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They are rare but do happen. PDII in 2003 was an overruning event to a coastal. FWIW TWC stated this morning that up to Boston could get heavy snow.

Im looking forward to this New York post headline on Tuesday. NYPD officer found nude in Central Park doing snow angels

Yeah I’d like to stop slowing down…get this back to starting late Saturday would be nice.

After watching Florida get nearly a foot last year when the prior state record was 3 inches, truly anything is possible. Maybe it's our turn finally for a crazy snow record.

Anyone else feel like thing thing will start trending north like usual? And put alot of us back intro ice/rain and rain futher south? Really like to here why this could be different this time ?

I like where the goal posts are at for this one. Can only go so far north it seems, temps struggle to break 20º F, chance that thing slows down right where you'd want it to for a long duration event. Of course, not a lock yet. We still have to brave many potential issues. The agony of being 4-5 days out. Potential for weird suck zones in the precip shield. Mild indigestion, aches and pains, skin rash, death. But, other than that, I like the look.

This is definitely concerning in terms of a widespread ice storm within the mid-South, however, with that the north trends that have been ongoing are very noteworthy and should not be dismissed. I would not be surprised if the sfc low actually developed a bit faster and farther west than what the GFS had (6z run). It might be difficult for interior but coastal New England could be in play for some significant snows

This was the breakdown for President's Day 2003 PHL was 8f snow increasing 1-2" an hour in intensity and piling up fast, Trenton had filtered sun through high clouds no snow, and just southwest of PHL I think they were working over a foot. I am not sure I think we wound up with like 19-22" if I am correct, it's been a while. The February 5th, 2010, storm was crazy cold air crashing too we wound up with 23" here and even more impressive which I have not seen before was 1-2" an hour for like 3 hours with winds gusting 40-50 mph out of the west. I know The February 5th, 2010, storm was a Baja Calli low >>> we get the big dogs when the Baja Calli lows come to play further east.

My son’s due date was 2/8/2010. Ended up being born on 2/14/2010. The told us to get to the main road and they’d send a humvee. That would have been a ~120 yard walk through hip deep snow with my wife in labor if he had come during either storm.

Hey slackers, keep up productivity at work this week. Signed - your manager

I keep waiting for Lucy to show up & take the football. Can this really be possible to actually happening.

They are so triggered that an hour ago they used the CMC as their lead mod to prove to their viewers that the system is trending north. .

9z SREF way north early fwiw

not enjoying this at all

Its Tuesday, pace yourself. No one in the DMV should be clamoring for north movement just yet.

That was Presidents Day II!

Lows of -3, -8 and -11 the past three days respectively. Looks like the cold should peak Friday

Hopefully we can get this thing under D5.5 today

Low of 12 degrees

The north trend!

miss north

I have black circles around my eyes already, it's hard to explain to others why we do what we do, it's an addiction for sure.

15 / 1 off a low of 10 here. Overall cold to much below normal the next 11 days or through the 31st / 1st. Coldest days look to be 1/24-1/25 - perhaps temps at or sub 20 all day then single digit low (coldest since 2019 perhaps) , then again 1/28 - 1/30. The much talked WAA / overrunning and potential secondary developent later Sat (1/24) - Sun (1/25) and into Mon (1/26) and perhaps Tue (1/27 long duration event. Hints at additional energy clipper or southern in the 1/31 period. Beyond there moderation back towards / above normal.

It's important to know what ENSO does as a first point. There is a North Pacific High correlation (+NOI in La Nina)... when you get a strong +PNA pattern in January... that's not La Nina impacting. I do wonder why Larry got that like 10/10 of negative ENSO -PNA Dec's went +PNA in Jan since 1980. It's right, but that's not what La Nina does.

Careful, we don’t want too much too fast. I am 90% sure the storm will come up north anyway. I’m thinking the mix line will reach as far north as EZF/SoMD despite the models saying it’ll stay south of the NC/VA border.