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Maybe April…or May.

AIFS took a little leap north but as far as WxBell depicts the ptype its not snow

There's a reason September snow rarely sticks.

Yeh how about that music group snowman19 and the RGEM’s?

Wow! That was a crazy fire. Headline said two hurt, which if true and the only injuries, is amazing considering the inferno there.

At least as the GFS backed down somewhat, the CMC jumped aboard. Hopefully the EURO will show something nice shortly, but with this setup it will take quite awhile for the models figure out what's going to happen.

no i would say the same thing you obviously you don't pay attention to my weather analysis. Icon and Ukmet suck.

Overnight timing is really critical for March events. Sun angle is a real thing, unfortunately. Nothing we can do about it though

Dep through 2/24 EWR: -4.2 NYC: -5.3

I have to laugh at some of the comments. If the models don't show something, the mood is, "we're done nothing's happening". If the models are showing there's a storm happening then the mood is, "this is awesome, let's get one more". I just think several people have winter fatigue at this point. If it happens, it happens. It's been a good winter thus far. Especially after having several years of lackluster Winters

https://www.wpri.com/news/local-news/se-mass/crews-respond-to-reported-house-explosion-in-taunton/ Damn….

The models are hinting at a decent storm around March 8th or so, which is obviously fantasy-land. But given that we haven't even had fantasy-land storms to watch this year, it's nice to see.

Still way out at 270 hours so tfwiw. The operational GFS is an amplified version of the persistent ens mean coverage I and others have been tracking. Whether that happens above or not... -PNA. I suspect at minimum it all means we transition into melt and mud season. Basically the dawn of spring. Relax ...it doesn't end snow chances - the return rate on end winter by mid March is something like 6 years - don't quote me; it seems that way. That means there as 82% chance it snows again? heh somepin like ghat The timing has moved of in bulk modeling... I was thinking this was after the 10th, but it's pretty clear that once the 3/4th trends have been pushing for the Rossby roll-out prior.

AIGFS is pretty far north

Actually we had a storm when it was like 18 degrees in March one and the sun angle was melting it on the pavement somehow in DC, but it was a great event nonetheless. The GFS looks good enough that I'm roped back in. If it is 1-3 sloppy inches ehhhhhh that doesn't interest me in March.

First time over 40 inches in almost a decade.

They got the memo that the GFS is the new King

Anyone know why the huge amount of ground clutter at Ft Dix/McGuire the past few days? Looks like what you see around a wind farm.

Maybe it is too soon yet, but I thought we would have this place popping by 12z today look at runs lol. If this is still there this time tomorrow it might be thread worthy to track.

AIGFS is not South, lol

Wow, that is an unusually specific, detailed, and complex insult.

Yep, had me wondering if we have to worry about too much of a cold press. I'll take my chances being on that side of things though, being an early March event and all.

Far more worried it’ll land in Madison.

O Boy! Yet another one misses to the south. Looking more like 2002-03 here, which was very cold (DJF temp 2nd only to 14-15), nearly 2 feet BN snowfall and only one storm greater than 7.5". Like this season, the biggest event by far was in January.