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Snow threat will firmly lift north by the noon runs tomorrow. GFS fighting reality.
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Stevens Pass is going to get 2 to 4 FEET of fresh snow! https://www.stevenspass.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/mountain-cams.aspx
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would be a rude awakening for those that thought winter weather was over for this season.....has happened many times in the past after a March warm up - as late as April...
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Copious small hail (covering the ground up to 1”) and major flash flooding in downtown Grand Rapids. This elevated supercell also produced the biggest gravity wave signature I have ever seen on radar. Too bad it was dark.
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March 10th, 2026 Severe Threat
HillsdaleMIWeather replied to pen_artist's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Rotation starting in the line in Calhoun and St Joseph County MI -
GFS on that serious crack rock.
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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 1135 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0630 PM HAIL 1 SE KANKAKEE 41.11N 87.84W 03/10/2026 E6.00 INCH KANKAKEE IL PUBLIC PHOTO SHOWS HAILSTONE APPROXIMATELY 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER IN SOUTHEASTERN KANKAKEE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
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We'll see how the rest of Mar and Apr goes but it can't be lower than A- currently for many a reason. There's really no other winter i can think of overall better than this except for 95-96 and 10-11. Another 1-2 Mar/Apr adv or warning events and ill bump it up. Also no major busts, which is rare for any winter season. Most of our good or great ones had a couple. It's a lot like 2000-2001 with better snow pack. Strictly snowfall amounts yeah, but 04-05 was seriously back loaded. Probably 50-60% of our snow occurred from late feb to late mar that season. Each one melted right after it happened. And the "blizzard" sucked balls for most of CT..hours of light to mod snow that slowly piled up with no blizzard conditions. 02-03 was great but had many many teases and near busts like Dec 2002 christmas blizzard, Jan 2003. Also couldn't touch this season with snow pack. And we ended the season on a major Apr 7th bust. 02-03 was like 95-96 lite with wall to wall snow from Nov to Apr. Both those seasons were good-great but had plenty of problems, i think this winter is better overall, just my opinion.
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Getting some good winds out of the squall line now.
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Lots of run to run variability with this one, small shifts will be the difference between rain, ice and snow for peeps in Northern Illinois and Southern MI
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I remember a March Friday in 1976 with good snowpack and temperatures in the 70s for night skiing after work at Nashoba Valley. Steely Dan’s Katy Lied was blasting on the lift line.
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That line of storms in Northern Kane/Dekalb counties just tossed a few minutes of pea-sized hail near me. Wicked sound all around the house.
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7pm to 7am still works mid March and can lay enough down to muffle the strong post daylight effect
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sure why not 77f tomorrow 2-4” Thursday sounds right. -
@bncho was about to sleep, but then he saw the 0z GFS.
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Did you get on storm later further east or did you see the Kankakee tornado and massive hail? We were on that storm by Pontiac. Got a brief touchdown with wickedly rotating wall cloud. Then storm just quit. We followed it a while. It got an elevated/outflow look and look terrible on radar and I figured it was getting into the more stable air north of boundary. We headed west and boy was that a mistake. One of my biggest chase mistakes of my career. This will sting a while.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Gfs is sweet for you guys. Factor in time of year, time of day, obvious factors. I do think if everything aligns it will rip in places for a few hours.
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Also what I've heard from Kankakee from my friends who chased there was that a lot of chasers got kinda caught out, large/giant hail was being flung around, and smashing cars, lot of damage in those neighborhoods
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MDT set a record high today with 80. -
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Damn, was headed that way but couldn't get in ahead of the cell so bailed south.
