and further west. We're so close.
  26. Coach McGuirk
  27. TriPol
    Stick a fork in it?
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