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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
tamarack replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Southwest Harbor (Penobscot Bay) recorded a gust of 115 mph in that storm. The 957 mb reading at CAR that day is a contender for lowest pressure in New England from a non-tropical storm. At Fort Kent we had 1.5" of rain plus 0.5" flurries with wind gusting to 50 and temp 46/-11. At 1 PM it was 44, 4 PM 14, 6 PM -6. By the next day the ice holes on most roads were awesome. -
Maybe @Weather Will can post some of the monthly maps when he gets a chance.
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My yard is already rock hard and cracked. The .34 that i received over the past 7 days didn't do much for the drought. No rain in sight is great for my business but not for the drought. The creeks that feed the South River are mostly completely dry. We can't shake this drought.
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Well done lol.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
jlauderdal replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Coldest air temp I ever experienced was in Stowe -29F. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For coastal locations, it'll be harder for snow, but it'll still be dependent on exact track and surface High locations. But if the precip forecasts from all the seasonal modeling are correct, there will at least be a lot of chances. If nothing else, it won't be a boring winter. -
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks warm/wet like many have said. Probably under 10" snows in the NYC metro. Very 97-98 like -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
OSUmetstud replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 1+2 end up on the higher side of the average. The decreasing warm anomaly in Nino 4 was a big miss...falling completely outside of the ensemble spread. The forecasts for both Nino 3 and Nino 3.4 were near the bottom of guidance. RONI makes a difference but the sst analysis/database matters a lot too. ERA5/OSTIA puts the Nino 3.4 RONI around 2.1C whereas NOAA ERSSTv6 puts it at 1.7C. This is due to both very high resolution (0.05 degrees) and the inclusions of satellite-based SST analysis. The best forecasts from ECMWF from today and CPC/IRI plumes from late August still show this as a clearly record breaking Nino event with a RONI peak between 3 and 3.5C. -
Updated Euro seasonal. A touch warmer for the winter months by around .5C. Still wet. Link to everything off this run. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]}
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Link for everything on Euro seasonal https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]} -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What is the deal with tornadoes? You spend your whole life building a house, putting up drywall, picking out a nice neutral beige paint, and then the air decides it just wants to spin really fast and carry your sofa into the next county. And the meteorologists! They get on TV with their little glowing screens, pointing at red blobs like they’re tracking a hostile alien invasion. "We have rotation! Seek shelter immediately!" Calm down, Gary! It’s just wind having a nervous breakdown. Why does it gotta touch the ground? Stay up in the clouds where you belong! It’s like nature is doing a magic trick, but instead of pulling a rabbit out of a hat, it pulls your garage off the foundation and deposits it neatly in a cornfield. And what do they tell you to do? "Go to the basement." Oh, the basement! Right under the house that’s currently disintegrating. That’ll make me feel safe, sitting in a damp concrete box next to a water heater and a half-empty can of wood stain, waiting to see if my toaster ends up in Ohio. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I never ended up under a core, in fact, I didn't even really get that much rain from the event compare to others. However, the anvils alone provided the occasional close lightning strike . Distant flashes and thunder were continuous. Nights like those turn out to be very productive for me becaus It gives me a reason to keep my butt outside and work around the house. -
https://www.popville.com/2026/09/more-cars-smashed-by-downed-trees-from-last-nights-storm/ DC really got hammered by the Thursday night storm. Great photos in that thread with many downed trees. Our friends friends from NE DC stayed with us last night because their power was still out, though we think it's back now. There were no wind issues like this just a few miles north in silver spring, just heavy rain.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just one more night of continuous lightning, before we close the book on summer. Thats all I ask for, it was so awesome this past week! -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
2026 Pennsylvania Tornadoes Last Updated: September 4, 2026 Date Location County Rating June 6 Beallsville Washington EF1 June 6 Ellsworth Washington EF1 June 6 Centerville Washington EF1 June 6 Linn Fayette EF1 June 6 Virgin Run Fayette EF1 June 6 Jacobs Creek Fayette, Westmoreland EF1 June 14 Conneautville Crawford EF0 June 14 Stoltz Crawford EF1 June 14 Leimbach Road Crawford EF1 June 14 Anita Jefferson EF2 June 14 Cochranton Crawford EF1 June 14 Diamond* Venango EF1 June 14 Cannelton Columbiana (OH) - Beaver EF1 (OH) EF1 (PA) June 14 Grand Valley Warren EF1 June 14 Moraine State Park Butler EF1 June 14 Beaver Falls Beaver EF0 June 14 Alexander Road Butler EF1 June 14 Muddy Creek Road Butler EF0 June 14 Homer Twp Potter EF0 June 14 Pine Glen Centre EF1 June 14 Kirkwood Lancaster EF1 June 22 Sandy Hollow Fayette EF1 July 5 Lamb's Gap Perry EF1 July 18 Limestone Clarion EF1 July 18 Punxsutawney Jefferson EF0 July 18 Latrobe Westmoreland EF0 July 18 Derry Westmoreland EF0 July 18 Jenner Township Somerset EF2 July 18 Sanford, NY - Hancock, NY Broome (NY), Wayne (PA), Delaware (NY) EF0 (PA) EF1 (NY) July 18 Houtzdale Clearfield EF1 July 18 Vanscoyoc Hollow Rd Blair EF0 July 18 Huntingdon Furnace Huntingdon EF2 July 21 South Canaan Wayne EF0 July 21 Diamond Venango EF0 July 21 Villa Maria Lawrence EF0 July 21 Portersville Butler EF0 July 21 Whitestown Butler EF0 August 16 Hookstown Beaver EF0 August 16 Orchard Hills Armstrong EF0 August 20 Eastern York York EF2 August 20 Columbia Lancaster EF1 August 20 Habecker Rd Lancaster EF0 August 20 Manor Twp Lancaster EF0 August 20 East Caln Twp Chester EF0 August 22 Madera Clearfield EF1 September 1 Gaines Potter, Tioga EF1 September 1 Derry Twp Montour EF1 September 1 Salisbury Twp Lancaster EF1 Data is preliminary and subject to change @stormsellwx -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Just pillaging my reputation. Hate to see it.
