All Activity

Up from 32.2 to 73.4

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday from the ArkLaTex and Lower Mississippi Valley northeastward through the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... Another day of scattered severe weather is anticipated for Wednesday. Two upper waves - evident in early-afternoon water-vapor imagery over the northern Rockies and northern Mexico - will traverse eastward over the next 24 hours. Substantial amplification of the northern wave is expected as it migrates into the upper OH Valley through the day. Strong broad-scale ascent ahead of the wave and within the left-exit region of a strengthening upper jet will promote steady intensification of a surface cyclone as it progresses from the Great Lakes into southeastern Quebec by Thursday morning. A broad fetch of southerly flow will support poleward moisture return as far north as the upper OH Valley by Wednesday afternoon. A trailing cold front attendant to the surface low will push east/southeast through the day, reaching the Mid-Atlantic and northern Gulf Coast by 12 UTC Thursday. Strong to severe thunderstorm chances will be focused along and ahead of this front through the day as it pushes east/southeast. ...Upper OH Valley... A corridor of higher severe wind, and perhaps tornado, potential may emerge across OH into parts of WV and western PA Wednesday morning into the afternoon hours. Latest guidance shows reasonably good agreement in a swath of pre-frontal 40-50 knot flow within the lowest kilometer overspreading the upper OH Valley. Within this strong flow field, guidance also depicts a pronounced plume of higher theta-e values advecting northward along the western Appalachians. The intersection of the strong flow with subtle low-level warm advection will likely support a corridor of regionally higher buoyancy and enhanced effective SRH (on the order of 200-300 m2/s2) favorable for well-organized convection, including supercells. The primary uncertainty pertains to antecedent storm coverage across the region during the morning hours. Residual convection from late Tuesday night will likely linger over the mid/upper OH Valley, though guidance shows some uncertainty regarding coverage and intensity of this activity. Sparse storm coverage should help maximize diurnal destabilization and will support a more robust severe threat. Greater coverage of morning convection will act to modulate the thermodynamic environment by muting the influence of daytime heating and the northward extent of richer moisture. Regardless, updraft/UH signals in CAM ensembles and recent calibrated guidance depict a corridor of stronger convection across far eastern IN into OH, WV, and southwest PA. Increased wind probabilities (30%) have been introduced across this corridor where one or more rounds of storms within a strong flow field will pose a threat for damaging/severe winds. Higher risk categories may be needed if morning storm coverage is minimal and a more potent thermodynamic environment emerges.

Snowfall wise for me A-. Overall winter A+ pack, cold, no rain, plenty of snow .

Local 80+ readings interior south and central NJ.

Oh @high risk @Kmlwx @Eskimo Joe

Temps just dropped pretty good where I am if that means anything. Kankakee area, 60954

Yeah the timing of the front sped up enough that it'll impact us during prime hours now. Yesterday it looked like it wouldn't arrive here until early Thursday which would have greatly mitigated our chances.

We had a lot of great days last August. Enjoy these few days, it is better than 37 and rain

75.8 and still going...

80F at DCA - new record.

we did have days like this last August. We are going to pay for that at some point I assume.

Toe tapping by the picnic tables?

SLGT risk pushed further south and eastward all the way to the coast on the 1730z

70.7F Warmest since I believe Oct 6, 2025

As do I. Excellent

74 here...upper 70s to my north

79F Last 10% piece of pond ice

Local park still covered but 70 now

It actually felt hot in the sun on my driveway

81/41. surely july will have days like these. right??

Yeah, this past 24 hours has been very typical of spring in NE IL. I know most people hate it, but I love it. Would love a good storm, but must say owning my own home makes me want to experience severe weather (aside from snow, of course) much less. I knew the lake would protect us as it normally does, which isn't a bad thing. I'll be watching the radar and any lives further south while being safe and sound up here.

This region really has some cooler force field over it. The rest of the country will turn ridiculously warm and stay that way. SW US has Phoenix pushing 105+ and Vegas 100+ next week. GFS OP shows a ridiculous warm/cool gradient LR

What a field day for the Heat…