All Activity

Nobody knows, which is what makes forecasting discussions so interesting. For comparison purposes, here are some very quiet periods during climo active dates of other non-El Nino seasons during the current active era: -In 2024, there were 0 TCs during the 19 days 8/21-9/8. -In 2022, there were 0 TCs in August. -In 2016, there were 0 TCs Sep 4-11 and 0 H Sep 3-28. -In 2013, there was no H til 9/11. -In 2001, there was no H til 9/8 ———- Back to 91-L: 12Z Euro has no TC. So, the highly unreliable JMA, especially when it’s on its own, is the line holdout of this cycle.

https://x.com/AndyHazelton/status/1963980757417799798

Looking through old pics on my cloud..small sampling of my neighborhood.

The coast is never really "favored" versus interior, but the best time of year is typically Aug/early Sept. for coastal areas lol

Actually insane seeing the GFS just dropping that storm suddenly after showing it consistently for so long lmao Are we just going to have a backloaded season again like last year? Kinda crazy how quiet it's been when we're basically in the peak of season.

I still have the recording of it pitch black with my phone up to the screen and window open. Freaking jet engine. It was after peak too.

Hey NBZ! Davis Vantage Vue is a great choice, but there's also the Ambient Weather WS-2000 that is a very good alternative. If you go with the Advanced Console, that thing has everything you could ever want to know, including sunrise and sunset information, HI/WC information calculations, and more. I say go with the Ambient just for the beauty and really solid data accuracy. That would be an incredible gift! Davis is what I would want if I was a Coop, but I think your gf would absolutely love the Ambient. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07GRBY9NP?tag=brg_ana_amp-20&linkCode=ogi&th=1&SubscriptionId=AKIAJO7E5OLQ67NVPFZA&ascsubtag=1757093361701-606-home-weather-stations-with-rain-gauge_1757093361

Going to need a lot of it, Everything up here is way down.

NO

Yeah hopefully we get some rain up there.

For what it is worth, below is Jan. to March on the latest WB EURO seasonal.

We usually go camping around that time, but one of the guys has a friend with a house on the Saco. May just rent it and go canoeing. We used to go there and on the Androscoggin, but haven't recently.

Dragging canoes is such fun, especially when they're loaded with duffle, food and drink. Learned all about that on Allagash Stream going to (and 4 days later, dragging back from) Allagash Lake.

@Jackstraw It's pretty interesting how different weather can be over a relatively small area with similar terrain and elevation. While you eregetting pounded over and over earlier this summer, I'm in drought.

Take the WB Euro seasonal with a big grain of salt. Below is August 1 forecast for September compared to Sept. 1 forecast for September.

Fryeburg fair?

This is why you have to take anything past 240 , heck 200 hours with a grain of salt.

Looking to me like 91L might be DOA. Just looking to hostile in the path ahead of it. Shear and dry air abound. Kind of makes sense why models that had it developing kept in very small...like it found the sweet spot in a very hostile environment. Not expecting much from this now, IMO. PERHAPS, MAYBE some remnant of it eventually makes it to western Caribbean where conditions would be more favorable but looks like a long shot at them moment. We're kind of back where we started....looking for home brew stuff to pop.

https://x.com/AndyHazelton/status/1963994545768608055

yeah maybe we can start getting exciting weather again at least. the area is due for another pine buster

Is the Davis Vantage Vue still the weather station that you all most recommend? looking for a good weather station to gift my girlfriend for the farm. If I go with the Davis, do I need to spend extra for their monitor for it ? I would think not - but wanted to make sure the data from it is available on an app or the like. if not the Davis, are there comparable stations to it that I should be looking into? thanks! Aaron

we have a yard sale both days this weekend ugh,,,,,,,,hoping that the rain holds off Saturday until 4 pm or later but we shall see,,,,,and Sunday looks like it starts out wet and again we shall see ,,,,,fingers crossed here

Maybe we can Rocktober again. That was the best warm season type event since Bob I think.

See if we can tee up some more super structures today.. or just be an after thought relative to Thursday. I always like the Upper Plateau. Just a bit more upper level wind support per SPC text, plus the topography.