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We are and have been in a classic, canonical La Niña pattern since September 1st. It’s been fitting a “front-end loaded” Niña to a tee up to this point in time…..

I wonder who will win lol Looks at that wall of heat moving in.

Snow miser and heat miser having a battle right over southern Md

One thing I wish this cold weather would have did is kill the ticks.

Ride the gradient

Inversion could break with those squalls.

Not the eps and gfs.

Yeah it’s looked wild for days . I’ve been watching this since last weekend and have been waiting for models to catchup . This one’s a beast

Timber

The usual suspects ( you know who they are)

Damage? Soueaster

I'm wondering that too, how far the down the ground is frozen. If it will run off.

Bunch of people rushed out and bought snowblowers for the end of November storm; now won't use them again for 5 years.

We just can't win lately...if there isn't blocking, it cuts...if there is, it shreds or sends it south.

Don’t sleep on the Tuesday sneaky snower

We need that, especially in the liquid form. Some of our wells have really taken a hit with the dryness, and now frozen precipitation and ground. One of the wells can only handle one truck per hour. If we don't space the trucks, we'll draw from the ground and not the silo. If the water lever gets below the pump in the bore hole, we'll burn it up, which will be a major and expensive problem. Even with the warm up, I'm not sure how much of that liquid gets into the water table and how much runs off.

Correct

You seriously goging to answer it?. The prevailing thought was that it would get colder a bit later in the month, but I didn't see anyone claiming that it would be "warm"...

25.7 currently which is also our low. There are a wide range of temps across NC this morning and we are running 4-5 degrees colder than RDU

If it was only snow in Pa.

That would be the end of me if that ever worked out...I just can't take any more meteorological sodomy.

Records: Highs: EWR: 66 (2000) NYC: 62 (2000) LGA: 62 (2021) JFK: 61 (2021) Lows: EWR: 6 (1951) NYC: 1 (1919) LGA: 9 (1951) JFK: 16 (1973) Historical: 1796: The drought is excessive. From the middle of October to the middle of December, not rain enough to lay the dust. A few days ago there fell a small rain, but the succeeding cold has probably prevented it from sprouting the grain sown during the drought. (Monticello - Thomas Jefferson to James Madison- Jefferson's Garden Book by Edwin Morris Betts page 252) 1884 - A three week blockade of snow began at Portland, OR. A record December total of 34 inches was received. (David Ludlum) 1903: Wilbur and Orville Wright made four brief flights at Kitty Hawk, North Carolina with their first powered aircraft on this day. After having success with their 5-foot biplane kite, the brothers realized the weather conditions in Dayton were not ideal for their flying experiments. They wrote the Weather Bureau in Washington, D.C. requesting a list of suitable places on the east coast where winds were constant. Below is the response the Wright Brothers received from Joseph Dosher, who staffed the Weather Bureau office, wrote in August of 1900 regarding the suitability of Kitty Hawk. 1924 - A severe icestorm struck central Illinois. It coated the ground with nearly two inches of glaze at Springfield. The storm caused 21 million dollars damage along with much hardship. Ice was on the trees until the 4th of January, and electricity was not restored until January 10th. (David Ludlum) 1924: From the Monthly Weather Review, "a severe glaze storm occurred in west-central Illinois on December 17 and 18, the area of great destruction embracing a territory about 75 miles in width and 170 miles in length. In the affected area, trees were badly damaged, wires broken, and thousands of electric poles went down. Electric services were paralyzed, and it required weeks to restore operation and months to permanently rebuild the lines. The street railway company and the Illinois Traction System resumed complete operation 17 days after the storm. Electric light service was completely restored January 10. The ice had practically disappeared from the trees and wires by January 4, but on January 20, there was still considerable ice on the ground. The Western Union Telegraph Co. lost 8,000 poles and the Illinois Bell Telephone Co. about 23,000. The total damage to wire service in Illinois probably equaled or exceeded $5,000,000." If the loss of business, the damage to trees and possible injury to winter grains, the storm may be considered one of the most disastrous of its kind in the history of Illinois." 1929 - An icestorm in western New York State resulted in much damage and hardship. A Buffalo report stated, "one was kept awake by the breaking limbs, which snapped off with a report much louder than a rifle shot." (17th-18th) (The Weather Channel) 1930: Greensboro, NC experienced its greatest 24-hour snowfall when 14.3 inches fell. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1932: The 10TH GREATEST Washington, DC snow. The snow began early on the 17th and fell at a rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour until afternoon with a 12 inch accumulation. It was a rather cold storm with temperatures hovering around 18 degrees F during the height of the snow. Temperatures rapidly warmed after the storm and the snow was gone by Christmas. (p. 58-59 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) 1973: 10.2 inches of snow in Washington, DC on 16th and 17th (Washington Weather Records KDCA) 1963: Lake effect snow buried Muskegon, MI with a three day total of 34 inches of snow from the 16th to the 18th. This will be the snowiest December in Muskegon history with a grand total of 82.6 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1964: 20 inches of snow fell at Walla Walla, WA set a state record for December. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1967: A four-day snow and ice storm, described as the worst major ice storm in Oklahoma in more than a decade, ended during the morning hours. The storm affected all but the southeast part of the state, with ice accumulations of a half to 1 inch. Local ice accumulations of 4 inches were reported at Cordell. More than 225 people were treated for injuries, after slipping on the ice. At least 170 of these injuries were in the Oklahoma City area. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1973: A snowstorm along the Mid-Atlantic gave Washington, DC 10.2 inches of pre-Christmas snow. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1983: Billings, MT had a high temperature was -8 °F; this was the first of 8 consecutive days with a high temp below zero, a December record. One of the most severe Arctic outbreaks to affect the Great Plains gripped Oklahoma for more than two weeks in late December. The prolonged cold wave, lasting from the 17th through the 31st, lowered Oklahoma City's average temperature for the month to a cold 25.8 °F, their coldest on record. Locations that reported record low temperatures for the date included: International Falls, MT: -35 °F, Great Falls, MN: -27 °F: Tied, St. Cloud, MN: -24 °F, Valentine, NE: -23 °F, Duluth, MN: -21 °F: Tied, La Crosse, WI: -18 °F, Minneapolis, MN: -17 °F, Marquette, MI: -9 °F, Omaha, NE: -9 °F: Tied and Clayton, NM: 2 °F.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - A storm in the southwestern U.S. brought heavy rain and heavy snow to parts of California, Nevada, Arizona, Utah and New Mexico. Charleston NV was blanketed with 12 inches of snow. Lake Havasu City AZ was drenched with 2.26 inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Squalls brought locally heavy snow to the southeastern shores of Lake Michigan. Totals in Michigan ranged up to 14 inches at Harvey. Totals in Ohio ranged up to 16 inches at Chardon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Twenty-one cities from Kentucky to Pennsylvania reported record low temperatures for the date, including Columbus OH with a reading of 12 degrees below zero. Heavy snow continued in the Colorado Rockies. Vail received 65 inches of snow between the 14th and the 18th of December. Steamboat Springs was buried under 74 inches, and reported a total of 108 inches of snow between the 10th and the 18th of the month. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2002 - Thunderstorms preceding a strong cold front pushed into the U.S. Mississippi Valley, producing severe weather and tornadoes. Three people were killed in Missouri and Arkansas with more than 40 injuries (Associated Press). 2008 - A winter storm dumped as much as 3.6 inches of snow across Las Vegas, Nevada, prompting the closure of schools and highways. This was the largest December snowfall on record and the heaviest snowfall since January 1979 when a total of 7.5 inches fell (Associated Press).

29 / 21 warm the next 3 days Wed - Fri with perhaps some of the warmest areas touching or close to 60 on Friday, otherwise mid/upper 50s. Overnight Thu into Fri upto an inch of rain. Colder Saturday - warmer Sunday- then back down Mon - tue before warming Chirstmas eve. Overall looking warmer between Christmas and the 30th with strong nationwide ridge perhaps a day in there that approach 60 / record high?. Colder air just to the north and the warmest is to the south west. Still would watch the period 12/30-31.

The latest guidance shows a WPO-, EPO+, NAO+, PNA- pattern for late December. This pattern typically is not a "torch" in the Northeastern U.S. and eastern Canada. Using New York City as an example, some statistics: December 20-31, 1980-2024: Mean temperature: 38.0° (1991-2020 Mean: 37.4°) Distribution of Highs: 30s: 19% 40s: 63% 50s: 6% 60s: 13% Lowest: 33° Highest: 65° Distribution of Lows: 20s: 38% 30s: 50% 40s: 13% Lowest: 24° Highest: 42° Unfortunately, the cooler conditions aren't widespread. The Northeast tends to be a cooler exception in such patterns. Much of the southern U.S. tends to be warm to very warm.

Snowfall totals from the Dec 12th event are done and up on the site along with all the events so far for the 25-26 season. I changed the ranges to 0-1/1-3/3-6/6+ to be more for fitting for the variety and location of reports. Reports are from here, cocorahs, coop and official climo sites. Thanks to everyone who sent a report to me. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/sne-25-26