All Activity

Really extreme over the top warm up with parts of the Rockies and Plains approaching all-time highs today. The record 600 DM ridge will become very compressed leading to the 850 mb heat plume tracking through the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario next few days. The heat should peak in our area on Wednesday. Both the Euro and GFS have 100°-103° highs around the region. This would be a first to follow so quickly after 104°-106° heat earlier in the month.

Memories of sweating while doing brush saw thinning north of Flagstaff Lake that summer. June had one hot spell, but the 6 weeks July 4 thru mid-August had some of the highest dews I've encountered in Maine. The 8/1-14 stretch of swamp-dews put mold all over things in our basement, only time I've seen that. IIRC, PWM had a 77° TD during that spell and a site in BGR (don't know where) reported 93° and 68% RH one afternoon, which would be a TD of about 81.

This July is an extreme divergence between the tropical forcing and midlatitude pattern. The tropics are clearly in El Niño mode as we can see from the forcing and -SOI with very strong shear over the Caribbean. Notice how the strong -PDO ridge north of Hawaii leads to the classic July -PDO SST pattern. This is a strong July -PDO response in the midlatitudes with the record heat and ridging from the Plains to the East Coast. Strong July -PDO composites July 1-10, 2026 500 mb pattern

60 degrees pleasant morning!

Super nino winter incoming

Got 0.15 to add to the 0.25 from Thursday. Calvert with a departure of -7.0 inches for the year is the worst in the region west of the Bay. And now there's no chance for rain in sight. Crushing drought continues

I'm really tired of overcast 70-degree-dewpoint mornings. Isn't the front ever going to come through?

59° actually feels chilly out.

There are a lot of metrics that are very impressive with this event. It’s also equally impressive how non Nino like the pattern over North America has been along with how strongly negative the PDO continues to be. A lot of interesting stuff happening right now for people like us to watch and discuss.

I feel like @dailylurker anymore with these thunderstorm.

Just had a Thunderstorm develop almost right over my house in Stafford. Picked up 1.31” of rain in about 30 minutes.

Today's Highs: PHL: 89 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 New Brnswck: 82 ISP: 82 NYC: 82 TTN: 82 EWR: 81 BLM: 81 JFK: 81 ACY: 77

Total whiff for the lv tonight. Whatever padep or usgs comes up with for drought maps this week, they mean zilch. Let the real drought reports begin.

1. Today it hit 100 for the high at KSAV for the 3rd day in a row, which hadn’t happened since that unforgettable record hot late May of 2019!2. Although the chance wasn’t even mentioned since it was only 10%, the Savannah area had sudden evening pop-ups as a result of an outflow boundary coming S from earlier SC convection that collided with a W moving seabreeze per radar. It’s so cool to see these collisions! At my home, I had a big temp. drop along with gusty winds and loud thunder. Several gusts to 43 mph were measured just off of Tybee. I had two short periods of rain, but together they amounted to only ~0.01”. Other areas in the county like to the SW, to the S (Montgomery), and to the SE, especially Skidaway Island, had significant to heavy amounts. As a matter of fact:PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1042 PM EDT SAT JUL 11 2026 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 1015 PM RAIN 1 NE SKIDAWAY ISLAND 31.95N 81.04W 07/11/2026 M2.51 INCH CHATHAM GA MESONET UGA34 REPORTS 2.51 INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS.

Just visualize the massive snow drifts that will be back in 4-5 months. That should help a bit.

Looking at model SLP forecasts, I see a near certainty that the current -SOI streak will make it to 67+ days. That would then make it the 3rd longest -SOI streak on record (back to 1991). Will it make it past 72 days? That’s too far out to predict with confidence right now. But that appears to have a decent chance as of now.

Thought I might see my first storm in over 2 weeks, but it missed mby. Might have to wait a bit, based on the forecast.

Came home today after spending 2.5 weeks in Vegas and that humidity slapped. Reminded me of when I was traveling to/from Denver for work years ago.