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  2. AI slight bump.to gfs and vice versa. Getting in the middle perhaps.
  3. AI GFS more breathing room, no ice issues whatsoever. Good run!
  4. Nooners start off well w/ ICON notably north of 0z. SLP about 200miles N of 0z run. Couple more of them and its boom time....but it is the ICON, so lets just look for trends right now.
  5. I got a feeling there may be quite a bit of participation with this thread. We missed the snow here by about 10 miles this weekend!!! I was too depressed to post.
  6. Where is randy? GFS thru 96 little farther east with the Baja ull and confluence nudge northern. Sould be a bit.less suppressed, not surprising
  7. AIGFS looks fine, if not better. Shouldn't cut as much, if at all. That favors less crappy mixed precip.
  8. The most important feature I'm watching is the high pressure that enters the US around hour 100-110.
  9. GFS AI is going to be less icy.. otherwise IDK
  10. I got 2.5” yesterday in Commack, western Suffolk
  11. We gotta figure out a system here. I can't figure out if yall are talking about AI GFS or doing pbp for GFS. But anyway...GFS similar, but that s/w out west seems like it's not gonna come out again..we shall see.
  12. GFS AI is gonna be a lot colder for us this go
  13. Did it not in 2013-14 and 2014-15, when we had impressive cold? The nearby lakes in my area (Aetna Lake in Medford, NJ) was completely frozen over in late February/early March 2015.
  14. AI has the confluence farther S and the Baja ull held back an asshair or 2
  15. Record lowest max temp for jan 23 in mt pleasant is 7. New euro ensemble has a high of -3 on that day....
  16. stefanski wasn’t even on my short list of hires I wanted to see. kubiak was my top option.
  17. This past weekend brought the first audible sled noise I've heard this winter, but no use yet on the club trail thru our woodlot. Our new neighbors (probably will build this coming warm season) plowed the road past our place last week, including about 1/2 mile of that club trail. Once the new crew is living on the lot, the club might need to either relocate that half mile or abandon a large segment of their trails.
  18. Yeah, at hr 120 that baja low is having a hard time coming east
  19. Someone from Commack reported 3.0”, wasn’t even me… lines up well with what I got so I’ll stick with it
  20. ok, at 102 it looks like the baja low is stsaying back a little bit more? might help it show a more snowy solution instead of icy
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