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I was talking more about the extreme N/S cutoff, not where exactly it sets up. Unfortunately, looks like it may be Parker to Monument. Already half an inch of rain in the Springs today.

Yeah and that's generally the theme with the last 30 years vs the 30 years prior. Cooler months now are usually a result of cooler max temps while the mins are generally trying to pull the mean upward. Yeah, occasionally we get a month with some near record mins (Sep 2020), but they're pretty rare now. I'm not trying to get into another CC debate...just stating what the data and trend has been the last 75 years. The thing is I don't think the average person understands that we recalculate the normals every 10 years. So when they see "-1F September 2026" you start seeing posts online like "so much for global warming". Anyway...63.5F so far today. It's hard to believe, but my warmest temp this month is only 76.8F with 10 days of 70+. But it was another very safe month of mins with only one in the u30s and it's 5 straight days here of 52+ mins.

That’s what you do every year…lol. Those are the perks of living at elevation, compared to the lower areas.

Looks like another real taste of fall next week... LWX has highs near 60 on Tuesday in DC metro with lows in the mid 40s... looks like lows in the upper 30s possible Monday night out towards i81 corridor and west

Early November a few years ago as well

Yup. I’ll be picking and growing veggies well into November this year

I've come down to the realization this is gonna be a warm winter. Now do we get a major snowstorm like Jan 2016? or get shutout like 97-98? Actually here in Central PA(didn't live here at the time? 97-98 wasn't that bad.

No way.

Thanks, and I’m sorry…it was last August of 2025.

Clearing moving into W CT-sun poking out now here

Fake cold. 45 for you, 24 for the clown with the grey bushy eyebrows in Bakersville.

Not many cool lows this month, just seems like departures driven by high temps. Meh.

Some sun here now

Thread title is a epic fail this month

Models have been all over the place with the southern portion of the incoming rain (to be expected when a cutoff L is involved) but for MBY as of 12Z its the Canuk's vs everyone else. I will say over the last 30 days the Canuk's have won. Canuk's have me at less than .25 while most other's are around .75 to 1.5 through Sat. Early October smackdown begins tomorrow lmao.

For about an hour this morning, then it all went to shit again

12Z UKMET: Fay starts off deceased but she gets revived once again (on Friday) and like 2 runs ago later becomes a TS: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 27.3N 60.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 03.10.2026 60 27.3N 60.5W 1014 27 1200UTC 03.10.2026 72 29.3N 60.6W 1013 28 0000UTC 04.10.2026 84 31.8N 60.1W 1012 30 1200UTC 04.10.2026 96 34.0N 58.9W 1012 30 0000UTC 05.10.2026 108 35.6N 57.1W 1011 29 1200UTC 05.10.2026 120 37.5N 55.3W 1009 30 0000UTC 06.10.2026 132 40.2N 53.3W 1004 33 1200UTC 06.10.2026 144 44.7N 49.2W 996 41 0000UTC 07.10.2026 156 51.2N 44.3W 992 43 1200UTC 07.10.2026 168 CEASED TRACKING @jconsor

Just noticed PSU now has bufkit data for RRFS.

Saw breaks of blue but quickly destroyed

Welp finally kicked the cloud deck out and made it to party sunny

I-35 corridor looks pretty good overall for really good rain. There will be winners and losers though. I look to be on the losing end in Longview, but we'll see how it plays out. Definitely looking forward to the "cooler" weather, either way.

Yeah, the rain was nice, but this turning into a dreary week kind of sucks. I don’t think the suns been out here