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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oh great! -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I'm interested in his track record. Anyone can put up a .WX on social media, create sites, or apps and "forecast." And, models and ensembles have virtually no skill at the lead time involved. Finally, there's no verification of past claims. The reason I ask, is because he is wrong when it comes to early spring (the transitional period) and Greenland blocking. For both the first and second halves of March (spring transition), Greenland blocking results in cooler conditions in the East. Getting the basics wrong is a red flag. I am not suggesting right now that March will be cold or warm. I am focusing on the narrower point that Greenland blocking leads to a colder March outcome, not a warmer one. -
Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
CAPE replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lets see if it holds, but for now it looks like the last week or so of the month could be cold, and hopefully not dry. Sucks we have had this glacier otg for 16 days with historic cold and no fucking precip. -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
8611Blizz replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Many a good to great winter was built on the 2-6" clippahs -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
CAPE replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wave timing is terrible. There is no block so the vortex moving though the (nearly) 50/50 region is exiting and with that the surface HP is sliding off the coast. -
Boring weather followed by a rain threat Monday…. Really thought things were gonna be different after the January storm
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
I heard it's like basically Florida down there -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
WinterWolf replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
What a solid winter…this is excellent. -
There's like three weeks left in February. Save a post like this for Feb 20th or later at least.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
its missing the 50/50 low that locks the high in...other than that--its a great run -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
bncho replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, same with hour 36. -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
HoarfrostHubb replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
I did -
Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
Ji replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
I like it---the pattern window you are talking too is much better than this weekend with fresh cold air available and not a suppressive pattern. Thats a nasty ridge between alaska and Russia! we are not scoring enough with all teh cold air we have had. 19 straight days of no precip when we hit sunday -
Might be a nice little event coming @powderfreak. I don't like the dry slotting on some of the models but should be solid overall.
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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
March 2012 was defined by a lack of Greenland blocking. The NAO was positive on 27 of the 31 days and never strongly negative. -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
i heard the GFS at 144 has accuracy issues -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
bncho replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thankfully it's the GFS. -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
CAPE replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Take a quick peak! The maps will most likely be disappointing, but probably wrong, so still some hopium! -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
and miss out on Wills snow maps without context? -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
we got to score this week -
I can guarantee you this will be a miserable spring. The cold ocean is enough, especially out here. Long island wont hit 80 until June unless we get a heat blast from the W/NW. Over the top heat wont even do it this year.
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
WxWatcher007 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Looks pretty good for most. Seems like a solid 1-3" down here.
