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- Past hour
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Got up to 78* in Mattapoisett. Nice and comfy breeze along with it. COC.
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I am not sure. A warm front passed early in the day, so that would mean RW/TRW were likely. In the afternoon, it was three distinct supercells, one in NH and two in MA. Then I think w/ the actual cold front there were few more severe storms, based on photos near sunset that showed crisp CBs on the horizon well the E of Rutland MA. Warm front passages in the morning w/ RW/TRW occurred both on 7/10/1989 and 6/1/2011.
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Yeah, the trough that posed a cutoff risk is being pushed a little to the east so that heat ridge moves in. Nothing impressive but upper 80s to lower 90s and spots possible later next week into the weekend. After that, it does look like a more humid set up moves in, still see that happening second half of June.
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The index was called DAX... Differential Advection Index.
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Sounds like '89. Had penny size hail and continous lightning for more than 3 hours in falmouth
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Tomorrow will be fair and hot with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Should Central Park reach 90°, 2026 would become the first year on record that New York City had a high of 80° or above in March and highs of 90° or above in April, May, and June. Some showers or thundershowers are possible early Sunday. Highs will still reach the lower and middle 80s. Somewhat cooler conditions early next week will give way to a return to above normal temperatures for the remainder of the week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -29.81 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.795 today.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
donsutherland1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It might not be as east-based as either of those two ENSO events, but there's still a lot of time before the anomalies peak. It looks solidly east-based, perhaps evolving into a basinwide event as it weakens. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Euro and CANSIPS completely different over the EPO domain for the Winter. -
Just some added info. Dr. Mel Goldstein (who passed away in 2012?) developed a Severe Weather Index in the 1970's that was used to gauge severe weather potential in SNE. The index ranged from 1 to 5; 1 little or no severe wx potential, 5 was strong potential for tornadoes. He worked closely with region electricity suppliers to gauge the threat for power outages. In his morning update on October 3rd his index came in as 5!!! He issued updates during the day indicating the tornado potential was high, and in fact called the Office of Emergency Management several times about his concern. As a side note, I was living on the western edge of the Farmington Valley then, and observed obvious large scale low-level rotation racing northeast about 10 to 15 minutes prior to touchdown in Windsor Locks.
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88-89F here. Not too bad with low humidity.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, that's how I feel. I don't see it showing up in the seasonal mean like the CANSIPS implies, but probably periods of it, especially in the 2nd half. -
@weatherwiz go to Brooks BBQ, a few extra pounds on you will make spiders more fearful !!
- Today
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Same, granted mostly wooded areas
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Thank you so much for this. I’ve often wondered what the day was like elsewhere
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Oneonta is our target area for tomorrow!
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Ahead of the tornadoes, communities across the region were battered by massive hailstones, with baseball-sized hail reported in multiple towns. Cape Cod experienced vivid, continuous lightning for nearly three hours that evening
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Did Bradley even hit 90 during the past 3 days?
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Were there a lot of thunderstorms around locally the day of the Worcester tornado? I thought I read somewhere Boston got a strong thunderstorm later that same afternoon.
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yeah. not here. I'm wonderin if there was a spray thing I don't know about. But I was over in Sterling at Meadow Brook, basically a 1000 acres of orchards, open fields, with woody glades doing disc golf last weekend and there wasn't one. Then I was over at Qual Ridge in Acton doing a regular golf there and again...none. Why is massachusett special
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Max 84.0° Beautiful day. Didn’t even have to use my AK.
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50th high school reunion tomorrow late afternoon into evening.. outdoors.. so count on rain on the South Hadley area..
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They’ve been absolutely brutal here the past few days
