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GEFS will be better

Ai gfs ftw

Models don’t help me much about snow but they do seem to get extreme winter temp onsets correctly. Those temp projections are 1982 1994 like with DC area highs around 10 and low -5. I’m unsure we can do that kind of cold around here anymore but maybe we get a chance to see

Apparently the Sunday system is getting *checks notes* a recon flight now. Are they trying to get a better picture of the Atlantic ridging? Or are they flying to sample the vort??

Typical Nina pattern. First it's cold, dry and windy with the freezing line down to Georgia, then there's a storm or two 300 miles offshore. Then when we finally do get a storm that brings us precip, the freezing line retreats to just south of Buffalo, NY. Then we rinse and repeat.

18z AIgfs came west

26F - probably due to elevation (and unblocked western exposure), I'm often just a tick colder than you when the UHI effect is more muted (like right now).

this weather actually sucks.

Well. He just replied to my comment on the other forum and seems to be backtracking a little bit

I, well I really don't get that at all. SO many times we've heard good Mets say why XYZ solution doesn't make sense... as in today's "storm". The good ones raised flags everywhere when certainmodelsstartedshowingbig hits, seen it a million times over the years... and then you have the social media twats.

I understand, but my point was that it is quite remarkable that currently California is in better shape than any other state drought-wise, whereas in December 2000 many other states were similarly situated to California in being drought-free. Was there any previous month prior to January 2026 in US history where California was the drought-free leader among all states?

They were just putting brine on rt2 seems a bit early for that

Awful run:

Devastated. Thought this one had legs up in north Mecklenburg county by the lake.

Hopefully we go on a big run. Not much more to say…wait and see. Lots of winter left is the bright side at the moment.

yes

GFS AI has been relatively steadfast.

We got to webb this one in.

They still have Hulk Hogan on beer commercials during wrestling.

Yeah, RRFS crushes DC SE

You begin to wonder if it starts snowing predawn Saturday and just continues into Monday AM. Just one long duration snow event that piles up

Man it’s chilly. 21 with windchill in the lower teens to single digits at times.

Ya but Nam replacement, Rgem and aigfs are in the same camp. It’s not alone.

and i always give up right before