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Totally, especially that 4 or 5 minute stretch where they gave up 3 goals. Oof.

Through the 1/16 0z HRRR and NAM, it still appears that there will be some flurries, snow showers, or some periods of snow on Saturday. The temperature will likely be above freezing during much or all of the snowfall. In addition, total precipitation will likely be under 0.20" and precipitation rates will be light. As such, the more aggressive model output is likely overdoing the snowfall in and around New York City. Since recordkeeping began, there have been just nine January snowfalls of 1" or more with a minimum temperature of 33° or above. The lowest precipitation for these storms was 0.23". All but one saw 0.50" or more precipitation. Therefore, any accumulations should be light (mainly a coating to an inch).

Couldn’t overcome that ugly second period.

There was better ridging ahead of it at first, but thing gets booted east by the kicker

NAM has nothing. Almost no precip for most of us. Guys, we are 2 days away from this event. We’ll need more than just a few AI models to actually get something. We would’ve needed drastic changes today. Instead almost all models still show a whiff except for AI it’s done

We need to play 60 mins. Not 20 Thats the biggest problem recently.

Still ends up sliding pretty far east with that GL low acting as a kicker.

some things were better

There's always next weekend......

Light snow, midday, 37 degrees, what could go wrong?

NAM is meh

Still going in central NC.

I think we really need to let these runs play out before we get “it’s better” or “coming west” It doesn’t look that much better/different to me

I agree. Any pattern that generally prevents "clean" southern stream waves is going to have limited predictability in the medium range.

Kicker ftl

Man, they were pouring it on there the last 5 minutes. Sharks goalie just had incredible saves.

Yep, definitely not as juicy of a run.

Looks weak AF

I know. All those comments from our parents about “their” winters and how good they were. That all changed in 92.

Looks like all snow for those that get precip in Wake and westward.

not as good as I thought it would be

Slightly west but an improvement

Nam has more ridging offshore and it's keeping the troff axis further west over Indiana at 60hrs. EDIT: And it still gets booted offshore at 66hrs. Need that troff to stay intact longer.

but surface temps are kinda warm, yuck

NAM still has snow but looks less impressive this run.