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Id take day after day after day of tundra rather than 95/75. I leave Newport in the heat or the summer for milder weather in northern Spain.

Would likely start as a light rain sometime during the mid afternoon and transition to a steady snow during the evening hours.

Definitely a bit intriguing overnight and some of the 12z guidance so far...certainly enough to put the south coast in game for a few inches potentially

Many folk here aren't winter people...they only tolerate winter because of the potential for snow...outside of that they'd prefer it to be 95/75...

Gefs further south

My baby loves the winter

Hope so. Just want that memorable one.

Woke up to a dusting this morning. Wasn't expecting it. Couldn't stop dog from finding his new delicacy... Frozen rabbit pellets lol

What’s the timing on this?

I think with the SSW warming, something's gonna happen in late Feb, early March.

We need to go out with a bang. We're off from raining at new job. Gotta get that big one!

Definitely do! Fontana is the lowest i have seen in a long time

For me, it looks like a potentially big cold shot coming at some point during March. That isn't really earth shattering news, but just trying to time it is going to be the tough part. The CFSv2 has it at 6z and the Euro Weeklies mean has March being progressively colder. You all know your own climatology. Folks in NE TN and the Plateau can score well into early April. March snow is not an anomaly IMBY, though it has been during La Nina. I am really excited that maybe this summer won't be ridiculously hot w/ the onset of El Nino and same for fall. Jury is out on next winter. If the El Nino is moderate or strong, I will roll w/ a torch for DFJ. If it is weak, I will roll with December warm, and January and February seasonal but snow chances. The strength of the El Nino is crucial. Sometimes lately, even a weak El Nino is torchy here.

Dads on a sled never works out very well...lol

The storm doesn’t want you to experience anesthesia, sorry.

Have a colonoscopy at 7 am Monday. I really really really really don’t want any snow.

You have a newborn. Your wife is going to leave you with that attitude.

Gfs just steins the mid week event here and warms up later in the week.

Yeah, it’s hard to get fully onboard with this one. Early call for my backyard: 0-3.5”

It’s been snowing lightly all morning here, just some light accumulation (maybe 1/4” or so).

Coming around .

GGEM north of 00z but still mediocre

Yes, intriguing but have to remain skeptic. Models have been all over the place with this one. @Heisy never gave up and also highlighted the small but important details that will make or break this event.

The 0z Euro was really amplified towards the end of the month. I think there is a window there from say Feb 24-March10. It fits the pattern we have seen all winter. Warms up here. Mammoth gets blitzed. We get a brief cold shot which is followed by another short warm-up....then the hammer comes down for a couple of weeks.

Cmc further north than 0z but light precip.