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Steam rising from the car and pavement this morning ... sun angle?

Ya there’s been a few this year, had that 40-80” run in the Ohio valley to SNE a month ago. Last year in mid Feb we had a lot of weenie runs when the ensembles were spitting out 20-30” means at 10:1 over the entire northeast

what was the range on those? also, didn't 15 or 17 have some insane clown maps that were showing like 60" in places, think it was only the nam tho, which tends to do that with every decent hit we get at least once

The 23/24 system could have some tepid support in relativity. On whole, very negative PNA through the entire period, doesn't normally inspire wildly spun up and anchored coastals. Certainly ... during a season where we've observed 0 productivity in coastals, trend alone begs to differ. Ha. However nested within, there is still a 2 to 3 day relative maxim in there. It would not be altogether crazy to observe a system moving through at that time Kind of with Ray on that... sub 980 mb lows tip-toeing around the coast line as though it were the work of some cryo-dystopian artist's white dream ...that's really is not what that is. It's 7+ days away still. There's time for the general circulation mode to alter enough - even idiosyncratically helps. But the problem with a very negative PNA is that the W-E coordinate is the correction vector. It's very heavily/statistically correlated. So it's like yeah ... a system slips through the medium, but it's favored to be more middling in amplitude, moving fast along a more E trajectory.

ineedsnow posted a 60” one in PA weeks ago. But I only save fantasy maps that crush me.

I agree. And you would think that's where the AI models would shine having been fed that info, but they don't.

No, Don.

Show me one with 4feet ORH Berks. Thanks in advance

2"

Just a trace in NW Philly. Temps were just a little warm I think because it was mostly snow after 9pm

Is your station online?

I’ve seen remarks in some of the obs. MWN seems to have retained theirs. I just picked a random date range here but you can see some of the icing and cloud comments in there. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?network=NH_ASOS&station=MWN&data=metar&year1=1984&month1=1&day1=1&year2=1984&month2=1&day2=28&tz=Etc%2FUTC&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&elev=no&missing=M&trace=T&direct=no&report_type=3&report_type=4 Found me some aurbo obs too MWN,1982-02-02 02:00,KMWN 020200Z 32065G89KT 90SM CLR M13/M16 A//// RMK TOPS LWR SCT 50/AURORA N SLPNO T11271155 MWN,1982-02-02 03:00,KMWN 020300Z 32064KT 45SM CLR M13/M16 A//// RMK SLPNO T11281156 MWN,1982-02-02 05:00,KMWN 020500Z 32052G62KT 90SM CLR M11/M29 A//// RMK AURORA N SLPNO T11101288 MWN,1982-02-02 08:00,KMWN 020800Z 30033KT 90SM CLR M10/M31 A//// RMK AURBO W-N-E SLPNO T10991305

Talk about threading a needle ... goodness

Just does not feel like that type of solution as shown on Euro AI. We’ll see what 12z does.

I'm not sure how close to home you're looking ,but was up and out periodically until about 4:00 am. I snapped this photo on my walk around 1:00am and the snow was basically done except for some very light dandarites. I didn't measure but .1 sounds about right.

0.62”. Almost impossible at this point to provide a useful snow depth. 80% of my yard is now grass, but the north facing yards across the street clearly have 3”+ still. I went with 1.0”.

With an attitude like that… but yeah. It could slide north a bit. But I’m going with tenor for now. Tenor!!!

0.63”

Tough for me to buy suppressed.

its crazy to me how different models are this close in.. seems like every model has been crap lately.. hopefully 12z starts to merge a bit

Ha. He does from time to time.

That about sums it up. Lol.

Ride the train of storms and just hope you end up on the right side of any boundary that may reside within the region. Certainly plenty of potential moving through the second half of the month. Someone is going to cash in the poker chips

Different wave spacing/event mechanism - when you say "also" it kinda sorta sounds like "same", whether you meant that or not. So ... just sayn' It matters, because the CMC in fact has nothing from the same prospect that the GFS designed.