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He brings a ruckus to the ladies!

Got a shower moving through, 39F. Been awhile since I’ve heard rain falling.

the 12Z and 18Z EPS gave RDU about a 30% chance of a trace of snow on Monday/Tuesday.

Deep breaths .

atleast I got to see snow fall for 30 minutes or so today.. it was melting instantly though on pavement

Yeah, not expecting more than a couple inches at best. Probably grass only accumulation at that. Will see if all of the recon data makes a difference. If so it should tell us for 0z runs.

Finally just watched the recording of the USA/SWE hockey game…what a win by the USA!! Onto the semifinals we go!

It was insane. Temps briefly skyrocketed to 65 at DTW before falling back to the low 40s. I am 7 miles east of DTW and maxed at 56. Detroit City airport maxed at 45. High of 65 at DTW and 45 at DET? Ive never seen anything so wild. All the snow has melted, though there are plenty of cookies n cream piles in parking lots and such, its that depressing time of getting used to grass after looking at snowcover for a long time.

The gfs ai is deffinetly worse but the euro ai did not do too well with the 25th-26th event it would make me feel better is the euro ai was better

Awful awful fail by the models at close range.

i don't like it i don't know what to do now! guess we wait

Nor'easter coming, bad news for Madison Avenue, stop playing with yourself Hoopah!

Exactly! You’re really getting it. This is why we need blocking to slow down the flow a bit, and La Nina winters are notorious for the northern stream to push the jet streaks too far out resulting in suppression or fish storms (and that NC blizzard). There are exceptions to this like Jan 1996 and 2000, and there’s a small chance that this one could be added to this list. That is, if this whole thing trends west and not the typical east leading up to game time.

If I recall correctly the inverted trough was the only thing that saved us from being even worse in Jan 2016.

Lmao. This made me laugh

You do know it has snowed in the first days of March before right? And mid March. And late March. Accumulating snows into mid April too. But I'll take your word, thanks for the hot take.

Kong is King.

I concur. About to get a little break between bands but just measured 4.5”

not even being a weenie, but it seems like the AI is lagging the OPs a bit, it’s been the case with the GFS AI as well

100mi fail within 72hrs

Neither robot interested, troubling indeed

Thanks for the advice to look up a bit higher for the jet streaks. I used to do that but I forgot and assumed H5 lmao. Anyways, the real thing that my analysis made me realize is that if the GFS/CMC were to shift 50-100 miles west we actually have some real potential here. I mean right now we can see how the jet streaks are too far displaced east and subsequently so is the low pressure. An adjustment west wouldn't be crazy and we'd suddenly be looking at a dangerous setup! Of course, that would require something going right for us which seems... hard to come by recently.

Even yesterday, EURO AI had no one getting more than an inch or two...even in the Berkshires.