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oh yeah baby

AI Euro?

NNE was a different story in the 80’s. SNE was the tough spot most times. Tons of mixed events…it was very hard(but obviously not impossible) to get a pure snow storm then in SNE. Was just the pattern/cycle back then.

The 81-82 winter turned out very good for the interior, especially CNE. I was in central NH for a weekend in late January, 1982 and the pack was like 3 feet.

I’ve said on here many times before that the December 81 storm was one of my favorites. The flow remained NNW during the storm. Had it been NNE that time of year it would have mostly rained like in December, 1992.

I’m talking CT here…not south coast/or eastern mass. The decade as I said had a few big events scattered around. But overall it was a very low snow decade to be sure.

I had snow in May 2020 because of polar vortex disruption Forecast is two polar vortex disruptions one this weekend which won't be resuming the arctic connection and another in two weeks. The second one the models say will bring the cold two weeks later. Just a forecast could be wrong we will see.

Make that three!

0z GFS has the Feb 22-23 thing, it's a high end advisory event That timeframe could hold potential. Seems like CAPE's original storm will track too far north but will bring in some cold air for the follow up wave to ride the boundary. Pretty simple way to score around here. btw since i said all this it's now my storm and not Ji's storm even though his analysis is better.

The 80s weren't as bad as everyone thinks. 1985-1986 and 1988-1989 were awful but the rest of the decade particularly the first half of the decade was damn good particularly along the south coast. We had several big ones, including some like December 1981 that no one remembers or talks about. Slant sticking is more common today than back then and I believe the statistical snowfall averages are somewhat skewed. I remember catching the school bus and it seemed a lot colder back then compared to the last 20+ years.

Outside of a couple decent hitters early on, the majority of them were mood flakes to a dusting. It wasn’t all that active in Michigan despite all the talk about it, especially outside of the lake belts.

Ahhh... Makes more sense. But he still meant us hanging?!

I don’t think he was. Im thinking he means in the longer range, not Monday.

I'm guessing you are being sarcastic

Can you elaborate a bit Steve?

Looks very La Nina-like

Almost the entire state of NC is now in severe drought and areas around Charlotte have slipped into the rare exceptional drought category

GFS absolutely slays

I lived further south during the Feb 2006 storm (and it was a good one even there with 15”), but one specific thing I remember was one of the TWC mets asking a guy in Boston about the upcoming storm (just before it started) and he basically said “It’s not going to be that bad, we’re only getting a foot” and I chuckled. As I recall even the TWC met was a little stunned after hearing that.

Thought you were all done with below zero? Never know up there

Seen those on ski slopes pretty often 2017 SR Snownados.mp4

Very very real. We were at the condo slope side. Over 4 ft fell .This entire Mt lost power and was closed all day but 730 am the next day we knew the lifty and rode up with patrol. Two of us are weather observers. Totally on board 1 hr measure. It was also the day the mega ski shop at the base of the Mt Washington burned down because of down wires. I was incredibly lucky to catch the Feb and March blizzards.

The AI is all that counts.

I can tell a lot of normal fellow weenies are broken this year.. we would see a lot more engagement from some in years past over a threat like this.. I wonder what did it? Maybe the cold but minimal snow this year? Previous years were way warmer and way worse and every chance got more excitement. I miss it. Maybe im just extra crazy though. To be on topic.. gfs seemed like it was trying though.

Yes, we have had accumulating snows into mid April at PHL airport and even early May. Is it normal to snow in late March? Of course not, but it happens and this would probably be the season we see it. And if Hurricane Schwartz is on board, well, enough said.