All Activity

Hard disagree. There's nothing to stop it from trending NW

EPS is snowier for weekend and next 2 weeks in total

GM it'll go west gfs is king in my ok no opinion. Euro isn't as good as before they made that upgrade

Probably a wintery pattern shaping up. Here is the end of 0z GEFS. Nice cold, also looks like some more +PNA getting toward the end of January. My theory that central-ENSO-subsurface warmth (Kelvin wave) correlates with N. Pacific +PNA in the now-time is verifying, at least this time around.

Nice squall heading towards South Hills.

I think it will come back inland.

i know it's the latter rgem panels and all, but looking pretty good @ 84.

I really have not disliked the dry and mild conditions over the last couple weeks. It has allowed the street and sidewalk construction at the end of my street to be completed. I live near the end of a dead end street. They just installed a hammerhead turnaround, which will make it much easier for trucks to turn around, including snow plows. There was a port-o-potty on my property, which was finally removed yesterday.

The long range isn't exactly inspiring for winter lovers either, the GFSAI is a torch, the EuroAI has a few cold frontal passages but quickly rebounds to AN after each. At this point, I'm going to hope we get a February event, as January (unless the gfs pulls off a miracle coup with the nw trend) is looking lost. The odds of getting a truly wintery pattern with snow on the ground for a while like we've managed the last few years, seem to be fleeting.

Euro looks interesting for the 24th through 28th

Lake scraps as I’m winding down for the night. Maybe we get lucky and grab an inch overnight. Regardless, it looks pretty!

What did it show?

Truly don’t understand how the surface depiction is that bad there… It’s a tiny bit more positive tilt than GFS but otherwise they are quite close at H5 to me.

Don’t remember tbh.

it’s a bit more consolidated and precip is a bit farther west but still, not great

What was it at 18z?

It gives us a 1/2”, and we aren’t far off from more.

It looks way west to me compared to 12z anyway... I can't see 18z

The troll job last February was just another indictment of angst against it. Gonna be the good news model for a change show folks for 2 days and then say oops sowwwy--it invented a new way to troll!!

0Z Euro is a miss to the east on Sunday. I am thinking but not ready to say it out loud yet that the immediate NYC metro will end up with basically little or nothing total the entire weekend.

I can’t tell you how Much I hate this model

With the other models they all backed off of Saturday and got better for Sunday. If the Euro backed off of Saturday here...it can either stay exactly in this spot or get better from here. We'll see...

Euro with another kick to the nuts.

Now 0Z Euro is giving immediate NYC Metro 2 - 3 inches Saturday