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Yep the run ahead outflow killed us.

WB EURO latest seasonal through Jan. Maps: December and January temps and precip; Jan. Pacific Ocean temps, and upper air. Not as cold as the Canadian, but it will be interesting to see how this trends over the upcoming months. We just need it cold enough to snow...

The line forming to my NW has all the markings of another close miss. Summer storms can be spectacular but also quite frustrating. I trust no model

WPC discussion on the heavy rain developing and the potential flooding: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0612&yr=2026

Same as always.

This east coast heat wave was not in the same ballpark as what just occurred in Europe. Historically inaccurate to make a real comparison between the two.

Goofus at 246 hours....here is what latest Euro shows for same time.

Interesting cell in SW De. Moving North at 15 mph. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 526 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 DEC001-005-052200- /O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-260705T2200Z/ Sussex DE-Kent DE- 526 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN SUSSEX AND SOUTHWESTERN KENT COUNTIES... At 526 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Andrewsville, or 14 miles northwest of Georgetown, moving north at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. Locations impacted include... Milford, Harrington, Bridgeville, Andrewsville, Greenwood, Houston, and Farmington. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly NJ. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3874 7547 3873 7570 3898 7573 3896 7545 TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 176DEG 13KT 3881 7560 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Extreme Wind Warning National Weather Service Tiyan GU 629 AM ChST Mon Jul 6 2026 The National Weather Service in Tiyan has issued a * Extreme Wind Warning for... Rota... * Until 915 AM ChST. * At 629 AM ChST, Doppler radar indicated catastrophic winds associated with eyewall passage of Super Typhoon Bavi (09W) approaching from the east, are imminent over the entirety of Rota. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION! TAKE COVER NOW! Venturing outside can result in DEATH from flying projectiles. Unreinforced structures will be destroyed. Utility poles and associated power lines will be down, posing a risk to life. DO NOT VENTURE OUT INTO THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE AS IT PASSES OVER THE AREA. Extreme winds will soon return on the back side of Super Typhoon Bavi. * Locations impacted include... Sinapalo, Songsong, Annex F, Tenetu, I Chenchon, Liyu, Ginalangan (Chudan), Taimama, Tatgua, Matpo, Gampapa, As Niebes (Nieves), Talo, Makmak, Agatasi (Payapai), Lempanai, Gayaugan (Kaan), Gagani, Mananana and Finata. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread destructive winds in excess of 150 mph are expected. TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado was approaching and move immediately to the safe room in your shelter. Take action now to protect your life!

Got screwed by outflow. Picked up a whopping 0.08” whereas areas just a few miles NW got 1+”

Driving back from the coast, temp dropped from 101 to 76 as we met the rain in south Raleigh. .47" so far. Steamy roads.

Half my street depends on sub pumps to prevent bad flooding. That would not be good currently Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

Low to mid 80s here today. Pleasant respite from the last 5 days. Humidity has dropped today as well, so this evening is magnificent to be outside.

Same here, power still out. Latest update is 11:00 tomorrow night for my area. Generator is saving the day but honestly I'm getting tired of hearing the noise. First world problem I know. Can't wait for the next time a Cat. 1 takes the right track. How the hell are they ever going to handle that? I know they are working hard and I'm not near as bad off as some but it seems to be taking so long. Friend in western Hunterdon County is Wednesday night and friend in Berkeley Heights is 9:00 Thursday night. I've got nothing to complain about so forgive me. I'm just cranky. I hope anyone that depends on a sump pump during heavy rain and is without power gets it back in time.

It will be in the model graveyard soon with the LFM, MRF, AVN, NGM, and ETA. RIP

No model had the giant blob convective blob east of Pittsburgh. Thats where the heaviest rain is arm.

There are a lot of tone deaf comments on this forum. Morons wishing for hurricanes and such. Lives are lost and property damaged every time these things happen. Something as simple as a large tree falling on your property nowhere near a house, car, or person can cost you thousands of dollars to haul away Thats when these storms and stats cease being cool

Strong wording there

Hep us here. need the rain.

I just went out around Prince Frederick and it's beat up - lots of trees down. A house a couple doors from us has two big pine trees down in their back yard. One smashed a recreation area they set up and another narrowly missed their fire pit. Another tree is down with the top partially in the street. I want more rain but keep the severe please! My AC (heat pump) wouldn't start when the power came back on last night and I was getting worried. I finally read that I needed to turn it off at the thermostat, the breaker box, and the switches by the unit in the basement and leave off for a half hour; some kind of system reset. That worked

Have to consider where the cold is and what areas are being melted out. The low hanging fruit that isn't as far north has been melted out over the past few weeks.

Storms fell apart right before they got here. (Shocking) at least temps are in the 70s now.

Well aren’t you central CT?

A soaking rain is likely tonight into Tuesday. It now appears that a general 1"-3" ranfall with locally higher amounts near or above 3" is likely. Thunderstorms could bring flooding downpours. Highs will reach the middle and upper 70s on both days. It will turn warmer to end the week. No excessive heat appears likely through mid-month. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around June 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.60°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.37°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI is not available due to data feed issues. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.690 today.