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Not as chilly this morning with lows in the upper 30's/40's. Highs around 70 again, but chance of rain moving later today into tonight. That will be welcome.

Steady but fairly light, so maybe a quarter inch.

A little later than the developing super El Niños in 2023, 2015, and 1997. Those years all had record amplitudes in MJO 7-2 during March. AMJ 2023 and 1997 were also focused in these phases also

Precip headed our way looks like it will just train over our area and give us a good steady soaking.

Starting this weekend through the Fourth looks like some summer temps are coming. Numerical models and humans looking at Nino and teleconnections promise it's brief. Talking the week in question; then, back to where we are now. Hopefully those signals for just one week hold!

models don't have much city and north....maybe another .25 south?

Forgot to submit my total this morning to the cocorahs site, this just reminded me. doh!

That's wild. Look how close the 3.35" amount is to the 1.36 and the 0.98", geographically speaking. Can't be more than a mile or two. West Central Morris County - Jackpot.

Incredible stuff. This month will mark 17 months since the last month below the 20th century mean for the CONUS, and 16 months since the last month below the 1991-2020 mean.

We sun. Up to 67°

.02" since midnight. This is just crazy. Hopefully more later today

We really need a nice 4th of July weekend after that terrible Memorial Day weekend.

Yeah I got 1.05" from all those heavy downpours. The downpours were very brief but we got so many rounds that it really added up. The round of steady rain for today is about to start, but as you said it looks pretty light.

The big red blob gave me 0.35”

Already have added .12" of new rainfall this morning.

Got lucky here overnight as well. Drenched! Event total 2.71". My area was one of the places that received some of the heaviest amounts. The heaviest amounts were very localized. Click map to enlarge.

Big red blob about to get me

At least the record cold was extensive enough that month for the entire CONUS to average a little below the long term February average. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/national/201502 The February contiguous U.S. temperature was 33.1°F, 0.7°F below the 20th century average, ranking near the median value in the 121-year period of record. The average February maximum (daytime) temperature for the contiguous U.S. was 44.6°F, 0.2°F below average, while the average minimum (nighttime) temperature was 21.7°F, 1.2°F below average.

Yes, and that text was why I responded to @candersonthe way that I did. The text specifically mentions that the storm in progress was severe.

AL 2011 was 4 to 5 sigma, IL 2026 is 3.9 to 4 sigma. KS 08 was ~3 sigma and TX 15 was ~2 sigma. Your instinct was on point, AL11 is still the king, IL26 in 2nd place. there's still time lol

Good to finally see the first daily rainfall over 1.20 in NYC since 4-25. Data for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2026-06-23 M 2026-06-22 1.24 2026-06-21 0.00 2026-06-20 0.00 2026-06-19 0.00 2026-06-18 T 2026-06-17 T 2026-06-16 0.00 2026-06-15 0.02 2026-06-14 0.25 2026-06-13 0.00 2026-06-12 0.90 2026-06-11 0.21 2026-06-10 T 2026-06-09 0.00 2026-06-08 0.00 2026-06-07 0.04 2026-06-06 0.26 2026-06-05 0.00 2026-06-04 0.00 2026-06-03 0.00 2026-06-02 0.00 2026-06-01 T 2026-05-31 0.00 2026-05-30 T 2026-05-29 0.00 2026-05-28 0.00 2026-05-27 T 2026-05-26 0.00 2026-05-25 0.18 2026-05-24 1.10 2026-05-23 0.75 2026-05-22 0.00 2026-05-21 0.15 2026-05-20 0.09 2026-05-19 0.00 2026-05-18 0.00 2026-05-17 0.00 2026-05-16 0.00 2026-05-15 0.00 2026-05-14 0.01 2026-05-13 0.01 2026-05-12 0.00 2026-05-11 0.00 2026-05-10 0.01 2026-05-09 0.24 2026-05-08 0.01 2026-05-07 0.16 2026-05-06 0.32 2026-05-05 0.00 2026-05-04 0.00 2026-05-03 0.00 2026-05-02 0.02 2026-05-01 T 2026-04-30 0.16 2026-04-29 0.20 2026-04-28 0.00 2026-04-27 0.00 2026-04-26 0.03 2026-04-25 1.36 2026-04-24 0.00

Oh, they did issue. I never saw it on my phone but I was at my place in Connecticut. .

There was definitely a Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued. I saw it on CTPs site, WGAL, scrolling on my FIFA game I was watching, etc. Here's the text: The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... East central Lancaster County in south central Pennsylvania... * Until 445 PM EDT. * At 421 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Gap, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... New Holland, Gap, Churchtown, Intercourse, Blue Ball, Goodville, and White Horse. Radar has indicated rotation within this severe thunderstorm. Although a tornado is not immediately likely, tornadoes can develop quickly during severe thunderstorms. This includes The Pennsylvania Turnpike from mile markers 293 to 295. Stay inside a well built structure and keep away from windows. Very heavy rainfall is occurring with this severe thunderstorm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Issued by NWS State College PA for Lancaster County.

And the leaves are getting that leathery look

.33 so far today