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With the way things have gone the last 4 months in this area, when you wake up Tues morning it will all change to sun and dry conditions

We hit 90* today after a low of 52*. DP did hit 60 around 1245pm today.

A sight for sore eyes

Boy, I should get into day trading

83 high today after am low of 47. Still just 0.44" rain for month and 12.61" for year.

It’s gonna be a good week for us other than the Ambrose Jet making it north of the LIE. Probably low 80s most days on the southerly wind but no nasty sandblaster like on the beaches.

My friends: The freeze event several weeks ago was historical like I said several times since the event. Here is my proof in the facbook video below. Highland Orchards is near West Chester, PA. The areas to the west and north were just as bad if not worse. I was absolutley spot on when I said on how devastating this late freeze and the depth of the cold throughtout our area. Every vineyard harvest in Lehigh County was totatly decimated for this year. Whats next in my thoughts? This years years corn and soybeans have been affected as well. Many farmers have not even plowed the fields yet as they are afraid of the current drought conditions. WE really need 3-5 inches of rain in the next two weeks. The base flows in the streams are down 50-75% right now. I am waiting for the spigot to be turned on. When? The spigot will not be turned on until we have at least two back to back storm events coming up from the TN valley rather than from the upper midwest. I do not see that until the very end of the month- if we are really lucky. Lets hope some shortwaves start appearing on the models near Nashville TN and running up the Applachian Mts. https://www.facebook.com/reel/1668857734450422

Summer stunner! Lfg!

Between this shit and the Colorado river mismanagement finally biting people in the ass, we are fucking shit up nicely.

Went to the ole home improvement store earlier and I am pretty sure every person in dekalb county was in the garden section.

84 for the high today. Plenty warm enough for me.

75 today. The pool is up to 80. Summa

Tomorrow will be a summerlike day. Temperatures will top out in the middle and perhaps upper 80s. The warmest spots in New Jersey could approach 90°. Even as Monday will be a bit cooler than Sunday, the warmth will likely continue through the middle of next week. Temperatures could rise into the upper 80s and perhaps the lower 90s on Tuesday and Wednesday. Thursday could still be warm. Afterward, it will turn much cooler. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C. El Niño conditions are rapidly developing and will likely be in place in the next few weeks. The SOI was -23.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.368 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.0° (0.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Looks like the forecast has increased a few degrees to 95-96 for a high both Tues and Wed

high of 81 after a low of 58. Dew points hoovered in the upper 50's all day.

Gorgeous sunset alert

75 analogs weighted, +2.0 next year El Nino is 2.0x, -0.5 next year ENSO is -0.5x, etc. 01-02 is probably about 2% of the composite. 96-97 is about 3% of the composite

June is pretty neutral just Nino 3.4 ENSO events that peak more later in the year have more of a pattern -NPH

Elias is officially in over his skis. His system has now failed, and he simply doesn't have the instincts to turn young talent into a contender. Good eye for said young talent (our farm system remains Top 10), but no clue about major league talent or hitting & pitching philosophies. It's like he relied completely on the computers to do those things instead. He's gotta go!

Are you talking about just strong Nino? 01-02 winter was pre Nino that wasn’t anything like this past winter. Neither was 96-97 and that obviously preceded a super Nino.

Somewhere Brandon Hyde is laughing his mother fucking ass off.

The winds on LI(Melville)are awful. Persistent and gusty, even when not in the forecast. Every day the winds pick up like we live at the beach

What does the month of June look like in those years?

Fire Elias and I might have a little interest in this team. Looking like a nearly complete rebuild is needed as many of the 'prized prospects' that were so coveted and hands off for trades(see Coby Mayo) are mediocre and cant hit major league pitching. Looking forward to Ravens OTAs and training camp.

The US pattern "pre-El Nino" has hit every single month since November. CPC 3-4 week forecasts are showing that hitting again. It doesn't mean there has been a N. pacific low though, which is usually the main staple mark of el nino.