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If it makes you feel any better, you'd probably miss it in Charlotte too..... lol

The AI versions must run on less resolution kind of like what the regular models did back in the day. The precip and qpf fields are broader but to me they may be handling the upper levels better as a result. IDK, just my observation…

The difference is so stark that you almost have to pick one or the other vs compromise.

You might be running low on storage, space. If you are doing the free version of the forum I think you get a max of 50mb. You might have to go back and delete stuff from older threads. A couple years ago I started doing the gold subscription for $25 a year, figured I should contribute something for the amount of time I spend on here and I think you get a total of 200mb of storage for attachments. But I have run into the same issue, if you are low on space your max upload size per post is whatever space you have left. Alternatively, you could do as climate changer said is host elsewhere and link in your post.

Cold front moving through later day. That sets up the colder half of the month after 9 days with above average temperatures. I wonder what the anomalies were like for NYC during this period. Had to have been around average of +10 for the past 9 days. Felt real toasty after a colder November through New Years regime

I still think Sat. has sneaky potential. Models have been moving the area of precipitation around a lot so it's hard to pin down. But up to a localized 0.3" liquid has been popping up across guidance for a few days now over only a 6 hour period. With low expectations and most people looking to Sunday, that could spell a surprise for some. I'd guess somewhere in CT but really anywhere is possible. It will probably be somewhat localized. Coastal areas are less likely Saturday unless it's before sunrise.

You described insanity

The biggest bust was the Feburary 4-6, 2011. DTW getting 6" exactly though is funny...

Pretty heavy squall coming through here now. Maybe 1/2 mile visibility.

You could argue it never bought into the deep ULL traveling south of us for 1/15 when the other guidance was trying to show it. It turned out more correct. But that wasn’t nearly as high stakes imho than this one. This one is definitely more of a fundamental difference. I’m skeptical AI will score the coup but this is a good test.

For now I’d toss op gfs.

Gfs op all alone on an island . Buyers will lose

There is a 1% chance euro is not OTS. Thread done.

As long as we still have the RGEM, I'm not giving up! Who knows more aboot snow than those hockey-playing, beer-swilling, donut-eating, tuque-wearing Canucks??

It was a decent 20ish hours of digital viewing. Back to regular schedule BS.

look at the timing difference between the CMC and the GFS....it seems it is a totally different system with the CMC

A little east and weaker but serviceable

What's everyone so upset about it wasn't supposed to snow here on Sunday/Monday anyway right?

And regarding AI coups-have there been any systems where there was such a difference between op and ai?

I swear and i actually am getting to the point of believing this but until we have anything with southern stream interaction i just don’t think the foothills can score with any of this NS crap

Well unless something changes it looks like im driving to Wears Valley from Charlotte for the weekend (not snow related) just to miss the snow at home lol. I am also rooting for the NW trend with you guys.

GFS officially has nothing for Sunday. It joins almost all other model guidance aside from RGEM and AI-GFS in having snow offshore, but nothing for our area. If Euro follows suit at 12z, that's the nail in the coffin

I'd kill for that...been several years. Let me know when one shows up.

So far gfs op is the only one that misses. AIs. CMC are hits. Reel it in folks. And fear of AI in this arena is illogical.

Yeppers. So is the life of a Snow lover in the Tn Valley, lol.