All Activity

They’ve been talking about getting rid of the NAM for five years and never do

This was the prior run at 03Z; so yeah its better lol .

Check the 6z ukie. Its further west and rains lol

Isn't the SREF going bye-bye too later this year? I'll be sure to shed a tear

Never realized that...

just heard joe lundberg on 1010 saying the same thing; rt 1 in woodbridge closed both ways since this morning, what a mess. glad i'm retired. still got stuck in it at 630 on my way to walk; by 8 they were closing the northbound side as well. accident investigation. people can't drive in the rain, it seems. hope no one was killed.

Inclined to lean that way too. Haven't put a whole lot of effort into this until last night/this morning and looking at past models it does seem to be a bit of a trend in that way, at least short term. We can only hope 12z continues in this direction.

Pouring

Probably time to start looking at cams for thermals now though

NAMAI is over the accordion

do you have older panels to share? I'm assuming thats a change in the gooder direction?

The srefs

My god everyone was driving so slow…

I know that the SREF can’t be looked at individually, but it sure can be looked at from the perspective of trends. And doesn’t some of the stuff that feeds those models go into the NAM as well?

I still think it helps more than hurts.

Potential blip? Drastically different no longer longer goes to 7.

Same, and Im a deep sleeper! Pouring again now, all the runoff on the street is so grimey, finally all that salt is getting washed out.

NAM has ensembles? Someone online just mentioned they are amped as hell...

lol he wrote that and then 5 min later somebody posted 6z AI EPS and it was 75 miles north west and doubled the qpf for the whole area. Love to see it. .

That would certainly be ideal. This or just become kind of a non player (though I understand it would taper back the overall potential). But if that can phase in we are game on.

I'm sure it's been mentioned but the 6z Euro is really warm. I was thinking models would start gravitating over to the GFS yesterday, when it was consistent and increasing every run, and other models were starting to trend. That was like 6 runs in a row with a near blizzard! We just don't do big snows without an optimal setup these days. These frontal boundary stationary fronts, with us being on the warm side, always go this way.

For fun, 9z SREF mean 10:1 snowfall .

continues to train here. heavy rain. i had a lightning dream right before waking up to hearing thunder outside. what a coincidence.

NAM at this range often does wonky things. I'd ignore that - and not because i dont like what it's showing. Plenty enough consensus forming that your gettin snow.