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I started a thread for future analysis of the storm as you guys have a better shot than the main focus of our subforum

Sports card collecting is actually pretty fun, it’s made a huge comeback, lol

Howdy! I started a main thread for this storm as it also impacts some posters out in Central/Western VA if you want to post there as well.

It's beyond that...we're passed that.

This is also a great test case on if starting a thread ruins an event as if this manages to completely fall apart within 12 hours of the start time the curse may be real.

Done, please pin it!

FYP

As @WxUSAF pointed out this is now a legitimate enough event for the southern folks to start a thread specifically for it! Let's try to will this thing a little bit further north to get it to everyone.

If CC has permanently caused a fast flow we can all just switch to collecting model trains.

Probably rain south of 90

Both the 18z RGEM and GEFS hold serve over extreme NE TN. I have strong doubts about snow in TRI, but the GFS is no longer alone w/ the this system as noted above. From I81 to the east, there is snow modeled on almost all models w/ the exception of the Euro. The closer to the foothills one goes, the stronger the totals. This is definitely a trackable system for NE TN and SW VA folks(Abingdon vicinity). It is no slam dunk, but interesting nonetheless to see the GFS pick up support. Now, before folks accuse me of favoring MBY...this, in fact, does not appear to have much of an impact IMBY. In fact, if correct, I will be able to drive 10 minutes to my east and find snow. LOL.

When the OL is terrible, the offense is going to struggle. This is a monumental failure by EDC and his crew. The defense is also a problem- no pass rush. As much as I want Harbaugh gone, he has to coach the players he has, and the trenches are weak- yes a key injury or 2 on the DL- but a good team has to be built to overcome a few injuries.

Start a thread. This is a legit event for our sub forum.

GFS was so close… c’mon @csnavywx reel this in for us.

41, fog/mist...another shit day. At least snow if it's gonna be wet and cold.

GFS lowk joined the party with its 18z run

A fresh surge of cold air will arrive tonight. Tomorrow will likely see subfreezing temperatures across much of the region and Tuesday morning could rival or even surpass the cold of December 5th at some locations. The ongoing stretch of below normal temperatures will likely continue into or through the second week of December. December 1-10 will be a solidly colder than normal period. The potential exists for the coldest first 10 days of December since at least 2007 (33.4°, 5th coldest December 1-10 since 2000). The five coldest December 1-10 periods since 2000 were: 1. 30.6°, 2002 2. 32.2°, 2003 3. 32.4°, 2000 4. 33.1°, 2005 5. 33.4°, 2007 All 5 of these cases had measurable snowfall in Central Park. The WPO is forecast to become strongly negative beyond December 10th. That would likely contribute to the December 10-20 period also being colder to perhaps much colder than normal overall. The probability that December 2025 will have a maximum monthly temperature below 60° is increasing. The last time that happened was in 2019 when the monthly high was 58°. If 2025 has a monthly high below 60°, that would be only the fifth such occurrence since 2000 (2003, 2004, 2005, and 2019 are the cases since 2000). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around November 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.67°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter. The SOI was -7.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.202 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 89% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal December (1991-2020 normal). December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 34.0° (5.1° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.5° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Ravens as a team are just simply not that good. Been “playing from behind” a lot this year.

I can tell you right now, not much more here in Spotsy than Richmond the last few years we have gotten some good ones over the northern areas…but typically, we are on the southern edge of the snow line. Richmond usually sees way less than I received. It’s just been a strange few years

Yep down to 43 already after a high of 51

I actually agree with that / unless some non off hour runs besides 18z gfs shows some proper phasing for next weekend.

Lol .. what could go wrong with the NAM past 84 hours??

Defensive line is by far the worst part of this team. Rogers had been putting up pedestrian numbers all year then all of a sudden he throws for 300yds. In they playoffs they would easily give up 27+ every game. Oh well. I do think if Likely had scored a TD a the end the Steelers wouldn't have been able to drive back down the field.

We don’t even dink and dunk well anymore. Pattern the next two weeks looks cold/dry/warm/wet repeat. Honestly bring on the torch if that’s how it’s gonna roll… rocking December on life support