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Second warned line moving through in a few. Brief rotation down by Martinsville but my area looks like straight line stuff at worst.
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Nobody will read it…so it won’t matter.
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I am not familiar with the geography down there so I don't have much insight to provide. But does your school have good views in all directions? You really might not be in a bad spot.
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Some crapvection forming along 95 between the main batches
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pasnownut replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ive watched Ryan, and hes not too bad, but yeah some of them are really just as good/useful as giving me a Youtube channel as I can spout off the same crap they do w/ little added value. -
How we looking with reports from the storm ner Warrenton now? My wife is home alone in hamilton and it's heading NE right toward Loudoun
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Cool, cloudy and damp. Never seen a severe day like this lol
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I smell another CC diatribe brewing....see ya next fall.
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Well, this sucks.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
52 was the highest I got Looks like we get a reprieve from wind starting Wednesday for at least a week. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jsauss replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
what did you record for winds Saturday morning? It seems we have been living with a giant fan as of late. Schools are letting out early. -
March 1st is an artificial date used for consistent record keeping. Here's the physics for Fitchburg. Cold season
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Hey, I’m at uva and planning to chase. What would the best location to target be? I’m thinking near Amelia court house but curious to know your thoughts
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There does appear to be some breaks in the clouds to the east of the activity in Virginia, really depends on what happens with that I would think. But the fact that tornado warnings are up for that batch even without destabilization prior let’s u know the atmosphere is primed.
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This has been modeled for days as a multiple piece event. One early, one closer to the evening. How it plays out is still TBD despite what the PA crew is posting.
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Turning into a typical messy line for central NC. Spin-ups still possible of course, but the discrete supercell risk is decreasing. Straight line winds will be the primary story.
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3.5” of very heavy wet snow.
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I think you always have to be careful with the multiple round scenario and more often than not, lean towards the earlier round being more of the show. Especially around these parts, forecast models can really struggle in that regard and its even more of a case when you're dealing with a largely uncapped warm sector. Typically, if you're looking for multiple rounds you want to see a moderate or extremely unstable airmass in place. But this is still looking extremely interesting for much of Virginia into Maryland. Given how warm the llvl airmass is, based on satellite showing a large pocket of cloud breaks and approaching high noon, it won't take much to get temperatures to jump another 5-8F. Also noting the sfc winds are more backed in this area and may continued to back even more. You're storm inflow is also pulling in from higher theta-e which resides just off the coast. Going to have some differential boundaries in play too.
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If you read the discos any early stuff will kill the chances for later. This line moves thru around noon then it wipe out the energy.
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LWX text on the tornado warning: The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Eastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Northwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 1100 AM EDT. * At 1033 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles east of Sperryville, or 12 miles northwest of Culpeper, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado.
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This isn't the main show. Likely a little meso low or something ahead of the main line.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Damaging linear/downdraft winds remain our main very strong threat today for both lines - the fropa and the squall. The squall being delayed until after sunset might mitigate that but it’ll still push down 50 mph gusts for some. -
I thought the main show was later this afternoon and now it’s noon? Lol
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