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Hit 99.3 today IMBY but with the humidity it feels hotter than earlier this summer when it was hitting 104-105. Feel like temp is 113 right now.

Sycamore tornado touched down less than 1/2 mile south of my house. Had a great view from the back deck

I'm starting to think this is an organization decision and not an Albernaz one. It's just weird at this point

Above normal temperatures will persist through Tuesday. Highs will generally top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s in the warmest spots. A shower or thundershower is possible late Monday or Monday night. A somewhat cooler air mass will arrive near mid-week. Afterward, readings will be mainly in the lower to middle 80s for Wednesday and Thursay. A push of even cooler air is possible by the close of the week. As a result, Friday through Sunday could see highs mainly in the upper 70s and lower 80s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.3°C for the week centered around July 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.53°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.02°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -9.89 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.329 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (near normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.8° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Monday COULD be a severe weather day, according to NWS State College afternoon discussion. We will know more tomorrow.

Looks active Mon-Wed here. HRRR/RRFS suggesting multiple waves of tstms and derecho potential. Seems like there will be one in the OH Valley Tue, and the 12z RRFS is hitting that very hard. Attached is the RRFS valid 00z Wed. Wow. And you have storms firing on the front WNW to ESE right into the DMV area, like a large warm advection wing seen on many derechoes. HRRR through 48 hr seems to have the same idea. Pattern is favorable for derechoes/long-lived bow echoes. The issue typically is though, can an OH Valley derecho make it over the Appalachians intact? It's hard to do. The June 2012 did, but that was the exception. SPC also has the region outlooked for svr DY4 (Wed).

In what world does it make any sense for Gunner to bat lead off. At this point he is what he is which is a below average hitter. He should be in the bottom half of the order but Albernaz is void of any balls.

Another day failing to make it to 90 here. That makes it 1 out of 5 days so far that the GFS has us 90+. Today we were supposed to hit 94 here. The high was 88. Currently 86. We hit 90 for about 1 hour on Friday. Just your typical summer period with high humidity.

Looks like a swing and a miss for a peak heating supercell threat today. However 5 years ago OTD was a different story. I remember @Chicago Storm being super gung ho about this setup on here which was one of the reasons I went for it despite SPC only having a 2% (later upgrade to 5%). He nailed the longer-lived/more photogenic Sycamore-Virgil tornadoes. I saw the storm I was on go HP on the next cycle and started for home, thinking it would have worked over the atmosphere. However I still consider the Kirkland EF1 my first "official" tornado since it's the first one I was actually able to stop, tripod and watch for a few minutes instead of frantically driving to get either closer to (such as the Esmond EF0 at the beginning of the video) or out of the way of it.

Surface temps for Feb-

Day four of 90+. August heat wave of yore.

CFS continues to advertise a favorable look at h5 and at the surface for late winter. This model is generally not known to be consistent run to run(lol shocker) but it has been pretty steadfast with this look for many runs. Giga? March looks just as good and Jan is pretty acceptable.

not typical by climate standards but I do expect this now. Another 90+ degree day here

I care more about that since winter is too long for 45 and mud for months.

March 2026 in the American west seemed absurd too until it happened.

Definitely some smoke/haze aloft this afternoon.

I picture him screaming this when he’s at 10” on the season entering March.

The squall line looks good over the Lake. Starting to darken up here. Warnings already up just to my north for 60 mph winds. I think those 60 mph gusts will be isolated but I’m ready for a healthy storm.

It’s hot as f out.

85/75, a quintessential Cape beach day that said, I'm in Portsmouth NH now and it's about 90/65