All Activity
- Past hour
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AI slight bump.to gfs and vice versa. Getting in the middle perhaps.
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AI GFS more breathing room, no ice issues whatsoever. Good run!
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Pics or it didn't happen
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
qg_omega replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
All weekend? Local screw zone? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nooners start off well w/ ICON notably north of 0z. SLP about 200miles N of 0z run. Couple more of them and its boom time....but it is the ICON, so lets just look for trends right now. -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Brick Tamland replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
GFS AI looks colder now. -
I got a feeling there may be quite a bit of participation with this thread. We missed the snow here by about 10 miles this weekend!!! I was too depressed to post.
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Where is randy? GFS thru 96 little farther east with the Baja ull and confluence nudge northern. Sould be a bit.less suppressed, not surprising
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AIGFS looks fine, if not better. Shouldn't cut as much, if at all. That favors less crappy mixed precip.
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The most important feature I'm watching is the high pressure that enters the US around hour 100-110.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Getting whalloped at 138 -
GFS AI is going to be less icy.. otherwise IDK
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I got 2.5” yesterday in Commack, western Suffolk
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We gotta figure out a system here. I can't figure out if yall are talking about AI GFS or doing pbp for GFS. But anyway...GFS similar, but that s/w out west seems like it's not gonna come out again..we shall see.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS AI is gonna be a lot colder for us this go -
Did it not in 2013-14 and 2014-15, when we had impressive cold? The nearby lakes in my area (Aetna Lake in Medford, NJ) was completely frozen over in late February/early March 2015.
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AI has the confluence farther S and the Baja ull held back an asshair or 2
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
nvck replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Record lowest max temp for jan 23 in mt pleasant is 7. New euro ensemble has a high of -3 on that day.... -
stefanski wasn’t even on my short list of hires I wanted to see. kubiak was my top option.
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This past weekend brought the first audible sled noise I've heard this winter, but no use yet on the club trail thru our woodlot. Our new neighbors (probably will build this coming warm season) plowed the road past our place last week, including about 1/2 mile of that club trail. Once the new crew is living on the lot, the club might need to either relocate that half mile or abandon a large segment of their trails.
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Yeah, at hr 120 that baja low is having a hard time coming east
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Someone from Commack reported 3.0”, wasn’t even me… lines up well with what I got so I’ll stick with it
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AI GFS seems more suppressed thru 108
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ok, at 102 it looks like the baja low is stsaying back a little bit more? might help it show a more snowy solution instead of icy
