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  2. Things always seem to slide North leaving us with the leftovers and somehow we could go 2/2 and still early December is wild. Fingers crossed for the snow day tomorrow! .
  3. Freezing fog is not really a meteorological term, Pearson said. In order for it to form you need items or an object near the surface to be below freezing temperature, he said. This could include, trees, power lines and power poles, fences, tall weeds or cars. The air above the ground has supercooled water droplets in it, that might be just below freezing but are still in liquid form. Once those droplets come in contact with something at the ground or just above the ground freeze on contact with the surface of that object, Pearson said. Most often, freezing fog does accumulate on trees and power lines and if the wind is calm or maybe even light, can make a very picturesque scene as the supercooled water droplets turn into ice crystals (also called rime ice). If there is some wind, then the water droplets will just form more as a hard layer of ice vs the more crystalized picturesque rime ice.
  4. Nice snowy evening with the clipper. Should get a 2-4” refresh.
  5. It’s very rare around here, which made last night so interesting but like normal fog, you have to have high humidity and that saturated air super cools into droplets. Those droplets then freeze on surface objects like freezing rain, but the man difference being that these droplets are tiny - much smaller. Think steam in a bathroom after a shower vs the water coming out of the shower itself.
  6. Gfs has next Sunday again. And guess what, it’s a southern Va hit lol
  7. Yeah, people mocking it, but it’s absolutely the most likely outcome right now, and by a significant margin too.
  8. I think our next trackable system is around Dec 11th - very light NE TN, SE KY, SW VA, possible Plateau. Then, I think our best chance will be around Dec 14th. As long as that cold front presses into our area w/ full force, I think we likely see frozen precip then. The 18z GFS shows the potential for that one. It is running as we speak.
  9. I’m trying to keep an eye on the RRFS’ performance with this one, I haven’t been watching it lately but this time I’m taking note.
  10. I am going to South Hill and that vicinity tomorrow.
  11. School closings gotta be coming soon for the Triad and northern counties, right? If they closed for Friday, this is modeled as a higher impact event during school hours. Really curious to see what WSFCS does here.
  12. Still says past 84 hours on my end? Who's messing with me? LOL
  13. As I watched the final second tick on the ravens game.. I thought to myself.... Only 73 days till spring training !!!
  14. As for the medium and LR pattern, ensembles and deterministic modeling still favor some amplification mid-month. Whatever we get is likely going to be northern stream influence.
  15. Some of us do. I think our Delaware crew are the psuhoffmans of this one...smoking cirrus lol Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk
  16. It’s Tip’s super compressed, hyper fast flow. That bitch is real. Nothing good will come from it.
  17. Can someone explaining freezing fog to me? I’ve been on this forum for 15 years and have never read about it. How is it similar to freezing rain? How/why does it occur?
  18. As an explanation for those who don't live in NE TN, one of the real pains which we(in TRI) have to deal with(regarding modeling) is that models will sometimes smooth the cutoff for elevation snows into regions which don't have elevation. Most people think NE TN is high elevation....we are not, but we are very close to places which are. What is difficult to know about recent model runs...is whether smoothing is playing a role in the strong totals east of I-81. But for anyone who has lived up here for very long, we have had some systems with wild and crazy snow cutoffs regarding accumulation. We had a guy from work one time who said he would be out for the week due to snow. We thought he was just pulling our legs. He was only 20 minutes away. Nope, that man had like 2-3 feet of snow in his yard. We had a dusting. I am NOT expecting that this time, but I could see foothills communities doing well...but modeling is not to be trusted when some have a bunch of snow and others have none. Could bust either way.
  19. I started a thread for future analysis of the storm as you guys have a better shot than the main focus of our subforum
  20. Sports card collecting is actually pretty fun, it’s made a huge comeback, lol
  21. Howdy! I started a main thread for this storm as it also impacts some posters out in Central/Western VA if you want to post there as well.
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