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  2. A perversion the Nina background state/correlation, probably could use the RONI technique I'm guessin' These ENSOs, warm and cold, have been sort of idiosyncratically uncoupled to hemispheres at times, more frequently over recent decade(s) - I recall writing about this in here, 15 years ago... Then RONI comes out and well... I don't have a problem with it because obviously (then) I was not the only one taking observational note about all this over the eras. I'm just sayn' I don't have a problem and why-for there can be a generalized Nina and still manifest aspects that seem incongruent. Not that you asked LOL
  3. More than that , why does it end at 11 am? It’ll be gusting into the 40s all day Saturday.
  4. Thinking this is going to cause some problems today. People just see half an inch forecast and don't worry.
  5. 00z left ..06z right. Euro I mentioned this yesterday that there's a bit of a sneaky norlan look to this. Certainly an IVT of some sort. If the former turns out true and verifying, it is less likely the models will have nailed precisely where the "unscheduled" snow fall rates set up...
  6. Can i ask how the ENS look for next midweek? That system has kind of gone to crapola on the OP
  7. Already some snow showers moving into the western areas. Temp at the house is 16 and cloudy. Should be no problem with road stickage
  8. Yeah at this rate February may end up below an inch of liquid
  9. Perhaps .. but that looks like it could have easily set up W-N-S-E just given the Jackson Pollock look to that overall QPF artistry.
  10. You should send him a strongly worded pm to let him know your thoughts
  11. Also two days in a row waking up to @CAPE calling people’s analysis lazy lol.
  12. Makes sense at this point, models showing every possible outcome next week
  13. There are varying drought conditions in about 45% of the area of the lower 48 states.
  14. In my initial reply to Will's total snowfall post I said it was realistically more like 2-4" across the area for that wndow.
  15. So the Wind Advisory states a rather pedestrian 15 - 25 mph winds but gusting to 55 which seems a little disproportional. In my neck of the woods, what are the factors determining wind "gustiness"?
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