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No love for the 6z UKIE?

That would set the cape infrastructure back 30 years

My second water load goes to Lucerne Dairy near Lansdale on Monday. Should get there around 1pm. I wonder how that's going to be if the crazy totals verify...

Sticking with my 2-5” for MDT call from Tuesday, would be awesome if we get to 6-8”. If paved surfaces so not really get covered it lessens storms in my opinion and I tend not to care about 2” vs 8”.

BOX seems the office conservative with this one and OKX seems to be the aggressors, based on the maps theyve put out, timing and now warnings, BOX still holding off.

Yeah.. the NWS has us ( you ) with the WSW and is calling for 8-13 inches. There being conservative to say the least. Btw... I saw some of the nerves come out last night with some posts with the 00z runs. Of course everything's looking fine this morning. I'm truly feeling it for this.

SREFs for a laugh..Elbow runner

Not bragging, but showing. Here's mine... Sunday Snow, mainly after 7am. High near 33. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming north after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

Mu is following the Euro. He either going to look smart or going to look pretty stupid. Hope things stay steady today. Volleyball all day Lewisburg watching my Granddaughter. 37 degrees this morning. Ice is starting to move out at Lock Haven.

Blizzard warnings for CT coast and NYC. Will be upgraded up the coast later today.

Looks like we about to cold tuck

Ohhh we will. Ty. Regardless of how much snow falls, the winds here by the coast is a story unto its self, with any model run on the table.

The 06z GFS would lead one to believe there will be a rapid decrease in snow totals moving west across MD into nVA, I think it would be reasonable to expect Baltimore to get nearly twice as much as DC whatever the outcome. This region is not going to be ground zero for the blizzard but I doubt it reduces to anything close to a non-event, unless it would be a few parts of central VA possibly.

That’s likely how this plays out

Might be near 2” at this point. Light snow currently.

Might be near 2” at this point. About what I thought. Still snowing.

Tricky forecast for Nova

There’s simply no way you don’t go 1-2 feet with local amounts to 3 feet. Thats the map

Sunday Snow before 10am, then snow, possibly mixed with rain between 10am and 4pm, then snow after 4pm. High near 36. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 29. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 9 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Thats my NWS forecast.

Here’s the data corresponding to the only two locations whereby I personally compiled top 10 lists a couple of years ago for this general area: Philadelphia, PA: 1) 31.0” Jan. 6-8, 1996 2) 28.5” Feb. 5-6, 2010 3) 23.2” Dec. 19-20, 2009 4) 22.4” Jan. 23-24, 2016 5) 21.3” Feb. 11-12, 1983 6) 21.0” Dec. 25-26, 1909 7) 19.4” April 3-4, 1915 8. 18.9” Feb. 12-14, 1899 9. 18.7” Feb. 16-17, 2003 10. 16.7” Jan. 22-24, 1935 New Brunswick, NJ: 26.9 inches January 2016 22.6 inches January 1996 20.9 inches Feb 2003 20.8 inches Feb 1961 20.7 inches Feb 2006 20 inches Feb 1899 19.5 inches December 1947 19.5 inches Feb 2010 18.5 inches Dec 1948 17.9 inches Feb 1983 17.0 inches Jan 2011

FIRST CALL SNOW MAP

Those Maine amounts include part of the 6" we got last night. Knock a couple off there.

I'm very much southern New England. Appreciate the vote of confidence but worried about shadowing.

So now the magic question.....how much the flake damage caused by the wind impact ratios?