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I have my station reporting on the PWS site. Here is a map of all the stations on there. Not sure if there was one in the area you were referencing. I am to the South of 340 west of 270. https://www.pwsweather.com/station/map/pws/kmdfrede232?ob=temps

that's probably going to be a pretty good radiational cooling/frost result Saturday night.. probably all the way down here in interior SNE, too

The overall dry September is consistent with the exceptionally dry end to August that had occurred. Indeed, the monthly CFSv2 initially called for a wet September before finally reverting to a dry September. Despite early rainfall during the month, highlighted by an unusually wet week following such a dry end to August, monthly rainfall is now below normal in New York City. Central Park: September 1-18: 2.30" 1991-2020 Average: 2.52" The guidance shows little or no rainfall for at least the next seven days. Statistically, the odds would somewhat favor a rebound in rainfall during October. Since 2000, 64% of drier than normal Septembers were followed by somewhat wetter to wetter than normal Octobers. However, with quasi-resonant amplification driven by changes in the Arctic producing "stuck patterns" that lead to longer-duration patterns, a dry October is possible. Indeed, during the last 10 years, dry Septembers were somewhat more likely (56%) to be followed by a drier than normal October. The most recent such case was October 2024. At present, the CFSv2 is showing drier than normal conditions in the Northeast. The ECMWF weeklies also begin October with near normal to possibly drier than normal conditions. October 2005 saw greatly elevated rainfall due to tropical moisture. Moisture from Subtropical Depression 22 dumped 4.49" of rain during October 7-8. Another system moving along a stalled frontal boundary brought 8.64" of rain during October 11-14. Nassau and Suffolk County saw the heaviest amounts with Lynbrook picking up 14.82", Riverhead receiving 14.26", and Wading River seeing 14.52". Moisture from Extratropical Wilma enhanced rainfall from a developing system along a frontal boundary that saw 2.36" rain fall during October 24-26. The emerging 500 mb pattern could provide insight as one draws closer to October. Very dry Octobers (<1.00" monthly rainfall) 1990-2024: Very wet Octobers (7.00" or more) 1990-2024: The September 18, 2025 0z EPS at 240 hours and 360 hours leans toward a dry start: 240 Hours: 360 Hours:

Ended up with 0.88" yesterday.

Feast or famine. Thank goodness we had the rain we did last week.

It’s pretty wild how fast we dried out after that record deluge last August.

Download this

We're basically in a La Nina right now.

30 days here of 90° plus heat this season, last one back on Aug 18th. Normal is around 22 days... Highest 44 days in 2010.

I ended up with a total of 3.45". According to radar estimates, the jack zone was just to the northeast of me, north of 340 and west of Frederick. Anyone have a rain gauge in this zone?

What a stunner. Shocked and aghast I tell you.

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Awesome build there @Bob Chill! And sneaky at the same time, I like lol.

FWIW - lots of those houses are being built on quite-high stilts now, e.g. here's a neighborhood and a school in Port Bolivar: Everything has to be about 15' above ground level now - above BFE (Base Flood Elevation - 100-year flood plain). So these generally aren't your grandparents homes.

NJ did well. Models were too far north for most of LI/CT

0.02!!

We already discussed a solar fan. He's a great dog and worth it

La nina by itself isn't always bad. Just as a deep -IOD isn't always bad by itself. But those two things in combination almost certainly spells a cooked winter. If you have a la nina, you need a +IOD or near neutral IOD to have a chance. If you have a deep -IOD, you need an el nino or near ENSO neutral. La nina and deep -IOD is just not going to work. Unless you're looking for a blowtorch winter and very little snow.

RONI should be <-0.5, global SSTA is near +0.5

Received .02 late yesterday evening and .01 after midnight, take the .03 as it is better than nothing.

Yea, I have no clue why he is obsessing over the ONI...it's a La Nina, regardless.

A little bit of D3 - Extreme Drought introduced to a small part of southwest Pennsylvania:

CoCoRaHs after 6A 9/17/25. Isolated near 2" Wall Township in Monmouth.

Just under 0.9” for the event and almost exactly 2” for September.

In the fanny?