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The 18z gfs is gonna give you whiplash. I just want to warn you now. You may need some Advil after this one.

Most of the US has been seriously lacking in the snow department outside of Northeast and Upper Midwest this winter. Just warm and mild for most of December and no end in sight for forseeable future in January for the west, Central US, and the south. Snow begets snow and dry begets dry. I think you get the picture, I think the end result of this season is baked in for most of central, west, and south US: warm, dry, mild

Time to get a tan winter!!!!

I’ve seen several posts here that says the first 10 days of the month are warming. It’s WBN they day 7. It’s a few days after the first 10 days

probably should have specified the 5-10th but whatever, cold and dry doesn’t do much for me anyway

0.25" here.

After conducting a thorough quantitative analysis of all model and teleconnections verification scores, I have concluded: The model that predicts AN and no frozen precipitation in the SE verifies almost 100% of the time.

High of 31 in Kemp Mill and 29 Frederick. Snow still on ground in Frederick

Indiana is carving up Alabama, what a half

He got all sensy where brooklyn said it’ll warm up for the first 10 days of the month or so.

Uh-oh...Ravensrule bat signal just went up...better be careful! Oh, wait a minute!!!

Logan has been screwed more than me. Apparently N side of town only had 1.5-2” Today.

Who said first week? Seems like after the 7th we go AN for several days.

Warming. Not warm. It gets pretty warm after 1/7

Hmmm

Jan 25 2000. Seen it happen hundreds of times here…thousands

I'll say February. That's when we got that Blockbuster 4-in storm last year.

December is now in the books at MDT. -4.8 temperature departure 5.0” snow which is slightly above the 4.4 December average. Not a bad start to the Winter. Hopefully we have more chances to score snow as Winter continues.

Like the op, the GEFS has been incrementally moving in the right direction at h5. 0z run compared to the most recent 18z run-

It's possible.

Clear. Windy. 15.9F

You must have 1994 on your mind!! Shades of @Bob Chill's total glaciation with a foot of ice!!

55 as the sun sets on this 1st day of 2026. .

GEFS is close enough to something to stay interested especially SE of DC

1/1: 0.1" T: 3.4"