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We're scared from a decade of rug pulls and great patterns that are just two weeks away. It's smart to be cautious. A legit advisory level snowfall before Christmas, that doesn't melt off in two days, would do wonders for this subforum.

He's more on the SWX board now

Fwiw the Ai models show a SECS

Holy shit this Halftime show in Detroit. Killer. Way better than some recent SB HT shows.

I’ve decided to withhold my reply until Saturday evening

Mood flakes most of the afternoon so far. Temp in the valley is 35°F.

These models are much like me after this edible at family thanksgiving. Kinda don’t know what’s going on, but I’m having a good time.

Good vibes, Happy Thanksgiving

@stormtrackerwhat kind of beer did you brine your turkey with? Got pics of the finished product?

People take life, and certainly their snowfall, way too serious and thus get butthurt when Forky comes in to stir the pot or lay down some facts. I love the cool and cold weather and hate the dews but I don't hate Forky and the other "warmistas" because if one looks objectively at their posts they are more right than wrong IMO. Have a great Thanksgiving Rich and thanks for visiting the hinterlands thread LOL.

It feels like it but its all part of the plan. This is the final piece...downsizing and much less expensive so I can be an old man and do whatever the f I want lol

some ok returns coming out from the west. extremely unlikely but PLEASE make it through to the lowlands... all i wish for is 10 minutes of light snow

The 20th heaviest snowfall total through 11-26 at Marquette is very respectable. Time Series Summary for Marquette County Area, MI (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2014-11-26 55.0 0 2 1989-11-26 49.3 0 3 1991-11-26 46.9 0 4 2000-11-26 46.8 0 5 2002-11-26 46.6 0 6 1997-11-26 44.9 0 7 2008-11-26 43.7 0 8 1988-11-26 43.3 0 9 1992-11-26 41.4 0 10 2018-11-26 40.8 0 11 2022-11-26 40.7 0 12 2005-11-26 39.8 0 13 1979-11-26 39.0 0 14 1993-11-26 38.7 0 15 1975-11-26 36.3 0 16 1976-11-26 31.1 0 17 2020-11-26 31.0 0 18 1995-11-26 29.8 0 19 1981-11-26 29.2 0 20 2025-11-26 28.9 0

Both the 12z GEFS, 12z AI-GEFS, and the 12z AI-ENS have several warning level hits from I-95 and points west. We may not be that far off from something here.

WB 12Z AI ensemble looks darn good to me....

It goes back in the good ones Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Well then you three!

"AI will takeover the world." Also AI:

Very unusual to have the warmest Thanksgiving during the 12th coldest November. Climatological Data for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - November 1933 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Sum 1450 1059 - - 687 0 0.90 0.5 - Average 48.3 35.3 41.8 -6.2 - - - - 0.0 Normal 54.0 42.0 48.0 - 511 1 3.58 0.5 1933-11-01 64 49 56.5 4.0 8 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-02 65 50 57.5 5.3 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-03 63 51 57.0 5.1 8 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-04 54 38 46.0 -5.6 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-05 41 29 35.0 -16.3 30 0 0.10 0.1 0 1933-11-06 39 33 36.0 -15.0 29 0 0.33 0.1 0 1933-11-07 46 37 41.5 -9.1 23 0 T 0.0 0 1933-11-08 44 34 39.0 -11.3 26 0 T T 0 1933-11-09 44 32 38.0 -12.0 27 0 T T 0 1933-11-10 40 32 36.0 -13.7 29 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-11 45 28 36.5 -12.9 28 0 0.04 0.0 0 1933-11-12 45 35 40.0 -9.1 25 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-13 59 38 48.5 -0.3 16 0 0.08 0.0 0 1933-11-14 43 32 37.5 -11.0 27 0 T T 0 1933-11-15 32 21 26.5 -21.6 38 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-16 30 17 23.5 -24.3 41 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-17 36 19 27.5 -20.0 37 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-18 41 36 38.5 -8.7 26 0 0.14 0.3 0 1933-11-19 39 34 36.5 -10.4 28 0 T T 0 1933-11-20 49 35 42.0 -4.6 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-21 58 32 45.0 -1.3 20 0 T 0.0 0 1933-11-22 60 47 53.5 7.5 11 0 0.04 0.0 0 1933-11-23 48 37 42.5 -3.2 22 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-24 43 32 37.5 -7.9 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-25 50 36 43.0 -2.0 22 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-26 55 43 49.0 4.3 16 0 0.17 0.0 0 1933-11-27 43 28 35.5 -8.9 29 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-28 54 32 43.0 -1.1 22 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-29 51 42 46.5 2.7 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 1933-11-30 69 50 59.5 16.0 5 0 0.00 0.0 0 Coldest November Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Nov Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1873 37.2 2 2 1871 38.8 0 3 1880 38.9 0 - 1875 38.9 0 4 1882 39.0 0 5 1901 39.7 0 6 1869 40.6 0 7 1887 41.2 0 8 1894 41.3 0 9 1872 41.4 0 10 1917 41.6 0 11 1976 41.7 0 12 1933 41.8 0

10-day ensemble mean for early to mid December looks decent. More favored here in the interior/lakes due to climo, but also can’t rule out one or two a small events and/or front-end for I-95. For you I-95’ers, Boston on N is probably more favored for a moderate event or greater. We will have to see how things evolve.

A good start. Something to track. Even if it doesn’t pan out for us

Seems every time a threat thread was made in the last few years, minus a couple, they fizzled or didn't pan out... my opinion is within 48hr if we're still in alignment model wise, it'd be fairly safe to start a thread...also, looks like some decent mid level magic may happen somewhere in SNE if it plays out as currently modeled, quick hitter though too, so be hard to get double digits unless rates are good and growth is good.

Me too!!

Me too

you move alot?