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No prolonged cool anytime soon
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Still winter if you took a polar rotted January thermal profile and subjected it to June sun, you'd get that January sfc temp to be just like yesterday
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FWIW I did see a 33 and 34 nearby on PWS.
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ASOS can be so weird in rad pits lol. FOK, OWD, MVY, SLK, SFM… Often 10F colder than anything around them on rad nights.
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I don't think we've had "prolonged" heat here for years. We've had heat waves, ...usually falling short of what they could have been when they do with just one day out of them that gets to 97.. Kind of like what happened earlier in May ... some with more or less DP to go along with. But they're too many reasons to neg interfere. I'm beginning to think the return rate around here is so long there's no practical value in really looking much less waiting for them. Those 97 for five days running over lows of 76 with 82 in the urban centers are Chicago to KC or NYC S.
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Crazy I still have to wear my motorcycle liner jacket and it's June already. 19 days til sunlight starts decreasing.
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I think today's gonna seem pretty warm W of I-95 Wouldn't be shocked if Scott to Ray sniff Labrador's nut sack in the afternoon. Such a weak gradient in place and the intensity of the 100% bake in the interior, seems they delay warm arrival by one last reach back face smack upon exit of this pattern. LOL. Or not... where not, MAV/MET MOS have both inched closer to 80 for today. Right now they're 78 .. 79 around the BDL-FIT-ASH horn. Testing that
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so a hugely rangy summer then -
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think it's important to not get too cute with the EMI when ENSO gets this strong because all of them are going to be "basin wide" in the sense that the anomalies will encompass the entirety of the ENSO area. Good luck getting 2.5C in the east or west, and having 0C on the other end. This is why I'm not really focused too much on EMI. -
I had raindrops on my windshield this morning. This guy is full of it.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Another nod towards 1997. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Usually the seasonal guidance will be biased towards stock ENSO, so when a seasonal model shows that output leading into an intense El Nino episode, it should provide reason for pause. -
NYC hasn’t had a month with above normal precipitation since May 2025. So the last 12 months actually made the top 20 driest for June to May. This is impressive given the overall wetter pattern since 2003. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Driest 6-1 through 5-31 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1966-05-31 27.85 0 2 1950-05-31 30.86 0 3 1965-05-31 30.93 0 4 1930-05-31 31.46 0 5 1954-05-31 32.13 0 6 1911-05-31 32.59 0 7 1959-05-31 32.63 0 8 2002-05-31 32.73 0 9 1882-05-31 33.45 0 10 1962-05-31 34.16 0 11 1877-05-31 34.24 0 12 1957-05-31 34.82 0 13 1963-05-31 35.08 0 - 1887-05-31 35.08 0 14 1955-05-31 35.17 0 15 1925-05-31 35.28 0 16 2026-05-31 35.44 0 17 1981-05-31 35.58 0 18 1907-05-31 36.03 0 19 1932-05-31 36.06 0 20 1892-05-31 36.23 0
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
- Today
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couple more extremely comfortable days on tap before summer classic returns
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No real sign of prolonged heat.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
It over . Ahhhh -
Down to 48. Last 40s until September?
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Min 42.5° Time to flush this
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hello summer thread. A beautiful crisp morning with a temp of 47 when I left the house, as our stretch of heavenly weather marches on. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
42 degree's this morning blue bird sky. Not a cloud. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We have a record 30C warm pool from the IO over to Nino 4. So the Nino forcing is linking up with forcing near the Maritime Continent. This is part of the reason that the models have the warmth in Canada and across the Northern Tier states as we head into June. -
With any luck the dew point with stay under 60 until Saturday
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Looks like a nice stretch incoming .
